TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: INOX Division vs Butterfly (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stage

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
INOX Divisionof INOX Division, Butterfly
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$64,164
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$70,106

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $64,164 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 158 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x29b5…cc6cbacked Butterfly43c29,553$12,567 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,567.145,02855%2,763 W · 2,265 L+112.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x30c7…ac3bbacked INOX Division58c25,000$14,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,599.9675452.7%397 W · 357 L+27.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Butterfly42c3,408$1,437 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,437.112,61051.7%1,349 W · 1,261 L+16.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed Butterfly42c2,367$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001,99853.7%1,073 W · 925 L+5.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xed44…4f76backed Butterfly48c2,061$998 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$998.3651842.3%219 W · 299 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-24.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed INOX Division56c2,000$1,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$879.991,08050.9%550 W · 530 L+38.2wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8adb…e4f6backed INOX Division56c2,000$1,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$879.9829449.3%145 W · 149 L-10.3wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-8.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5135…7217backed INOX Division57c1,797$1,024 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$772.871,60552.6%845 W · 760 L+57.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2b9c…a518backed INOX Division57c1,500$860 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$639.9916544.8%74 W · 91 L-8.8wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-11.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf84d…8830backed INOX Division51c1,427$735 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$692.196262.9%39 W · 23 L+6.9wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+22.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa3b5…941abacked INOX Division57c1,400$798 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60210154.5%55 W · 46 L+4.6wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+11.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2f8e…0c69backed Butterfly44c1,136$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50026939%105 W · 164 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Butterfly45c1,118$499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$498.5347836.8%176 W · 302 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ebc…a33dbacked Butterfly48c1,111$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$529.5163057.1%360 W · 270 L+40.4wins+0.06per pick51cpaid-6.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf397…f3c8backed Butterfly50c842.6$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4201952.6%10 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick61cpaid-16.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xda3a…381fbacked INOX Division56c807.24$452 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$355.1818350.8%93 W · 90 L+6.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a55…a82abacked Butterfly35c714.15$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.911146.8%52 W · 59 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc754…4b1dbacked Butterfly41c698.44$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286.4133740.9%138 W · 199 L-6.1wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2da3…f258backed INOX Division60c694.57$419 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$275.4168059.3%403 W · 277 L+64.6wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+13.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x87a3…5857backed INOX Division52c657.82$341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.4219347.2%91 W · 102 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf4ec…c574backed INOX Division46c653.71$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$353.7148350.9%246 W · 237 L-20.9wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-10%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdff6…1963backed INOX Division58c651.56$378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$273.664560%27 W · 18 L+3.1wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+12%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed INOX Division59c615.38$363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.3161054.6%333 W · 277 L+10.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3eb3…4d75backed INOX Division75c545.61$409 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.45050%25 W · 25 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-15.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x52e5…60babacked INOX Division58c531.03$308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.036965.2%45 W · 24 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbadb…31a7backed INOX Division56c499.98$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.9911844.9%53 W · 65 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6c64…89babacked Butterfly43c482.98$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.7834542.3%146 W · 199 L-8.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb66c…a0f5backed Butterfly44c455.07$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1992458.3%14 W · 10 L+2.1wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+10.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4e31…b876backed INOX Division58c451.3$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.3450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-1.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked INOX Division54c400$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.872,59947.8%1,242 W · 1,357 L-30.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d39…5408backed INOX Division59c400$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1641250%6 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-18.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed Butterfly42c380.63$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.3212747.2%60 W · 67 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2140…0e12backed Butterfly44c375.19$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.3654339.4%214 W · 329 L-21.3wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8f41…260ebacked INOX Division56c369$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.3615849.4%78 W · 80 L-6.7wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-11.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x051c…ca3fbacked INOX Division56c367.55$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.7235347.9%169 W · 184 L-12.0wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x65e6…42dcbacked Butterfly43c364.21$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.6112727.6%35 W · 92 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-13.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfcc7…4d38backed INOX Division58c355.35$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.254759.6%28 W · 19 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x12f0…6a90backed Butterfly28c353.09$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.992133.3%7 W · 14 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-30.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Butterfly32c351.3$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.833,41529.3%1,001 W · 2,414 L-275.1wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-43.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x25f8…66c2backed INOX Division58c344.83$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.831442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-24.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7786…c005backed Butterfly44c339.5$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.3822142.1%93 W · 128 L-13.2wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-15.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8e17…2412backed Butterfly44c338.61$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.99333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick23cpaid+177.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1448…e868backed Butterfly44c331.82$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1466936.2%25 W · 44 L-4.7wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-24%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x34b8…81afbacked INOX Division60c330.94$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.942100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked Butterfly15c324$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.373,16545.7%1,446 W · 1,719 L-74.