MLB · resolved market
Minnesota Twins vs. San Diego Padres
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x693c08a612083630b2c4cc84fd247d8b840e95a61a58adde6ab520c7faf02060
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- San Diego Padresof Minnesota Twins, San Diego Padres
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $366,703
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $373,409
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $366,703 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 181 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5e94…5ba1backed San Diego Padres | 58c | 213,768$123,157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90,610.82 | 469 | 49%230 W · 239 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Minnesota Twins | 42c | 72,651$30,513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,513.34 | 865 | 48.7%421 W · 444 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Minnesota Twins | 38c | 36,836$14,138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,137.78 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Minnesota Twins | 42c | 30,000$12,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,600 | 856 | 45.3%388 W · 468 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Minnesota Twins | 42c | 23,964$10,144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,144.23 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x684b…8409backed Minnesota Twins | 43c | 20,000$8,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,600 | 260 | 54.2%141 W · 119 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Minnesota Twins | 0c | 19,015$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.02 | 147 | 24.5%36 W · 111 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed San Diego Padres | 71c | 11,260$7,982 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,277.69 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Minnesota Twins | 41c | 10,109$4,131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,130.59 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Minnesota Twins | 42c | 7,230$3,037 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,036.6 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked San Diego Padres | 59c | 6,780$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,779.66 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked San Diego Padres | 58c | 5,291$3,069 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,222.27 | 716 | 50.7%363 W · 353 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked Minnesota Twins | 42c | 5,000$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,100 | 167 | 53.9%90 W · 77 L | +10.2wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Minnesota Twins | 42c | 4,762$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000.03 | 280 | 42.1%118 W · 162 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Minnesota Twins | 42c | 4,762$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 491 | 58.9%289 W · 202 L | +30.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Minnesota Twins | 7c | 4,174$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.07 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked San Diego Padres | 73c | 3,901$2,828 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,072.72 | 370 | 32.7%121 W · 249 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Minnesota Twins | 42c | 3,467$1,468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,468.4 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Minnesota Twins | 42c | 2,935$1,245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,244.6 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Minnesota Twins | 1c | 2,802$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.37 | 585 | 2.1%12 W · 573 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc08…a137backed San Diego Padres | 69c | 2,690$1,858 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$832.58 | 319 | 58.6%187 W · 132 L | +27.3wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Minnesota Twins | 42c | 2,048$860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$860.16 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8efa…894cbacked Minnesota Twins | 42c | 2,026$851 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850.92 | 454 | 45.2%205 W · 249 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73f6…a10abacked Minnesota Twins | 42c | 2,000$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840 | 171 | 50.3%86 W · 85 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Minnesota Twins | 43c | 2,000$860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$860 | 457 | 48.6%222 W · 235 L | -11.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Minnesota Twins | 29c | 1,962$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$563.8 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55b9…a814backed Minnesota Twins | 31c | 1,854$574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$574.09 | 254 | 47.6%121 W · 133 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Minnesota Twins | 40c | 1,740$689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$689.26 | 540 | 48.3%261 W · 279 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed San Diego Padres | 58c | 1,691$981 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$710.16 | 335 | 54%181 W · 154 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed San Diego Padres | 78c | 1,677$1,305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.03 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98e1…3241backed San Diego Padres | 61c | 1,645$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$644.57 | 96 | 44.8%43 W · 53 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaaca…f5d5backed Minnesota Twins | 42c | 1,590$674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$674.43 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc323…0171backed San Diego Padres | 70c | 1,429$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.64 | 194 | 53.6%104 W · 90 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea1b…ec19backed San Diego Padres | 57c | 1,400$798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$602 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked San Diego Padres | 80c | 1,297$1,034 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.38 | 587 | 46%270 W · 317 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Minnesota Twins | 42c | 1,286$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$546.28 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Minnesota Twins | 39c | 1,225$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.49 | 1,725 | 50.1%864 W · 861 L | -4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Minnesota Twins | 26c | 1,206$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.22 | 794 | 42.4%337 W · 457 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed San Diego Padres | 58c | 1,200$696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504 | 619 | 47.7%295 W · 324 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Minnesota Twins | 43c | 1,130$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.5 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd4…de15backed San Diego Padres | 73c | 1,109$808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.08 | 171 | 60.8%104 W · 67 L | +11.2wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed1…caa2backed Minnesota Twins | 2c | 1,100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 98 | 28.6%28 W · 70 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Minnesota Twins | 17c | 1,083$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.22 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Minnesota Twins | 43c | 1,080$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.4 | 195 | 34.4%67 W · 128 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a7e…19b8backed San Diego Padres | 58c | 1,034$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.48 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e0…ff0fbacked Minnesota Twins | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 306 | 47.4%145 W · 161 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64ef…befcbacked Minnesota Twins | 42c | 1,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 290 | 46.6%135 W · 155 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…fa73backed San Diego Padres | 74c | 999.99$738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.65 | 338 | 64.2%217 W · 121 L | +23.1wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca1…ddcdbacked Minnesota Twins | 24c | 916.09$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.2 | 90 | 35.6%32 W · 58 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Minnesota Twins | 42c | 899$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.58 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba62…3e29backed San Diego Padres | 57c | 877.19$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.19 | 221 | 49.3%109 W · 112 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9e…5a9ebacked San Diego Padres | 57c | 526.32$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.32 | 342 | 55.3%189 W · 153 L | +10.