MLB · resolved market
KBO: Samsung Lions vs. NC Dinos
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x80c2f059c06d6453d66f8acc87b4802306bd3a50751112d74259283c66381711
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- NC Dinosof Samsung Lions, NC Dinos
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $55,409
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $61,436
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $55,409 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1c27…b1babacked NC Dinos | 39c | 25,000$9,836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,163.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +154.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Samsung Lions | 61c | 4,856$2,939 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,939.28 | 759 | 44.4%337 W · 422 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Samsung Lions | 61c | 3,900$2,364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,363.78 | 388 | 33.8%131 W · 257 L | -10.7wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Samsung Lions | 43c | 3,663$1,584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,584.22 | 11,054 | 51.5%5,694 W · 5,360 L | +137.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Samsung Lions | 62c | 3,543$2,192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,192.31 | 11,606 | 52.8%6,131 W · 5,475 L | +210.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e6…4c4ebacked Samsung Lions | 1c | 3,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 52 | 3.8%2 W · 50 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Samsung Lions | 60c | 3,000$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 5,517 | 50.6%2,791 W · 2,726 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Samsung Lions | 60c | 2,676$1,605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,605.36 | 168 | 46.4%78 W · 90 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Samsung Lions | 63c | 2,081$1,306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,305.84 | 1,438 | 51%734 W · 704 L | -18.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked Samsung Lions | 60c | 2,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 169 | 53.8%91 W · 78 L | +10.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Samsung Lions | 60c | 1,434$862 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$862.3 | 488 | 53.7%262 W · 226 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd898…20e7backed NC Dinos | 75c | 1,333$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.47 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked NC Dinos | 36c | 999.99$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.99 | 96 | 55.2%53 W · 43 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Samsung Lions | 61c | 859.34$524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.2 | 4,524 | 48.9%2,214 W · 2,310 L | -42.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e73…ac97backed NC Dinos | 39c | 769.23$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.23 | 114 | 49.1%56 W · 58 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2fc…b1b4backed NC Dinos | 39c | 642.29$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.8 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Samsung Lions | 51c | 432.5$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.63 | 5,172 | 54.6%2,824 W · 2,348 L | +227.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50cc…a534backed Samsung Lions | 63c | 286.67$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 44 | 34.1%15 W · 29 L | -7.1wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b3…145dbacked Samsung Lions | 64c | 273.44$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 238 | 55.5%132 W · 106 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x125a…df71backed Samsung Lions | 43c | 241.93$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.5 | 334 | 34.1%114 W · 220 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d3…8a20backed NC Dinos | 68c | 222$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.02 | 66 | 71.2%47 W · 19 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Samsung Lions | 30c | 220$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.63 | 858 | 35.7%306 W · 552 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b45…362bbacked Samsung Lions | 13c | 219.81$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.09 | 181 | 45.9%83 W · 98 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked NC Dinos | 37c | 200$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 367 | 29.4%108 W · 259 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Samsung Lions | 61c | 186.99$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.74 | 1,889 | 52.9%1,000 W · 889 L | +15.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55b9…a814backed NC Dinos | 58c | 183.71$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.42 | 283 | 47.3%134 W · 149 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x253f…4253backed NC Dinos | 43c | 167.16$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.93 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.5wins | +0.28per pick | 50cpaid | +64.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked NC Dinos | 55c | 151.1$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.39 | 5,235 | 56.8%2,972 W · 2,263 L | +130.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1413…79f7backed NC Dinos | 37c | 149.2$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +171.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Samsung Lions | 62c | 126.91$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.42 | 1,543 | 48.6%750 W · 793 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9950…1432backed Samsung Lions | 62c | 112.65$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.84 | 160 | 49.4%79 W · 81 L | -8.8wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed NC Dinos | 47c | 100.43$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.43 | 1,206 | 29.1%351 W · 855 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed NC Dinos | 39c | 100$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 1,205 | 49%591 W · 614 L | +19.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed NC Dinos | 37c | 87.91$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.54 | 3,018 | 48%1,448 W · 1,570 L | +14.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x504e…7ad9backed Samsung Lions | 31c | 84$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.65 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed Samsung Lions | 62c | 80$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.6 | 464 | 44.4%206 W · 258 L | -18.