MLB · resolved market
KBO: Kia Tigers vs. Hanwha Eagles
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd10aedb08f8c7900148c41934e91b81e8b41b266faf4ae251248ac625b4d9406
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kia Tigersof Kia Tigers, Hanwha Eagles
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,000
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,588
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,000 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x41a8…c372backed Hanwha Eagles | 32c | 2,776$874 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$874.43 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Hanwha Eagles | 49c | 2,702$1,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,319.61 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Kia Tigers | 70c | 1,888$1,323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$565.21 | 1,722 | 50.3%867 W · 855 L | +55.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Hanwha Eagles | 40c | 1,092$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.11 | 300 | 40.7%122 W · 178 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Kia Tigers | 67c | 992$665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.36 | 777 | 52.1%405 W · 372 L | +36.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Hanwha Eagles | 59c | 859.35$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.17 | 11,356 | 52.9%6,002 W · 5,354 L | +209.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd75a…d264backed Kia Tigers | 67c | 575$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.75 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -4.8wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Hanwha Eagles | 15c | 516.85$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.84 | 851 | 35.8%305 W · 546 L | -23.3wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Kia Tigers | 69c | 499.99$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55b9…a814backed Hanwha Eagles | 46c | 499.73$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.22 | 254 | 47.6%121 W · 133 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Kia Tigers | 67c | 428.87$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.53 | 1,013 | 50.3%510 W · 503 L | +51.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Kia Tigers | 76c | 422.71$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.44 | 752 | 44%331 W · 421 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Kia Tigers | 67c | 420.18$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.07 | 556 | 58.1%323 W · 233 L | +25.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2613…12bdbacked Kia Tigers | 40c | 400$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 212 | 48.1%102 W · 110 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05b2…953bbacked Hanwha Eagles | 35c | 328$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.62 | 109 | 41.3%45 W · 64 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked Kia Tigers | 41c | 300$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177 | 367 | 29.4%108 W · 259 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb43e…8200backed Kia Tigers | 43c | 296.12$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.79 | 227 | 44.9%102 W · 125 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Hanwha Eagles | 59c | 274$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.66 | 1,291 | 51%658 W · 633 L | -15.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…474ebacked Kia Tigers | 51c | 176.47$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.47 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +6.2wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x27d2…a66cbacked Kia Tigers | 64c | 175.3$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.11 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb871…b3c3backed Kia Tigers | 55c | 135.86$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.79 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Hanwha Eagles | 39c | 124$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.2 | 6,302 | 48.3%3,041 W · 3,261 L | +181.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Hanwha Eagles | 36c | 114$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.31 | 1,851 | 53.1%982 W · 869 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Kia Tigers | 63c | 105$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.1 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed Hanwha Eagles | 45c | 99.02$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.49 | 464 | 44.4%206 W · 258 L | -18.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Kia Tigers | 40c | 75$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 1,167 | 49%572 W · 595 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e5…17e6backed Kia Tigers | 55c | 65.98$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.8 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked Kia Tigers | 68c | 55.05$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.76 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d74…96b8backed Hanwha Eagles | 60c | 53.36$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +5.6wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Hanwha Eagles | 59c | 43.6$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.72 | 787 | 54.6%430 W · 357 L | +27.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2391…8ba9backed Kia Tigers | 57c | 40$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Hanwha Eagles | 30c | 38.53$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.56 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c2…b14dbacked Hanwha Eagles | 45c | 38.11$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.14 | 1,149 | 48.9%562 W · 587 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb695…f967backed Kia Tigers | 43c | 37.67$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.47 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d18…1701backed Kia Tigers | 41c | 36.98$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +146.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf504…0111backed Kia Tigers | 62c | 36.36$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.65 | 362 | 68%246 W · 116 L | +34.0wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Hanwha Eagles | 45c | 35.17$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.98 | 624 | 54.2%338 W · 286 L | +23.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Hanwha Eagles | 31c | 35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.85 | 473 | 46.5%220 W · 253 L | +25.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x23b5…97e1backed Kia Tigers | 51c | 32$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.68 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +4.2wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +26%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7a96…b71dbacked Kia Tigers | 67c | 30.9$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 107 | 42.1%45 W · 62 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Kia Tigers | 39c | 30.75$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.76 | 589 | 38.9%229 W · 360 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Kia Tigers | 67c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 455 | 50.3%229 W · 226 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb430…efc9backed Kia Tigers | 43c | 27.91$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.91 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb77…fbeebacked Kia Tigers | 69c | 24$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.44 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | -3.7wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.