Tennis · resolved market
Set Handicap: Fils (-1.5) vs Tirante (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc90223142a0ff805dcd07da9db1b8b3721d3b38447c9485982931550dd2d42a2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Filsof Fils, Tirante
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $70,633
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $77,241
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $70,633 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0e60…3badbacked Fils | 51c | 21,752$11,152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,599.86 | 87 | 43.7%38 W · 49 L | +6.0wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | 0%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21fd…f263backed Tirante | 53c | 14,885$7,831 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,830.84 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf377…4159backed Tirante | 48c | 7,590$3,643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,643.36 | 171 | 48%82 W · 89 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd607…842abacked Fils | 50c | 4,281$2,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,140.3 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f3c…2f57backed Fils | 51c | 3,924$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,924.24 | 307 | 40.7%125 W · 182 L | -23.3wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Tirante | 49c | 3,882$1,902 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,902.13 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Tirante | 48c | 3,425$1,659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,659.39 | 2,174 | 36.9%802 W · 1,372 L | +39.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Tirante | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 172 | 44.8%77 W · 95 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc16…40a5backed Fils | 52c | 2,377$1,243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,133.87 | 1,118 | 42.8%479 W · 639 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b43…0f61backed Fils | 49c | 2,100$1,029 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,070.98 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -3.2wins | -0.24per pick | 55cpaid | -46%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Tirante | 49c | 1,985$973 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$972.57 | 1,149 | 41.3%474 W · 675 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Fils | 48c | 1,831$873 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$957.17 | 437 | 43.7%191 W · 246 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Tirante | 41c | 1,462$603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$602.98 | 2,417 | 50.7%1,226 W · 1,191 L | +78.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb94c…ae33backed Fils | 49c | 1,400$686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$714 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9deb…536fbacked Tirante | 53c | 1,335$703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$702.61 | 146 | 56.2%82 W · 64 L | +10.1wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +16%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Tirante | 52c | 1,152$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$601.16 | 423 | 41.4%175 W · 248 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc60b…d9f7backed Fils | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 354 | 39.8%141 W · 213 L | -15.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2bb…3250backed Tirante | 51c | 980.39$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 244 | 52.5%128 W · 116 L | +9.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5108…29cbbacked Fils | 51c | 977.36$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477.36 | 271 | 51.3%139 W · 132 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Fils | 47c | 745$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.85 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbedb…6bc3backed Tirante | 53c | 741.38$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.26 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Fils | 75c | 695$521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.75 | 718 | 57.7%414 W · 304 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf03b…3ba1backed Tirante | 51c | 686.27$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 180 | 44.4%80 W · 100 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Fils | 47c | 670$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.42 | 726 | 38.8%282 W · 444 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Tirante | 47c | 575$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.25 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1861…408dbacked Tirante | 49c | 532.13$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.38 | 448 | 51.6%231 W · 217 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f1d…2fb6backed Fils | 47c | 463.18$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.41 | 1,556 | 42.4%660 W · 896 L | +20.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Fils | 51c | 426.85$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.48 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f8…e0b1backed Tirante | 18c | 387.13$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81f3…1f2abacked Fils | 52c | 377.34$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.12 | 158 | 54.4%86 W · 72 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6797…e0e5backed Fils | 57c | 355.39$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.39 | 262 | 63%165 W · 97 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7738…5dbdbacked Tirante | 51c | 306.78$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.46 | 479 | 56.6%271 W · 208 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50cc…a534backed Fils | 49c | 306.12$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.12 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +3.0wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +21%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b3…145dbacked Tirante | 51c | 262.78$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 917 | 54%495 W · 422 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7337…8be7backed Tirante | 54c | 257.57$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.09 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3901…8f65backed Tirante | 53c | 245.28$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.92 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36ee…c7dfbacked Fils | 50c | 206.82$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.47 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…061abacked Fils | 53c | 193.41$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.07 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Tirante | 25c | 181.2$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.3 | 3,424 | 39.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L | -12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeca0…e8f8backed Fils | 49c | 148.99$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.98 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Tirante | 47c | 139.96$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.19 | 2,523 | 39.6%1,000 W · 1,523 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6374…6408backed Fils | 61c | 130$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.7 | 115 | 40%46 W · 69 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce6e…1256backed Tirante | 51c | 113.45$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.86 | 260 | 43.8%114 W · 146 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e1f…7661backed Fils | 50c | 107.84$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.92 | 233 | 52.8%123 W · 110 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78a4…ea47backed Fils | 51c | 105.88$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.3 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ac…0269backed Tirante | 48c | 104.08$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa132…6655backed Fils | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 120 | 57.5%69 W · 51 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Tirante | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 240 | 51.3%123 W · 117 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…50bcbacked Fils | 48c | 91.45$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.25 | 403 | 50.6%204 W · 199 L | +13.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36dc…531bbacked Fils | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 107 | 44.9%48 W · 59 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd9…039bbacked Tirante | 25c | 77.08$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.27 | 1,008 | 38.3%386 W · 622 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb663…f135backed Tirante | 25c | 77.08$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.27 | 563 | 37.3%210 W · 353 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed Fils | 49c | 76.2$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.86 | 270 | 47.8%129 W · 141 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Tirante | 47c | 76$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.48 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Fils | 68c | 70.14$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.6 | 85 | 47.1%40 W · 45 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x167a…d542backed Tirante | 51c | 69$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.19 | 1,837 | 59.2%1,088 W · 749 L | +8.4wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7eeb…b6bdbacked Tirante | 49c | 66$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.34 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed Fils | 47c | 60$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.1 | 1,250 | 44.7%559 W · 691 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x183b…b6e9backed Tirante | 52c | 54.98$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.61 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.17per pick | 40cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Fils | 49c | 54.73$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.86 | 553 | 47.6%263 W · 290 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Fils | 47c | 54.57$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.92 | 2,418 | 51.7%1,249 W · 1,169 L | +10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1f…1e14backed Tirante | 52c | 53.6$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.05 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x570b…0bfebacked Tirante | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -2.9wins | -0.15per pick | 60cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x97f2…d56fbacked Tirante | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6a…56bdbacked Fils | 48c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.89 | 603 | 41.1%248 W · 355 L | -26.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7285…3273backed Fils | 52c | 39.99$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 84 | 50%42 W · 42 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a98…639dbacked Tirante | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Tirante | 46c | 38.41$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.67 | 1,510 | 37.7%569 W · 941 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb720…da75backed Fils | 47c | 32.14$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.03 | 351 | 64.7%227 W · 124 L | +20.8wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcac7…37d8backed Fils | 51c | 32.08$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.72 | 51 | 74.5%38 W · 13 L | +4.5wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb3…4a24backed Fils | 52c | 31$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.88 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Tirante | 48c | 28.65$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.75 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c86…7dcebacked Tirante | 52c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2921…1706backed Fils | 51c | 21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set Handicap: Fils (-1.5) vs Tirante (+1.5)this page
- Cincinnati Open: Completed Match: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Arthur FilsYes won
- Cincinnati Open: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Arthur FilsArthur Fils won
- Set 1 Winner: Tirante vs FilsFils won
- Set 2 Winner: Tirante vs FilsFils won
- Tirante vs. Fils: Match O/U 21.5Under won
- Tirante vs. Fils: Match O/U 22.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.