Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will PSV vs. Fortuna Sittard end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x34057356ef2cff0779970ae59fbf0b8cd6eff4661429ae3b562c9f1656c47517
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $50,713
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $53,299
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,713 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 78c | 12,686$9,897 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,897.11 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x122b…ac59backed No | 1c | 10,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 65 | 32.3%21 W · 44 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +93.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 26c | 7,644$2,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,636.68 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec5…fd53backed No | 5c | 4,289$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.4 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 18c | 2,994$544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,450.33 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 44c | 932.02$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.43 | 341 | 39.9%136 W · 205 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 29c | 735.1$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$521.92 | 153 | 71.9%110 W · 43 L | +15.5wins | +0.10per pick | 62cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x29d2…7babbacked Yes | 8c | 721.99$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$662.01 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | +7.0wins | +0.12per pick | 33cpaid | +74.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9661…36f6backed Yes | 20c | 713$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$567.47 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6e5…b254backed Yes | 28c | 700$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +5.4wins | +0.16per pick | 40cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes | 19c | 687.1$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$556.55 | 985 | 52.3%515 W · 470 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2759…2b38backed Yes | 10c | 311.27$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.14 | 72 | 31.9%23 W · 49 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 29c | 298.68$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.09 | 892 | 58.2%519 W · 373 L | +58.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e8b…13e6backed Yes | 9c | 211.11$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.11 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 80c | 187.64$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.78 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x460c…b5b5backed Yes | 26c | 185.7$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.58 | 75 | 64%48 W · 27 L | +6.3wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed Yes | 49c | 181.51$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.75 | 256 | 41.4%106 W · 150 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf3d0…2fefbacked No | 72c | 178.58$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.58 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.19per pick | 55cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee4a…ad4cbacked Yes | 20c | 171.22$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.22 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +95.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 19c | 165$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.65 | 638 | 49.5%316 W · 322 L | +26.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Yes | 28c | 137.23$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.03 | 305 | 50.8%155 W · 150 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bf…f0ccbacked Yes | 78c | 127.65$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.75 | 77 | 79.2%61 W · 16 L | +18.2wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +55.4%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 26c | 112$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.56 | 338 | 53.3%180 W · 158 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked No | 46c | 107$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.4 | 90 | 64.4%58 W · 32 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x013f…ca85backed Yes | 29c | 105.19$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.83 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3a…9993backed Yes | 11c | 97.09$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.41 | 125 | 62.4%78 W · 47 L | +10.3wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 72c | 84.23$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.65 | 911 | 48%437 W · 474 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a92…8586backed No | 17c | 81.66$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Yes | 28c | 72.89$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.34 | 339 | 59%200 W · 139 L | +18.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Yes | 26c | 72.47$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.51 | 351 | 63.5%223 W · 128 L | +13.8wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 26c | 72.11$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.49 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Yes | 26c | 67$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.5 | 297 | 54.5%162 W · 135 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cb2…ee14backed No | 71c | 49.44$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.13 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb619…49c9backed Yes | 27c | 44.08$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.11 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +4.0wins | +0.21per pick | 52cpaid | +45.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 31c | 41.61$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.71 | 323 | 50.2%162 W · 161 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked No | 70c | 39.63$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.74 | 74 | 59.5%44 W · 30 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7629…226cbacked Yes | 28c | 35.78$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 46c | 22.72$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.52 | 381 | 47.5%181 W · 200 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ec7…93d1backed Yes | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.65 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ad…5097backed No | 73c | 17$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.41 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 76cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6dd…5e33backed Yes | 68c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.75 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will PSV vs. Fortuna Sittard end in a draw?this page
- Will Fortuna Sittard win on 2026-08-08?No won
- Will PSV win on 2026-08-08?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.