MLB · resolved market
Washington Nationals vs. Miami Marlins
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xecacd1788cea3a0cca360241764e1c05ed8b4a4111effd3f00d71163b37f2344
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Miami Marlinsof Washington Nationals, Miami Marlins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $162,422
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $171,250
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $162,422 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 117 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Miami Marlins | 60c | 24,129$14,477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,651.66 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa77…15a5backed Miami Marlins | 60c | 16,714$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,714.04 | 232 | 55.6%129 W · 103 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Washington Nationals | 32c | 13,044$4,156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,155.69 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Washington Nationals | 23c | 12,000$2,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,800 | 489 | 52.8%258 W · 231 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Miami Marlins | 65c | 11,177$7,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,927.13 | 11,356 | 52.9%6,002 W · 5,354 L | +209.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Washington Nationals | 25c | 9,668$2,415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,414.62 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Washington Nationals | 40c | 7,750$3,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,099.99 | 195 | 34.4%67 W · 128 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Washington Nationals | 40c | 6,900$2,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,760 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -3.7wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Miami Marlins | 59c | 6,350$3,746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,603.49 | 600 | 43.3%260 W · 340 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Washington Nationals | 40c | 5,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 280 | 42.1%118 W · 162 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Washington Nationals | 41c | 4,880$2,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000.8 | 694 | 53.6%372 W · 322 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Washington Nationals | 40c | 4,332$1,732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,732.3 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd65…ee96backed Miami Marlins | 60c | 4,167$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,666.67 | 238 | 46.6%111 W · 127 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Washington Nationals | 25c | 3,508$889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$889.34 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Washington Nationals | 7c | 2,826$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.04 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Washington Nationals | 10c | 2,525$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.69 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6368…6dc8backed Miami Marlins | 63c | 2,381$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880.95 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -4.2wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe95…1a93backed Washington Nationals | 40c | 1,605$642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$642 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb1cb…2345backed Washington Nationals | 40c | 1,605$642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$642 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Washington Nationals | 43c | 1,593$685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$685.15 | 252 | 48.8%123 W · 129 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88c5…4815backed Washington Nationals | 17c | 1,461$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.73 | 319 | 57.4%183 W · 136 L | +23.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2396…9485backed Washington Nationals | 41c | 1,416$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.73 | 287 | 51.9%149 W · 138 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Washington Nationals | 40c | 1,246$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.24 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Washington Nationals | 20c | 1,226$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.09 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9707…e3bcbacked Washington Nationals | 36c | 1,000$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Miami Marlins | 80c | 950.6$756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.66 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc146…10d7backed Washington Nationals | 36c | 834.78$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.52 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Washington Nationals | 42c | 747.95$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.48 | 2,012 | 51.2%1,031 W · 981 L | +43.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Washington Nationals | 40c | 672.4$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.96 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Miami Marlins | 74c | 667.44$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.09 | 799 | 55.9%447 W · 352 L | +21.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Miami Marlins | 59c | 545.32$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.58 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac65…cfe6backed Miami Marlins | 59c | 543.1$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.1 | 137 | 59.1%81 W · 56 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42ab…0d2dbacked Miami Marlins | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 112 | 55.4%62 W · 50 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffae…adaebacked Washington Nationals | 41c | 474.08$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.37 | 589 | 43.1%254 W · 335 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Washington Nationals | 40c | 474.03$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.34 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb88…0e4cbacked Miami Marlins | 60c | 416.67$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.67 | 104 | 65.4%68 W · 36 L | +8.2wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +13%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ab7…6978backed Washington Nationals | 7c | 400$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 146 | 43.2%63 W · 83 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2465…5d84backed Miami Marlins | 75c | 397$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.04 | 1,099 | 79.7%876 W · 223 L | +33.4wins | +0.03per pick | 77cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69d2…a218backed Miami Marlins | 60c | 385.21$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.08 | 81 | 49.4%40 W · 41 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Washington Nationals | 40c | 373.1$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.19 | 190 | 51.1%97 W · 93 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +21%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Washington Nationals | 35c | 370$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.17 | 5,126 | 54.7%2,804 W · 2,322 L | +231.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeeaa…15cebacked Washington Nationals | 28c | 326.85$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 213 | 43.2%92 W · 121 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Miami Marlins | 60c | 285.71$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.28 | 979 | 44.4%435 W · 544 L | -22.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb0b…62cdbacked Washington Nationals | 41c | 280.33$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.02 | 795 | 43%342 W · 453 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Miami Marlins | 66c | 279.4$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.52 | 1,796 | 43.8%786 W · 1,010 L | -33.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4934…5951backed Washington Nationals | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 112 | 58%65 W · 47 L | +8.