TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Color vs CYBERSHOKE Prospects (BO3) - Moscow Cyber Games European Qualifier Group Stage

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Colorof Color, CYBERSHOKE Prospects
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$62,079
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$67,090

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $62,079 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 109 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x73e3…1be9backed CYBERSHOKE Prospects36c35,746$12,869 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,868.5820153.7%108 W · 93 L+9.4wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked Color64c31,300$20,023 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,276.135,02855%2,763 W · 2,265 L+112.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Color64c2,181$1,395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$786.552,61051.7%1,349 W · 1,261 L+16.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e50…2609backed Color64c1,571$1,005 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$565.5259055.3%326 W · 264 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5135…7217backed Color56c1,339$753 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$585.441,60552.6%845 W · 760 L+57.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd619…c461backed CYBERSHOKE Prospects41c1,322$547 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$547.3727045.9%124 W · 146 L+10.0wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+11.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf84d…8830backed Color61c1,246$760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$485.846262.9%39 W · 23 L+6.9wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+22.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4a3f…4333backed Color64c1,241$794 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$447.1145854.8%251 W · 207 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x051c…ca3fbacked CYBERSHOKE Prospects37c1,125$413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$412.7835347.9%169 W · 184 L-12.0wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b97…8d30backed Color57c994.65$567 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$427.766551.9%345 W · 320 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5984…76ebbacked CYBERSHOKE Prospects36c971.17$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$349.6252236.8%192 W · 330 L+20.2wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+11.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed CYBERSHOKE Prospects6c726.45$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.4967645%304 W · 372 L-24.2wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-17.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed Color64c713$456 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.682,05741.5%853 W · 1,204 L-50.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe36c…a856backed CYBERSHOKE Prospects37c620.88$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2278038.8%31 W · 49 L0.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa1a0…f447backed CYBERSHOKE Prospects36c600$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2162050%10 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2140…0e12backed Color64c599.28$384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.7454339.4%214 W · 329 L-21.3wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb676…3303backed CYBERSHOKE Prospects34c590.97$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1983043.3%13 W · 17 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8726…0f36backed Color63c540.99$341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.1673854.5%402 W · 336 L+14.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x31a0…6d52backed CYBERSHOKE Prospects37c539.39$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.12per pick39cpaid-51.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1bac…d241backed CYBERSHOKE Prospects43c531.07$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.6440439.6%160 W · 244 L-1.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed CYBERSHOKE Prospects44c504.61$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.031,01753.4%543 W · 474 L+65.1wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+6.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x30dc…f26ebacked CYBERSHOKE Prospects39c492.33$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.0116236.4%59 W · 103 L-0.6wins0.00per pick37cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked CYBERSHOKE Prospects37c476.19$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.1974633.4%249 W · 497 L-48.6wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-30.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7e18…872ebacked Color63c476.19$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.193360.6%20 W · 13 L+2.2wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+10.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed CYBERSHOKE Prospects37c472.97$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1755,81037.8%2,196 W · 3,614 L+78.9wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4923…6866backed Color63c400$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1486462.5%40 W · 24 L+7.6wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+20.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa533…acacbacked Color65c384.62$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.6223658.5%138 W · 98 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb66c…a0f5backed Color64c376.68$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.682458.3%14 W · 10 L+2.1wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+10.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3f26…c83bbacked CYBERSHOKE Prospects30c354.03$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.4420936.4%76 W · 133 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52e5…60babacked Color65c346.15$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.156965.2%45 W · 24 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcfa2…7321backed CYBERSHOKE Prospects12c336$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401833.3%6 W · 12 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+22.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c42…b792backed CYBERSHOKE Prospects36c329.63$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.677040%28 W · 42 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-17%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked CYBERSHOKE Prospects19c312.21$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.113,41529.3%1,001 W · 2,414 L-275.1wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-43.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked CYBERSHOKE Prospects36c305$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.847836.8%176 W · 302 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbadb…31a7backed Color64c300$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10811844.9%53 W · 65 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc0c…dac0backed Color64c300$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10840175.1%301 W · 100 L+20.2wins+0.05per pick70cpaid+6.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7786…c005backed CYBERSHOKE Prospects35c299.99$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10522142.1%93 W · 128 L-13.2wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-15.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfbf3…70e3backed CYBERSHOKE Prospects39c299.97$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.998144.4%36 W · 45 L-6.2wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-16.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed CYBERSHOKE Prospects37c280.03$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.5512747.2%60 W · 67 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked CYBERSHOKE Prospects13c278$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.144,66143.5%2,027 W · 2,634 L-85.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe044…019abacked Color67c268.37$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.982100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+79%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xae8d…6db9backed CYBERSHOKE Prospects39c248.72$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+25.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed CYBERSHOKE Prospects35c234.62$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.122,60830.9%807 W · 1,801 L-103.7wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-29.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc8a1…ceb5backed CYBERSHOKE Prospects39c223.08$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$874450%22 W · 22 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-9.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8a3b…aa7dbacked CYBERSHOKE Prospects44c212.18$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.368243.9%36 W · 46 L+0.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe6c…a2c3backed CYBERSHOKE Prospects16c200$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$322356.5%13 W · 10 L+1.8wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf247…d8cabacked CYBERSHOKE Prospects25c199.99$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$497548%36 W · 39 L+0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x94e5…52bebacked CYBERSHOKE Prospects26c176.62$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.86152.5%32 W · 29 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfd22…bb29backed Color61c166.66$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$651100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x294b…22d2backed Color61c163.