MLB · resolved market
KBO: SSG Landers vs. Samsung Lions
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0a7a785dc28f1c582bd36796f6472deedd48aaf6af910188d00581b671e52eb3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- SSG Landersof SSG Landers, Samsung Lions
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,925
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,755
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,925 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed SSG Landers | 36c | 4,122$1,498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,623.45 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Samsung Lions | 70c | 2,957$2,081 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,080.84 | 852 | 35.8%305 W · 547 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41a8…c372backed SSG Landers | 47c | 2,139$998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,140.49 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3b…aa7dbacked SSG Landers | 23c | 1,647$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,264.97 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +4.9wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Samsung Lions | 62c | 891.91$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552.32 | 1,723 | 50.3%867 W · 856 L | +55.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked SSG Landers | 40c | 848.39$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512.79 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Samsung Lions | 59c | 496.63$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.97 | 301 | 40.5%122 W · 179 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27d2…a66cbacked Samsung Lions | 63c | 407.78$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.68 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked SSG Landers | 40c | 371.41$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.98 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed Samsung Lions | 52c | 345.25$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.19 | 162 | 50.6%82 W · 80 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc92c…6f15backed Samsung Lions | 66c | 304.63$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 273 | 57.1%156 W · 117 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Samsung Lions | 60c | 250.1$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.06 | 1,014 | 50.4%511 W · 503 L | +52.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbbc8…4f5bbacked Samsung Lions | 61c | 221.3$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.46 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e5…17e6backed SSG Landers | 24c | 217.9$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.9 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked SSG Landers | 38c | 200$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124 | 367 | 29.4%108 W · 259 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55b9…a814backed SSG Landers | 62c | 173.29$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.85 | 254 | 47.6%121 W · 133 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Samsung Lions | 69c | 170.23$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.14 | 1,912 | 53%1,014 W · 898 L | +42.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf247…d8cabacked SSG Landers | 35c | 136$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.4 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Samsung Lions | 53c | 111$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.11 | 777 | 52.1%405 W · 372 L | +36.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed SSG Landers | 34c | 108.18$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.77 | 718 | 50.1%360 W · 358 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed SSG Landers | 35c | 105.98$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.88 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked SSG Landers | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 587 | 46%270 W · 317 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Samsung Lions | 62c | 96$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.52 | 1,291 | 51%658 W · 633 L | -15.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98bd…8a55backed Samsung Lions | 64c | 94.3$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 92 | 58.7%54 W · 38 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed SSG Landers | 37c | 93.26$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.76 | 788 | 54.6%430 W · 358 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4cd…c041backed SSG Landers | 42c | 88.96$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.65 | 250 | 53.2%133 W · 117 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed SSG Landers | 37c | 81.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.6 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5452…d12ebacked SSG Landers | 37c | 80.45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.39 | 26 | 73.1%19 W · 7 L | +5.3wins | +0.20per pick | 53cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked SSG Landers | 34c | 70$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.2 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b89…9f72backed Samsung Lions | 63c | 69.79$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.97 | 107 | 56.1%60 W · 47 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Samsung Lions | 59c | 55$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.45 | 256 | 48%123 W · 133 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6a…56bdbacked SSG Landers | 37c | 52$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.98 | 133 | 45.9%61 W · 72 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Samsung Lions | 31c | 50.44$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.8 | 1,121 | 44.1%494 W · 627 L | -32.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed SSG Landers | 41c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.5 | 1,804 | 53.8%970 W · 834 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed SSG Landers | 41c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.5 | 487 | 51.5%251 W · 236 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Samsung Lions | 64c | 49.78$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.63 | 557 | 58%323 W · 234 L | +24.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Samsung Lions | 73c | 49.23$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.83 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed SSG Landers | 37c | 48.45$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.52 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4d…1cb0backed SSG Landers | 36c | 47.55$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.31 | 639 | 54.5%348 W · 291 L | +14.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed SSG Landers | 43c | 45$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.71 | 946 | 55.3%523 W · 423 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70bb…10d3backed Samsung Lions | 61c | 40$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.24 | 274 | 51.8%142 W · 132 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked SSG Landers | 59c | 38.75$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.89 | 190 | 51.1%97 W · 93 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +21%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb871…b3c3backed SSG Landers | 40c | 36.01$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.51 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc547…c570backed SSG Landers | 40c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -3.7wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Samsung Lions | 60c | 25.47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.28 | 1,879 | 40.6%763 W · 1,116 L | -39.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed Samsung Lions | 60c | 21.3$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.73 | 464 | 44.4%206 W · 258 L | -18.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c2…b14dbacked Samsung Lions | 76c | 14.47$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.03 | 1,149 | 48.9%562 W · 587 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.