CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Color vs CYBERSHOKE Prospects - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa5a09ba5fdb9a951cc68119e35b091f4a91898fd1f50739805d97c5624b0331b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Colorof Color, CYBERSHOKE Prospects
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,560
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,574
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,560 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 11 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xed44…4f76backed CYBERSHOKE Prospects | 6c | 3,150$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.61 | 519 | 42.2%219 W · 300 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54ac…47e6backed CYBERSHOKE Prospects | 41c | 404.45$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.51 | 673 | 72.2%486 W · 187 L | +119.1wins | +0.18per pick | 55cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc7…4d38backed Color | 59c | 328.29$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.6 | 56 | 62.5%35 W · 21 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78f4…38eebacked CYBERSHOKE Prospects | 15c | 320$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.7 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 25cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed CYBERSHOKE Prospects | 12c | 267$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.71 | 1,083 | 42.1%456 W · 627 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked CYBERSHOKE Prospects | 20c | 265.1$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.91 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked Color | 58c | 198.65$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.4 | 1,496 | 51.5%771 W · 725 L | -7.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked CYBERSHOKE Prospects | 43c | 174$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.42 | 495 | 36.4%180 W · 315 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebc…a33dbacked CYBERSHOKE Prospects | 8c | 126.31$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.27 | 631 | 57.1%360 W · 271 L | +40.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6c…0c16backed CYBERSHOKE Prospects | 8c | 120$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.13 | 190 | 35.8%68 W · 122 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa32…a296backed Color | 79c | 15.82$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.32 | 37 | 83.8%31 W · 6 L | +4.9wins | +0.13per pick | 71cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Color vs CYBERSHOKE Prospects - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Color vs CYBERSHOKE Prospects (BO3) - Moscow Cyber Games European Qualifier Group StageColor won
- Counter-Strike: Color vs CYBERSHOKE Prospects - Map 2 WinnerColor won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: Color (-1.5) vs CYBERSHOKE Prospects (+1.5)Color won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.