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.9339455.3%218 W · 176 L+17.5wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+9.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x97f2…d56fbacked Color64c160$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.63366.7%22 W · 11 L+4.1wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+30.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb9cd…f418backed Color64c160$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.6666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+31.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe962…7a52backed Color64c150$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$545841.4%24 W · 34 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-8.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xfd4f…a4d3backed Color64c148.51$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.973850%19 W · 19 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe3b0…b4d1backed CYBERSHOKE Prospects36c138.89$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5025851.9%134 W · 124 L+13.3wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+14.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4b59…3aa6backed Color60c125.29$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.1284658.4%494 W · 352 L+60.7wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+15.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7b28…ff4fbacked CYBERSHOKE Prospects44c125$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$551,31851.7%682 W · 636 L+28.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x536e…4fd5backed Color61c122.9$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.936167.2%41 W · 20 L+8.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+24.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked CYBERSHOKE Prospects37c121.23$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.397545.3%34 W · 41 L-9.2wins-0.12per pick58cpaid-24.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x2d40…dd57backed CYBERSHOKE Prospects37c118.15$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.3211840.7%48 W · 70 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb171…7d2bbacked Color64c105.14$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.910461.5%64 W · 40 L+8.6wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+21.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xe803…b60ebacked Color64c100.58$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.2132158.3%187 W · 134 L+7.9wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9696…2bc3backed Color65c100$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3535857.8%207 W · 151 L+14.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+12.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcb71…4371backed Color65c100$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3585351.7%441 W · 412 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca08…08bdbacked Color63c100$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3741150.1%206 W · 205 L-9.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked CYBERSHOKE Prospects15c93.45$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.114,89737.4%1,832 W · 3,065 L-245.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-32.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x08e0…f4a0backed Color64c89.06$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.0683556.2%469 W · 366 L+31.5wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+10%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0607…b344backed Color61c83.33$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.53577.1%27 W · 8 L+8.4wins+0.24per pick53cpaid+59.4%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0x2da3…f258backed CYBERSHOKE Prospects15c82.04$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.1568059.3%403 W · 277 L+64.6wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+13.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xa005…abb1backed Color56c80.35$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.3615746.5%73 W · 84 L-10.6wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-15.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7091…96f8backed Color64c80$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.82552%13 W · 12 L+0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x08ce…f301backed Color63c80$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.68436.9%31 W · 53 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Color63c79.99$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.61,82847.6%871 W · 957 L-54.9wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5427…94c0backed Color64c78.13$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.132763%17 W · 10 L+2.5wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Color70c77.33$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.231,60646.8%752 W · 854 L-27.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4fb7…e9dbbacked Color64c71.88$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.881338.5%5 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x290e…7bb4backed Color65c66$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.1250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-23.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed Color63c65.5$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.2348251.7%249 W · 233 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x042d…0b81backed CYBERSHOKE Prospects43c65.06$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.9810360.2%62 W · 41 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x910a…1aa7backed Color64c60.43$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.754065%26 W · 14 L+5.9wins+0.15per pick50cpaid+30.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7c8c…2d81backed CYBERSHOKE Prospects36c60$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.643448.4%210 W · 224 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7eeb…b6bdbacked CYBERSHOKE Prospects19c57.79$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.9318445.7%84 W · 100 L-0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad2c…4eecbacked CYBERSHOKE Prospects41c55.9$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.250952.1%265 W · 244 L+9.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x203a…935fbacked CYBERSHOKE Prospects36c55.56$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2027954.5%152 W · 127 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-4.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b12…1a7bbacked CYBERSHOKE Prospects36c52.08$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.754131.7%13 W · 28 L-7.9wins-0.19per pick51cpaid-46.5%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x2077…8161backed Color64c51.56$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.5610757%61 W · 46 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-1.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x09da…50bcbacked Color64c50.87$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.3741555.4%230 W · 185 L+12.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa951…8a2fbacked CYBERSHOKE Prospects36c48$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.281,03454.9%568 W · 466 L-2.5wins0.00per pick55cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x70b4…6815backed Color64c47.75$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.1923265.1%151 W · 81 L+6.8wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1230…c70bbacked Color67c43.47$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.353450%17 W · 17 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x94d2…cfbdbacked Color72c43.35$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.22,08447%979 W · 1,105 L-64.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-18.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x44e9…1fb0backed Color67c41.12$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.57650%3 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-17.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x90a7…5ac0backed CYBERSHOKE Prospects35c40$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1422546.7%105 W · 120 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x50ac…4854backed CYBERSHOKE Prospects36c38$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.6810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a06…248abacked Color64c37.32$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.564261.9%26 W · 16 L+4.6wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+22.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6628…3d33backed Color76c32.67$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.8442174.1%312 W · 109 L+14.1wins+0.03per pick71cpaid+4.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x676b…f744backed Color63c31.89$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.891266.7%8 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x35f5…d7c4backed CYBERSHOKE Prospects37c27.7$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.31163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+10.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb476…ddc2backed Color64c25.5$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.1812151.2%62 W · 59 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd04e…122ebacked Color61c24.57$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.581100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.