TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Valorant · resolved market

Valorant: Ushiras vs Arashi GC (BO3) - VCT Game Changers Brazil Final Stage Playoffs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Ushirasof Ushiras, Arashi GC
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$46,352
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$46,044

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $46,352 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 102 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Valorant
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x65c1…2988backed Ushiras40c24,145$9,639 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,506.1125554.9%140 W · 115 L+13.6wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+17.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7e5e…7315backed Arashi GC60c22,365$13,363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,363.023046.7%14 W · 16 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c2b…825ebacked Ushiras42c2,914$1,233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,680.876154.1%33 W · 28 L+3.6wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+14.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x67bb…b6efbacked Ushiras43c2,460$1,067 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,393.464542.2%19 W · 26 L-3.5wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-18.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4b6b…acabbacked Arashi GC2c2,135$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.62966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed Arashi GC61c1,580$956 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$956.556551.2%289 W · 276 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x015f…d051backed Ushiras41c1,193$489 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$703.582152.4%11 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd07…8d16backed Arashi GC59c1,000$590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5902934.5%10 W · 19 L-4.6wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-29.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Ushiras35c998.69$347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$651.9688844.4%394 W · 494 L+0.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed Arashi GC60c922.06$551 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$551.3793148.1%448 W · 483 L-11.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x94b9…2592backed Ushiras24c770$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$581.54517.8%8 W · 37 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick22cpaid-20.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4923…6866backed Ushiras40c732.98$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$442.125263.5%33 W · 19 L+7.1wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+32.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc708…a968backed Arashi GC59c706.88$417 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$417.0610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5944…764ebacked Arashi GC59c599.56$352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352.414163.4%26 W · 15 L+3.6wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+17.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd0e9…67ffbacked Ushiras45c539.76$241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$299.186445.3%29 W · 35 L+0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8726…0f36backed Ushiras39c491.99$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300.1123055.7%128 W · 102 L+11.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf8e4…3b32backed Ushiras41c420.15$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.79250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+22.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x00c4…4c30backed Arashi GC59c420$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.8450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-11.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a3b…5fa5backed Arashi GC60c416.67$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25023463.7%149 W · 85 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked Arashi GC68c407.13$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275.331,24749.6%619 W · 628 L-2.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Arashi GC65c400$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.5796245.1%434 W · 528 L-18.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd786…59b8backed Arashi GC57c382.59$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.453627.8%10 W · 26 L-5.4wins-0.15per pick43cpaid-42.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Arashi GC51c337.63$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.351,60137.5%600 W · 1,001 L-75.0wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-26.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6407…d360backed Arashi GC60c333.33$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20017948.6%87 W · 92 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2da3…f258backed Arashi GC64c301.5$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.5549255.3%272 W · 220 L+23.7wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+5.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd619…c461backed Ushiras40c300$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18026447.3%125 W · 139 L+9.6wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+10.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Arashi GC60c300$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.527145%122 W · 149 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7eeb…b6bdbacked Arashi GC4c295.14$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.036235.5%22 W · 40 L-3.8wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdecf…2957backed Arashi GC42c289.12$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.532060%12 W · 8 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+11.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Ushiras39c273.54$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.8618143.6%79 W · 102 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x53d3…cc48backed Arashi GC61c267.79$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.032040%8 W · 12 L-2.5wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-29.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdccf…faeabacked Arashi GC59c264.52$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.381353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-0.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b03…d5cdbacked Ushiras40c251.5$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.5366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.32per pick35cpaid+59.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfbf3…70e3backed Arashi GC61c245.85$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.976055%33 W · 27 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b0c…d43abacked Arashi GC61c233$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.138240.2%33 W · 49 L-8.2wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-21%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Ushiras69c204.14$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.721,35839%530 W · 828 L-57.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-17%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf3ac…c9f4backed Arashi GC39c203.72$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$807254.2%39 W · 33 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid-10.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb697…5d0cbacked Arashi GC60c203.33$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+40.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd5a5…6f1fbacked Arashi GC61c200$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122911.1%1 W · 8 L-4.1wins-0.46per pick57cpaid-78.2%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x1058…01c1backed Arashi GC59c189.13$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.77475%3 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick71cpaid-0.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x39c9…7debbacked Ushiras54c173.28$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.346050%30 W · 30 L+2.9wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+12.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf397…f3c8backed Arashi GC59c167.8$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$992572%18 W · 7 L+3.1wins+0.12per pick60cpaid+22.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Arashi GC59c150$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.522346.6%104 W · 119 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdcce…c920backed Arashi GC74c147.03$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.61070%7 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick64cpaid+12.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb003…d9c9backed Arashi GC59c126$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.3410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a3b…aa7dbacked Arashi GC59c124.74$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.64845.8%22 W · 26 L-4.4wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-20.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Arashi GC55c118.82$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.8590733.1%300 W · 607 L-89.7wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-40.