CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: 5star vs Kaleido Gaming (BO3) - Moscow Cyber Games Asian Qualifier Group B
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4a3d7a642342842b1079c86ba484f4c6e2d4d0e84f86d0596eed177cc5bf3383
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- 5starof 5star, Kaleido Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,227
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,355
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,227 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe1f3…5402backed 5star | 56c | 6,107$3,391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,716.93 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +14%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5135…7217backed Kaleido Gaming | 46c | 3,474$1,585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,584.61 | 1,620 | 52.7%853 W · 767 L | +57.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f0b…eb6dbacked Kaleido Gaming | 45c | 2,200$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$989.94 | 163 | 43.6%71 W · 92 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92d0…d69bbacked 5star | 44c | 1,595$701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$893.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -20%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…f2d0backed 5star | 54c | 1,335$721 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$613.98 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeef6…cd4cbacked 5star | 52c | 724.21$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.62 | 174 | 48.3%84 W · 90 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Kaleido Gaming | 44c | 669.02$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.82 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Kaleido Gaming | 45c | 661.09$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.9 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x984f…9a43backed 5star | 56c | 499.99$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 85 | 70.6%60 W · 25 L | +18.5wins | +0.22per pick | 49cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Kaleido Gaming | 51c | 446.03$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.44 | 1,618 | 46.8%758 W · 860 L | -28.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f41…260ebacked Kaleido Gaming | 46c | 400$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184 | 165 | 50.3%83 W · 82 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed 5star | 54c | 333.96$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.29 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -39%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed 5star | 55c | 330$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.7 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x443c…d83abacked Kaleido Gaming | 62c | 311.66$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.45 | 170 | 55.3%94 W · 76 L | +11.3wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Kaleido Gaming | 53c | 240.4$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.2 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x45da…72febacked Kaleido Gaming | 41c | 232.07$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.46 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Kaleido Gaming | 47c | 230.98$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.94 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Kaleido Gaming | 33c | 225.24$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.91 | 2,136 | 42.9%916 W · 1,220 L | -68.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb21b…88f9backed 5star | 51c | 221.64$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.6 | 470 | 54%254 W · 216 L | +12.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…47e7backed Kaleido Gaming | 53c | 202.18$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.85 | 456 | 45.2%206 W · 250 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6c4…8930backed Kaleido Gaming | 47c | 195.9$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 63 | 38.1%24 W · 39 L | -4.8wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Kaleido Gaming | 43c | 193.06$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.92 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4b27…0635backed 5star | 58c | 180$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.6 | 317 | 49.5%157 W · 160 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bf1…294fbacked Kaleido Gaming | 42c | 174.02$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.63 | 136 | 42.6%58 W · 78 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Kaleido Gaming | 55c | 164.71$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.46 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6983…88c3backed Kaleido Gaming | 48c | 153.02$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.45 | 144 | 43.1%62 W · 82 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97f2…d56fbacked Kaleido Gaming | 45c | 150$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +4.4wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked Kaleido Gaming | 49c | 146.99$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.03 | 1,496 | 51.5%771 W · 725 L | -7.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d40…dd57backed Kaleido Gaming | 59c | 132.88$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.25 | 123 | 40.7%50 W · 73 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Kaleido Gaming | 43c | 125.69$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.72 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…e82bbacked Kaleido Gaming | 51c | 117.64$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 161 | 46%74 W · 87 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c3f…e6a2backed Kaleido Gaming | 46c | 108.22$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.78 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb595…5922backed Kaleido Gaming | 47c | 108$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.26 | 199 | 53.8%107 W · 92 L | +10.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa005…abb1backed Kaleido Gaming | 46c | 104.22$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.54 | 168 | 47.6%80 W · 88 L | -9.5wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1612…9dedbacked Kaleido Gaming | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 255 | 51.8%132 W · 123 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked 5star | 52c | 92.53$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.06 | 2,110 | 47.2%995 W · 1,115 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6083…aa55backed Kaleido Gaming | 45c | 91.74$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.5 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -3.3wins | -0.15per pick | 42cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed 5star | 47c | 85.41$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.06 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed 5star | 61c | 82.23$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.77 | 2,326 | 45.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f38…13c8backed Kaleido Gaming | 44c | 80$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.4 | 86 | 55.8%48 W · 38 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed 5star | 37c | 78.43$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.47 | 336 | 27.7%93 W · 243 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Kaleido Gaming | 38c | 77$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.34 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Kaleido Gaming | 47c | 74.47$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.08 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4df9…a15ebacked Kaleido Gaming | 51c | 72.36$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Kaleido Gaming | 36c | 66$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.73 | 2,349 | 42.5%998 W · 1,351 L | -72.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7eeb…b6bdbacked 5star | 45c | 65.46$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 204 | 47.1%96 W · 108 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Kaleido Gaming | 36c | 65.27$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.31 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3b…2921backed 5star | 61c | 64.6$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.27 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +2.9wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed Kaleido Gaming | 49c | 59.69$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.05 | 164 | 61.6%101 W · 63 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked 5star | 53c | 58.6$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.54 | 1,068 | 55%587 W · 481 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed Kaleido Gaming | 48c | 53$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.59 | 1,083 | 42.1%456 W · 627 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8c…2d81backed 5star | 41c | 46$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.13 | 457 | 48.1%220 W · 237 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x091f…6a06backed Kaleido Gaming | 71c | 42.25$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed Kaleido Gaming | 54c | 42.19$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.57 | 700 | 42.3%296 W · 404 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf95d…17bcbacked 5star | 39c | 39.72$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.28 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda33…cd9abacked 5star | 56c | 32.78$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.42 | 150 | 56.7%85 W · 65 L | +11.0wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked 5star | 70c | 29.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.9 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc62a…76b5backed Kaleido Gaming | 56c | 28.34$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 160 | 48.8%78 W · 82 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf66a…bcb8backed 5star | 59c | 25.35$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.35 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Kaleido Gaming | 41c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 597 | 3%18 W · 579 L | -221.0wins | -0.37per pick | 40cpaid | -90.7%equal weight | 11-0.36 edge/pick |
| 0x9266…a9d3backed Kaleido Gaming | 48c | 24.44$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.71 | 76 | 57.9%44 W · 32 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59d8…ad87backed 5star | 54c | 21.92$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.08 | 127 | 54.3%69 W · 58 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad2c…4eecbacked 5star | 49c | 20.34$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.32 | 512 | 52.1%267 W · 245 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked Kaleido Gaming | 64c | 18.13$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.63 | 526 | 45.1%237 W · 289 L | -20.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: 5star vs Kaleido Gaming (BO3) - Moscow Cyber Games Asian Qualifier Group Bthis page
- Counter-Strike: 5star vs Kaleido Gaming - Map 2 Winner5star won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.