Fifa International · resolved market
Will Ethiopia win on 2026-06-09?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa9b68b0332f60d74d8b11ad7e557f387b4689688e5e208505fda41c634207642
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,350
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,244
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,350 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0f0b…027fbacked Yes | 45c | 1,284$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed No | 56c | 1,057$594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.74 | 333 | 50.5%168 W · 165 L | +24.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Yes | 39c | 971.43$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.33 | 1,438 | 40.1%576 W · 862 L | -40.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked No | 58c | 903.93$524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.65 | 407 | 36.6%149 W · 258 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked No | 66c | 806.93$529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.47 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb5…7ce9backed No | 60c | 686.72$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.69 | 55 | 63.6%35 W · 20 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e71…e570backed No | 56c | 617.83$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.88 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 46c | 551.76$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.27 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Yes | 42c | 410$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.02 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…ca84backed Yes | 46c | 399$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.36 | 271 | 45.8%124 W · 147 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa573…3987backed No | 57c | 364.86$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.97 | 62 | 27.4%17 W · 45 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 57c | 273.45$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.59 | 1,941 | 35.5%690 W · 1,251 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 71c | 268$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.28 | 1,559 | 52.4%817 W · 742 L | +97.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yes | 40c | 264.32$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.02 | 1,354 | 38.9%527 W · 827 L | -55.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe34c…ca55backed Yes | 34c | 200$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.2 | 55 | 63.6%35 W · 20 L | +6.4wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7d85…5c50backed Yes | 42c | 191.35$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 106 | 46.2%49 W · 57 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Yes | 34c | 167.69$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.68 | 858 | 51.2%439 W · 419 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 59c | 156.32$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.09 | 1,067 | 49.1%524 W · 543 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes | 41c | 145$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.94 | 1,492 | 41%612 W · 880 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81a8…9c69backed No | 62c | 139.59$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.04 | 254 | 54.7%139 W · 115 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef26…a6c6backed Yes | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbe8…1141backed No | 57c | 125.16$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.47 | 261 | 55.2%144 W · 117 L | +13.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed No | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.05 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59dc…2a03backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 245 | 33.9%83 W · 162 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f7c…7a19backed Yes | 33c | 99.03$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.68 | 189 | 43.4%82 W · 107 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5572…f01ebacked Yes | 47c | 97.76$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.62 | 169 | 37.3%63 W · 106 L | -8.8wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x726d…b10dbacked Yes | 26c | 97.62$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 97 | 49.5%48 W · 49 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6832…831fbacked Yes | 16c | 86.72$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.69 | 120 | 36.7%44 W · 76 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa548…8149backed No | 48c | 83.11$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.61 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 42c | 79.31$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 164 | 42.7%70 W · 94 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1b6…e0a0backed Yes | 34c | 76.47$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 25c | 76$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x29c3…01d5backed Yes | 16c | 73.08$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.69 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d4…d34cbacked Yes | 41c | 72.27$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.63 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Yes | 20c | 54.48$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.78 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5b…1578backed No | 39c | 49.39$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.13 | 238 | 58%138 W · 100 L | +14.1wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe81b…f35abacked Yes | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 401 | 45.4%182 W · 219 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…f8d8backed No | 50c | 46$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.16 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +3.7wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Yes | 36c | 42.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e5…17e6backed Yes | 52c | 40.3$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc4…9782backed Yes | 33c | 40$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf96b…9c4cbacked No | 45c | 39.22$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.57 | 205 | 53.7%110 W · 95 L | +21.6wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +25%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd0dc…ffadbacked No | 64c | 36$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.96 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | -8.4wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4060…e63cbacked No | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 204 | 47.5%97 W · 107 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2520…4cf1backed No | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.16per pick | 69cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…dba8backed Yes | 61c | 32.39$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.68 | 315 | 54.6%172 W · 143 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Yes | 44c | 30.02$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.21 | 373 | 48.3%180 W · 193 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…2512backed No | 53c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 332 | 37.3%124 W · 208 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ff2…1c10backed Yes | 41c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 128 | 48.4%62 W · 66 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b5…9db1backed No | 43c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.1 | 199 | 39.7%79 W · 120 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Yes | 47c | 29.68$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.09 | 607 | 52.4%318 W · 289 L | +21.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked Yes | 44c | 27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.84 | 361 | 39.1%141 W · 220 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8968…c3c1backed No | 63c | 24.99$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.15 | 235 | 52.8%124 W · 111 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Yes | 45c | 23.76$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.69 | 1,669 | 41.6%694 W · 975 L | +15.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed No | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 350 | 35.7%125 W · 225 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 64c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 376 | 44.9%169 W · 207 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 67c | 17.9$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.99 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked No | 67c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.95 | 454 | 72.9%331 W · 123 L | +18.8wins | +0.04per pick | 69cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Ethiopia win on 2026-06-09?this page
- Will Ethiopia vs. Malawi end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Malawi win on 2026-06-09?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.