MLB · resolved market
KBO: Doosan Bears vs. NC Dinos
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcb79e139511dc9bfce58e1808f9edf59ff44a3ce7d3697516725d02ef8037b4c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- NC Dinosof Doosan Bears, NC Dinos
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,931
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,069
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,931 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x98e1…3241backed Doosan Bears | 35c | 7,356$2,604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,604.44 | 96 | 44.8%43 W · 53 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked NC Dinos | 62c | 2,142$1,337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$805 | 301 | 40.5%122 W · 179 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ba4…f918backed Doosan Bears | 4c | 1,864$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed NC Dinos | 69c | 1,842$1,276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$565.1 | 852 | 35.8%305 W · 547 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6374…6408backed Doosan Bears | 2c | 1,500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55b9…a814backed NC Dinos | 74c | 1,150$852 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.5 | 254 | 47.6%121 W · 133 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed NC Dinos | 65c | 980.56$636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.71 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed NC Dinos | 77c | 312.97$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.98 | 777 | 52.1%405 W · 372 L | +36.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked NC Dinos | 63c | 295.7$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.64 | 370 | 32.7%121 W · 249 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Doosan Bears | 27c | 185.79$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.7 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked NC Dinos | 75c | 180.06$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.36 | 1,723 | 50.3%867 W · 856 L | +55.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x882e…e0a1backed NC Dinos | 72c | 171.93$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.56 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed Doosan Bears | 12c | 168.5$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.98 | 162 | 50.6%82 W · 80 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e14…5adabacked NC Dinos | 60c | 166.54$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.55 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +57.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked NC Dinos | 65c | 140$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.38 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2465…5d84backed NC Dinos | 79c | 125$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.35 | 1,100 | 79.6%876 W · 224 L | +32.7wins | +0.03per pick | 77cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70bb…10d3backed NC Dinos | 79c | 104.29$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.1 | 274 | 51.8%142 W · 132 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40e9…494fbacked Doosan Bears | 18c | 94.55$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.88 | 121 | 28.9%35 W · 86 L | -6.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e5…17e6backed NC Dinos | 54c | 89.75$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.29 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05d6…5c3abacked Doosan Bears | 51c | 80.07$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.59 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked Doosan Bears | 22c | 70$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed NC Dinos | 49c | 55.4$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.25 | 788 | 54.6%430 W · 358 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Doosan Bears | 30c | 52.91$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.04 | 1,912 | 53%1,014 W · 898 L | +42.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4d…1cb0backed NC Dinos | 62c | 39.98$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.39 | 639 | 54.5%348 W · 291 L | +14.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked NC Dinos | 77c | 37.15$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.64 | 557 | 58%323 W · 234 L | +24.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Doosan Bears | 42c | 36.17$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.19 | 473 | 45.7%216 W · 257 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4cd…c041backed NC Dinos | 66c | 31.77$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.95 | 250 | 53.2%133 W · 117 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29b3…966bbacked NC Dinos | 74c | 15.24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.96 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.