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed San Diego Padres | 80c | 511.77$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.6 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb46…48efbacked Minnesota Twins | 42c | 500$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 138 | 48.6%67 W · 71 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…db0dbacked Minnesota Twins | 42c | 498.15$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.66 | 583 | 52.1%304 W · 279 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Minnesota Twins | 42c | 487.79$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.87 | 877 | 50.4%442 W · 435 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Minnesota Twins | 43c | 465$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.95 | 1,137 | 46.3%526 W · 611 L | +36.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffae…adaebacked Minnesota Twins | 42c | 462.79$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.37 | 589 | 43.1%254 W · 335 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc306…accdbacked San Diego Padres | 56c | 438.19$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.8 | 54 | 74.1%40 W · 14 L | +9.7wins | +0.18per pick | 56cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x0817…de6fbacked San Diego Padres | 59c | 415.2$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.23 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69d2…a218backed San Diego Padres | 59c | 406.77$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.78 | 82 | 50%41 W · 41 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1ea…3d00backed Minnesota Twins | 43c | 400$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93a0…6623backed Minnesota Twins | 42c | 400$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 398 | 46.5%185 W · 213 L | -16.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b2…1c67backed Minnesota Twins | 5c | 400$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2465…5d84backed San Diego Padres | 75c | 395$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.75 | 1,100 | 79.6%876 W · 224 L | +32.7wins | +0.03per pick | 77cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5317…9a3bbacked Minnesota Twins | 32c | 389.53$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.57 | 153 | 40.5%62 W · 91 L | -10.0wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b3…145dbacked San Diego Padres | 58c | 387.93$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.93 | 220 | 55.5%122 W · 98 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a21…4aa9backed San Diego Padres | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.88 | 144 | 52.8%76 W · 68 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Minnesota Twins | 42c | 341.68$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.29 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2470…dc4dbacked San Diego Padres | 59c | 338.98$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.98 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked San Diego Padres | 73c | 335.22$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.29 | 799 | 55.9%447 W · 352 L | +21.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Minnesota Twins | 37c | 324$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.16 | 952 | 52.9%504 W · 448 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28ef…ff5ebacked San Diego Padres | 57c | 315.79$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.79 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1747…4afcbacked Minnesota Twins | 32c | 310$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.2 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Minnesota Twins | 42c | 302$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.84 | 1,291 | 51%658 W · 633 L | -15.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e55…a332backed San Diego Padres | 57c | 300$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129 | 70 | 50%35 W · 35 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f8c…f8bdbacked Minnesota Twins | 36c | 292.39$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.26 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3c…35cfbacked Minnesota Twins | 42c | 256$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.52 | 127 | 52%66 W · 61 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb8…7017backed San Diego Padres | 59c | 254.24$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.24 | 133 | 44.4%59 W · 74 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…02ccbacked Minnesota Twins | 43c | 250$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.5 | 242 | 46.7%113 W · 129 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72f3…d396backed Minnesota Twins | 44c | 240$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.6 | 506 | 47%238 W · 268 L | -21.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68cb…0000backed San Diego Padres | 71c | 227.64$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.52 | 486 | 60.5%294 W · 192 L | +40.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed San Diego Padres | 57c | 218.36$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.89 | 562 | 53.2%299 W · 263 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9534…1fe8backed Minnesota Twins | 43c | 218.02$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.75 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +6.2wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed San Diego Padres | 60c | 212$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.8 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17d9…84afbacked Minnesota Twins | 42c | 205$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.1 | 94 | 46.8%44 W · 50 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Minnesota Twins | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.65 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Minnesota Twins | 43c | 200$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked San Diego Padres | 79c | 186.5$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.95 | 2,012 | 51.2%1,031 W · 981 L | +43.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb3…b370backed Minnesota Twins | 43c | 174.41$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 195 | 55.9%109 W · 86 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…e1f5backed San Diego Padres | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 116 | 55.2%64 W · 52 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcda3…36cfbacked Minnesota Twins | 43c | 170$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.1 | 1,310 | 43.6%571 W · 739 L | +13.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58d5…8898backed Minnesota Twins | 43c | 170$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.1 | 1,205 | 43%518 W · 687 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4934…5951backed San Diego Padres | 59c | 169$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.29 | 112 | 58%65 W · 47 L | +8.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3618…b2b2backed San Diego Padres | 70c | 166.79$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.55 | 78 | 38.5%30 W · 48 L | -7.0wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Minnesota Twins | 42c | 165$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.3 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98d8…20f6backed Minnesota Twins | 32c | 150$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Minnesota Twins | 30c | 142.48$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.77 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda66…3f38backed San Diego Padres | 72c | 139.1$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.1 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +3.2wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8526…72aabacked Minnesota Twins | 30c | 132.52$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.02 | 380 | 53.2%202 W · 178 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Minnesota Twins vs. San Diego Padresthis page
- Minnesota Twins vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 6.5Over won
- Minnesota Twins vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 7.5Over won
- Minnesota Twins vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 8.5Over won
- Minnesota Twins vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Minnesota Twins (-1.5)San Diego Padres won
- Spread: San Diego Padres (-1.5)San Diego Padres won
- Spread: San Diego Padres (-2.5)San Diego Padres won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Minnesota Twins vs. San Diego PadresNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.