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e5…17e6backed Samsung Lions | 45c | 77.78$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed NC Dinos | 49c | 70.21$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.63 | 1,960 | 41.4%812 W · 1,148 L | -25.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc800…4117backed Samsung Lions | 29c | 68.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.01 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -3.1wins | -0.22per pick | 36cpaid | -69.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f3…8c9bbacked NC Dinos | 58c | 68.59$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.59 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +52.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Samsung Lions | 39c | 68.17$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.86 | 304 | 40.5%123 W · 181 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed NC Dinos | 74c | 66$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.24 | 718 | 50.1%360 W · 358 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb871…b3c3backed Samsung Lions | 40c | 61.43$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.57 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fca…e8edbacked NC Dinos | 41c | 60$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.4 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b25…7a69backed NC Dinos | 38c | 60$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.2 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Samsung Lions | 45c | 59.83$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.8 | 6,309 | 48.2%3,044 W · 3,265 L | +181.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4cd…c041backed Samsung Lions | 52c | 53.25$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.63 | 250 | 53.2%133 W · 117 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b89…9f72backed Samsung Lions | 62c | 50$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 111 | 55%61 W · 50 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15c5…4692backed Samsung Lions | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.2 | 403 | 51.4%207 W · 196 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfae…155ebacked NC Dinos | 58c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.1 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70bb…10d3backed NC Dinos | 63c | 48.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.02 | 298 | 52%155 W · 143 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8c…2d81backed Samsung Lions | 44c | 48$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.23 | 170 | 61.8%105 W · 65 L | +10.5wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed NC Dinos | 71c | 43.58$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.64 | 809 | 51.9%420 W · 389 L | +22.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc7…4d38backed Samsung Lions | 61c | 43.48$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.52 | 200 | 48.5%97 W · 103 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69d2…a218backed Samsung Lions | 62c | 40.32$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 90 | 48.9%44 W · 46 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc40…6ae3backed NC Dinos | 51c | 39.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.09 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c15…45a0backed Samsung Lions | 54c | 38.42$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.9 | 101 | 42.6%43 W · 58 L | -9.2wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked NC Dinos | 58c | 38$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.96 | 419 | 36.5%153 W · 266 L | -31.1wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Samsung Lions | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3,465 | 51.2%1,774 W · 1,691 L | +105.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked NC Dinos | 58c | 35.22$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.64 | 576 | 58.3%336 W · 240 L | +27.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…0882backed Samsung Lions | 40c | 33.42$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.37 | 176 | 52.8%93 W · 83 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a81…9070backed Samsung Lions | 61c | 31.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.52 | 272 | 52.9%144 W · 128 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd819…2d80backed Samsung Lions | 62c | 30$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 105 | 53.3%56 W · 49 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1262…056fbacked Samsung Lions | 61c | 29$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.69 | 360 | 48.9%176 W · 184 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe3…6599backed Samsung Lions | 62c | 28.34$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.57 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed NC Dinos | 74c | 28$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.28 | 174 | 52.3%91 W · 83 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked NC Dinos | 60c | 27.99$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.16 | 1,970 | 53.1%1,047 W · 923 L | +45.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Samsung Lions | 62c | 27$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.74 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd355…e402backed Samsung Lions | 62c | 26.41$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.48 | 74 | 55.4%41 W · 33 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3db3…9657backed Samsung Lions | 61c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6a…56bdbacked Samsung Lions | 61c | 24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 133 | 45.9%61 W · 72 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c1…dc25backed Samsung Lions | 58c | 23.25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a7e…9dc6backed Samsung Lions | 63c | 22.69$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.23 | 142 | 51.4%73 W · 69 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a0e…cdedbacked Samsung Lions | 62c | 22.13$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.69 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -3.4wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6f85…f9f5backed NC Dinos | 61c | 21.23$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.18 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff88…601dbacked NC Dinos | 60c | 16.67$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.