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbbb4…0060backed Washington Nationals | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 165 | 52.7%87 W · 78 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Washington Nationals | 38c | 225.82$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.38 | 794 | 42.4%337 W · 457 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f76…dcc9backed Washington Nationals | 16c | 220.33$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.96 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98d8…20f6backed Miami Marlins | 60c | 208.33$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.33 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5317…9a3bbacked Washington Nationals | 21c | 205.92$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.51 | 153 | 40.5%62 W · 91 L | -10.0wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Washington Nationals | 41c | 200$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Washington Nationals | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb43e…8200backed Washington Nationals | 41c | 191.35$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.45 | 227 | 44.9%102 W · 125 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Washington Nationals | 11c | 190.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.46 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…db0dbacked Washington Nationals | 40c | 172.21$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.64 | 583 | 52.1%304 W · 279 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcda3…36cfbacked Washington Nationals | 40c | 170$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 1,310 | 43.6%571 W · 739 L | +13.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58d5…8898backed Washington Nationals | 40c | 170$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 1,205 | 43%518 W · 687 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd32f…4f71backed Miami Marlins | 59c | 168.38$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.38 | 29 | 72.4%21 W · 8 L | +3.7wins | +0.13per pick | 60cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x65b8…3c05backed Miami Marlins | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +3.1wins | +0.17per pick | 61cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Miami Marlins | 60c | 163.93$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.57 | 481 | 47%226 W · 255 L | -31.8wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Washington Nationals | 29c | 157.31$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.62 | 1,013 | 50.3%510 W · 503 L | +51.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Miami Marlins | 59c | 144$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.04 | 952 | 52.9%504 W · 448 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Miami Marlins | 66c | 142$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.82 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba63…4883backed Miami Marlins | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 67 | 50.7%34 W · 33 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Washington Nationals | 40c | 137.52$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.01 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Washington Nationals | 25c | 135.97$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.99 | 826 | 36.6%302 W · 524 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f8c…f8bdbacked Washington Nationals | 31c | 129.23$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.06 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Washington Nationals | 29c | 128.45$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x137f…968dbacked Washington Nationals | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 169 | 43.2%73 W · 96 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed Washington Nationals | 31c | 121.35$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.16 | 478 | 52.3%250 W · 228 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ac5…57a0backed Miami Marlins | 59c | 116.55$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.13 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +3.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9237…9c99backed Washington Nationals | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x125a…df71backed Washington Nationals | 36c | 114.25$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.13 | 308 | 34.1%105 W · 203 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Washington Nationals | 20c | 109.63$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.71 | 1,927 | 17.2%331 W · 1,596 L | -320.3wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Miami Marlins | 76c | 105.88$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.51 | 497 | 62.2%309 W · 188 L | +38.4wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xda74…2dd7backed Washington Nationals | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1,277 | 43.1%550 W · 727 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95f5…779fbacked Miami Marlins | 73c | 99.99$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.9 | 1,056 | 44.3%468 W · 588 L | -25.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf235…366dbacked Washington Nationals | 40c | 96.78$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.71 | 1,078 | 46.3%499 W · 579 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81a9…df08backed Washington Nationals | 41c | 84$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.44 | 99 | 49.5%49 W · 50 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fe3…6580backed Washington Nationals | 40c | 80$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 530 | 55.8%296 W · 234 L | +16.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e5f…6ee5backed Washington Nationals | 30c | 75.01$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.71 | 72 | 44.4%32 W · 40 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e55…a332backed Miami Marlins | 59c | 74.99$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.75 | 70 | 50%35 W · 35 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe481…d138backed Washington Nationals | 41c | 70.28$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.16 | 881 | 47.8%421 W · 460 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c78…7d67backed Washington Nationals | 36c | 69.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 74 | 45.9%34 W · 40 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe29…eb76backed Washington Nationals | 29c | 68.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 262 | 42.7%112 W · 150 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0460…7137backed Miami Marlins | 60c | 66.67$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.67 | 123 | 52.8%65 W · 58 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3372…1914backed Miami Marlins | 80c | 50.2$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 1,388 | 55.1%765 W · 623 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36bf…7398backed Washington Nationals | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 655 | 42.4%278 W · 377 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88fb…db3abacked Washington Nationals | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 731 | 43.4%317 W · 414 L | -15.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e1b…c38fbacked Washington Nationals | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf766…9251backed Miami Marlins | 62c | 48.49$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.43 | 1,464 | 63.5%929 W · 535 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75b5…a1f2backed Miami Marlins | 60c | 42$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfeed…3aecbacked Miami Marlins | 54c | 36.7$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.7 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91c8…a6bbbacked Washington Nationals | 31c | 36$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Washington Nationals | 36c | 35.03$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.61 | 920 | 46%423 W · 497 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9207…d26ebacked Miami Marlins | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 205 | 68.3%140 W · 65 L | +20.9wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Miami Marlins | 59c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.67 | 113 | 46.9%53 W · 60 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x301f…e84cbacked Miami Marlins | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 31 | 74.2%23 W · 8 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 67cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa678…dd59backed Miami Marlins | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.13per pick | 64cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Washington Nationals vs. Miami Marlinsthis page
- Spread: Miami Marlins (-1.5)Miami Marlins won
- Spread: Miami Marlins (-2.5)Miami Marlins won
- Spread: Washington Nationals (-1.5)Miami Marlins won
- Washington Nationals vs. Miami Marlins: 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5Over won
- Washington Nationals vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 7.5Over won
- Washington Nationals vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 8.5Under won
- Washington Nationals vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 9.5Under won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Washington Nationals vs. Miami MarlinsYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.