Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Fortuna Sittard win on 2026-08-08?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdc2911230a5bd5e04ae277e34508eb7a51d1f51d5f77279e8b720edcc25d2820
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $161,517
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $167,660
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $161,517 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 5c | 52,716$2,877 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,876.91 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe15b…c15cbacked Yes | 6c | 13,141$788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$788.44 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 4c | 12,094$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.41 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 5c | 4,355$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.74 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Yes | 5c | 4,292$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.59 | 324 | 36.4%118 W · 206 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 5c | 4,044$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.48 | 460 | 44.3%204 W · 256 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…2a75backed Yes | 7c | 3,321$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.49 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 5c | 3,120$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 1,107 | 47.7%528 W · 579 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe073…9959backed Yes | 6c | 2,183$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.96 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes | 4c | 1,797$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.05 | 341 | 39.9%136 W · 205 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked Yes | 5c | 1,137$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.26 | 191 | 65.4%125 W · 66 L | +18.3wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +29%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed Yes | 1c | 1,113$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.86 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65b5…aa71backed No | 79c | 1,000$790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 174 | 60.3%105 W · 69 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 5c | 845.73$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.29 | 1,467 | 48%704 W · 763 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 68c | 816.35$551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.09 | 92 | 37%34 W · 58 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 20c | 643.27$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.65 | 911 | 48%437 W · 474 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6a…4adabacked Yes | 33c | 540.54$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.25 | 130 | 56.2%73 W · 57 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 29c | 536.69$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.02 | 153 | 71.9%110 W · 43 L | +15.5wins | +0.10per pick | 62cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe289…c31abacked No | 76c | 434.21$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0b…3790backed Yes | 6c | 373.14$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.39 | 77 | 31.2%24 W · 53 L | +10.1wins | +0.13per pick | 18cpaid | +229.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf4…d0b2backed Yes | 7c | 300$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d10…780bbacked Yes | 5c | 300$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6a…56bdbacked Yes | 5c | 300$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked Yes | 6c | 288.22$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.96 | 74 | 59.5%44 W · 30 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bf…f0ccbacked Yes | 26c | 272.72$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.3 | 77 | 79.2%61 W · 16 L | +18.2wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +55.4%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b8…233abacked Yes | 5c | 240$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f84…67efbacked Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 240 | 30.4%73 W · 167 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 74c | 166$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.48 | 381 | 47.5%181 W · 200 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0aba…1910backed No | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9afc…314bbacked Yes | 10c | 108.45$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.85 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee4a…ad4cbacked Yes | 20c | 105.24$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +95.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Yes | 22c | 67.9$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.62 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x276a…fc66backed No | 80c | 67.4$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.48 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 75cpaid | +14%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…f368backed No | 75c | 66.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.72 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac69…3c46backed No | 77c | 59.35$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.65 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1db6…fa76backed Yes | 23c | 49$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.27 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7629…226cbacked Yes | 21c | 47.71$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.02 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e8b…13e6backed No | 80c | 37.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed No | 80c | 31.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.25 | 187 | 40.1%75 W · 112 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked No | 73c | 17.88$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.86 | 100 | 49%49 W · 51 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ad…5097backed No | 79c | 16$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.36 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 76cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Fortuna Sittard win on 2026-08-08?this page
- Will PSV vs. Fortuna Sittard end in a draw?Yes won
- Will PSV win on 2026-08-08?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.