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xa211…c0e1backed Arashi GC60c109.99$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.3850%4 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-20.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a7e…9dc6backed Arashi GC58c104.63$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.736261.3%38 W · 24 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xae27…6fb2backed Ushiras13c101.54$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.541040%4 W · 6 L+1.7wins+0.17per pick23cpaid+64.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf2c3…f821backed Arashi GC64c100$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.1666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9696…2bc3backed Arashi GC59c100$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$595444.4%24 W · 30 L-5.5wins-0.10per pick55cpaid-17.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2d87…df1dbacked Ushiras43c100$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick37cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked Ushiras75c97.37$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.3628743.2%124 W · 163 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Arashi GC48c93.49$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.881,27632.1%409 W · 867 L-67.5wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-28.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x696a…823bbacked Arashi GC33c92.15$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302065%13 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick69cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1230…c70bbacked Arashi GC63c91.79$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.051118.2%2 W · 9 L-3.5wins-0.32per pick50cpaid-66.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x3211…9ee3backed Arashi GC55c88$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.45538.2%21 W · 34 L-7.9wins-0.14per pick53cpaid-35.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xbfdd…e70ebacked Arashi GC61c81$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.414946.9%23 W · 26 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7091…96f8backed Ushiras42c80$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.41136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-25.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbdbb…a2cdbacked Ushiras41c80$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.24942.9%21 W · 28 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Arashi GC60c80$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.1532462.7%203 W · 121 L+31.7wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+10%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Arashi GC66c79.8$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.8639646%182 W · 214 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed Ushiras70c78$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.5699846%459 W · 539 L-27.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xca7c…e994backed Ushiras40c77.59$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.5563447.9%304 W · 330 L-13.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdf61…f9e2backed Ushiras40c74.81$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.811154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+29.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Arashi GC61c74$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.7960154.2%326 W · 275 L+24.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x15ef…647cbacked Ushiras68c73.86$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.864052.5%21 W · 19 L+0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaa52…865bbacked Arashi GC60c73.52$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.1130%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe803…b60ebacked Arashi GC60c71.52$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.9119551.3%100 W · 95 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Arashi GC60c67.37$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.4266650.8%338 W · 328 L-5.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x042d…0b81backed Ushiras40c67.23$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.343141.9%13 W · 18 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1585…c3b7backed Arashi GC38c66.6$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253857.9%22 W · 16 L+3.6wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+19.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf647…0ccbbacked Arashi GC66c63.95$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.424955.1%27 W · 22 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+33.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x72da…9b77backed Arashi GC57c60.18$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.43844.7%17 W · 21 L+4.1wins+0.11per pick34cpaid+31.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xad2c…4eecbacked Ushiras40c60.05$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.2520553.2%109 W · 96 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1fce…0ac9backed Arashi GC52c53.1$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.6110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf20b…e27dbacked Arashi GC55c52.96$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.2817653.4%94 W · 82 L+9.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+15.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed Arashi GC60c51.5$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.0328252.5%148 W · 134 L-0.4wins0.00per pick53cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Arashi GC61c42$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.7774642.8%319 W · 427 L-27.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-18.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Arashi GC62c42$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2670043.7%306 W · 394 L-13.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4bb…22a9backed Ushiras39c41.27$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.091376.9%10 W · 3 L+3.4wins+0.26per pick51cpaid+53.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Ushiras35c39.99$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.9969722.8%159 W · 538 L-94.4wins-0.14per pick36cpaid-54.7%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0xc785…4ef2backed Arashi GC74c39.33$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.995937.3%22 W · 37 L-4.9wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-41.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked Arashi GC61c38.76$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.750944.6%227 W · 282 L-9.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-18.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x767e…98cabacked Arashi GC60c34.67$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.81241.7%5 W · 7 L-2.9wins-0.25per pick66cpaid-36.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd7d0…681ebacked Ushiras38c33.89$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.01450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+20.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f8e…21b7backed Ushiras43c33.77$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.134447.7%21 W · 23 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf0d0…028abacked Ushiras39c33.33$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.333663.9%23 W · 13 L+2.9wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+15.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x277b…31fabacked Arashi GC56c32.34$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.114953.1%26 W · 23 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1c8f…e478backed Arashi GC63c30.32$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.0420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9d30…d31dbacked Ushiras41c30$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.71435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-14.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0ac5…f963backed Arashi GC51c28.83$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.5611246.4%52 W · 60 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-11%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6db…3155backed Arashi GC59c28.27$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.599355.9%52 W · 41 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Arashi GC61c28$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.1857151%291 W · 280 L+16.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3da8…be26backed Ushiras40c28$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.88349.4%41 W · 42 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x00d2…fe64backed Ushiras47c27$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.3120248.5%98 W · 104 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f56…348abacked Ushiras67c23.93$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.9624032.1%77 W · 163 L-18.7wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-34.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6d10…b3d0backed Arashi GC60c20$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122860.7%17 W · 11 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f38…13c8backed Arashi GC56c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.2580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.29per pick51cpaid+69%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.