Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Ushiras vs Arashi GC - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7b3f72d9ccda8966a999ed632ac6ff63a59b5c0bbc4a5fa25117f7eb75d425b1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ushirasof Ushiras, Arashi GC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,246
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,217
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,246 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf647…0ccbbacked Ushiras | 60c | 206.63$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.46 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e9…2a7fbacked Arashi GC | 20c | 197.9$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.16 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Ushiras | 43c | 145.45$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.61 | 888 | 44.4%394 W · 494 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Arashi GC | 57c | 89$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.11 | 962 | 45.1%434 W · 528 L | -18.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Arashi GC | 50c | 82.44$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.01 | 1,247 | 49.6%619 W · 628 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Arashi GC | 23c | 81$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.75 | 1,601 | 37.5%600 W · 1,001 L | -75.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed Arashi GC | 64c | 65.02$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.61 | 463 | 47.1%218 W · 245 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked Ushiras | 36c | 48$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.72 | 321 | 57.6%185 W · 136 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Arashi GC | 29c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.59 | 1,358 | 39%530 W · 828 L | -57.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8c…2d81backed Arashi GC | 41c | 36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.84 | 143 | 45.5%65 W · 78 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Arashi GC | 39c | 31.9$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.56 | 907 | 33.1%300 W · 607 L | -89.7wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa211…c0e1backed Ushiras | 64c | 28.39$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.22 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Arashi GC | 51c | 21.76$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 848 | 38.2%324 W · 524 L | -50.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e89…2d4ebacked Ushiras | 49c | 21.76$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6428…c83abacked Ushiras | 71c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Ushiras vs Arashi GC - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Valorant: Ushiras vs Arashi GC (BO3) - VCT Game Changers Brazil Final Stage PlayoffsUshiras won
- Valorant: Ushiras vs Arashi GC - Map 1 WinnerArashi GC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.