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-15.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8bec…7800backed INOX Division46c322.04$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.3833148.3%160 W · 171 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed Butterfly20c315.92$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.365,81037.8%2,196 W · 3,614 L+78.9wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x30dc…f26ebacked Butterfly32c314.23$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10016236.4%59 W · 103 L-0.6wins0.00per pick37cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4572…47e7backed INOX Division71c300$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8745545.1%205 W · 250 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed INOX Division58c300$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12698248.3%474 W · 508 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd4f…a4d3backed INOX Division57c282.11$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.143850%19 W · 19 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x203a…935fbacked INOX Division54c279.06$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.6627954.5%152 W · 127 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-4.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6277…5a3fbacked Butterfly45c276.89$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.663341.9%265 W · 368 L+9.9wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e50…2609backed Butterfly43c266.55$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.6159055.3%326 W · 264 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda29…f4b8backed INOX Division75c263.28$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.651844.4%8 W · 10 L-2.0wins-0.11per pick55cpaid-22.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed INOX Division68c262.47$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.2567645%304 W · 372 L-24.2wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-17.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x197f…7cc5backed INOX Division59c255.19$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.194339.5%17 W · 26 L-6.1wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-27.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x0054…59ffbacked INOX Division51c253.97$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.7612756.7%72 W · 55 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0192…ba59backed INOX Division57c245.61$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.61728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.23per pick52cpaid-51.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed INOX Division73c223.74$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.382,30945.1%1,041 W · 1,268 L-62.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x299f…2c50backed Butterfly39c221.93$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.3671739.6%284 W · 433 L-25.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-19.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe026…0404backed INOX Division58c220.35$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.5544552.4%233 W · 212 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb3c6…2c51backed Butterfly49c210.39$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.6610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd8ef…f7a1backed INOX Division58c198.02$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.1913258.3%77 W · 55 L+4.8wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked INOX Division58c195.41$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.077545.3%34 W · 41 L-9.2wins-0.12per pick58cpaid-24.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked Butterfly41c190$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.974633.4%249 W · 497 L-48.6wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-30.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7eeb…b6bdbacked INOX Division71c189$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.8418445.7%84 W · 100 L-0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4781…f6c5backed INOX Division57c175.44$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.445648.2%27 W · 29 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2167…fa33backed INOX Division60c174.69$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.698647.7%41 W · 45 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-6.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x292a…d1acbacked INOX Division58c172.11$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.114348.8%21 W · 22 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf3e7…6036backed INOX Division59c166.08$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.091560%9 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb697…5d0cbacked Butterfly44c159.09$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$704645.7%21 W · 25 L-3.3wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-12.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb595…5922backed Butterfly25c155.98$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3919353.9%104 W · 89 L+10.4wins+0.05per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa696…9571backed Butterfly44c147.95$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.1922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.5wins-0.28per pick50cpaid-64.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa005…abb1backed INOX Division56c144.47$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.5115746.5%73 W · 84 L-10.6wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-15.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x56ac…f2eabacked INOX Division57c142.65$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.656758.2%39 W · 28 L+4.8wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+12.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xeda0…7dffbacked INOX Division57c140$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.216738.9%65 W · 102 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-16.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd677…7579backed INOX Division72c139.16$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.964944.9%22 W · 27 L-5.0wins-0.10per pick55cpaid-22.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb595…4b77backed INOX Division72c129.17$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.175246.2%24 W · 28 L-3.4wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-18%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4ce5…309cbacked Butterfly33c126.82$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$428625.6%22 W · 64 L-8.8wins-0.10per pick36cpaid-33.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7b28…ff4fbacked Butterfly39c124.99$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.211,31851.7%682 W · 636 L+28.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x294b…22d2backed INOX Division56c110.09$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.5939455.3%218 W · 176 L+17.5wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+9.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x99fe…b61cbacked Butterfly44c107.9$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.4848242.1%203 W · 279 L-13.5wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x009c…049bbacked INOX Division57c105.26$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.2610044%44 W · 56 L-5.8wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-14.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa371…eaa5backed INOX Division58c103.45$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.4515047.3%71 W · 79 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Butterfly22c103$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.985,26231.3%1,647 W · 3,615 L-381.6wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Butterfly23c101.27$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.695,47446.9%2,565 W · 2,909 L+38.6wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked INOX Division77c100.68$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.744,66143.5%2,027 W · 2,634 L-85.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9133…20acbacked INOX Division55c100$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$452268.2%15 W · 7 L+4.5wins+0.20per pick48cpaid+54%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x9311…e731backed INOX Division51c100$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$496560%39 W · 26 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b97…6084backed Butterfly41c100$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4114650.7%74 W · 72 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x97f2…d56fbacked INOX Division57c100$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$433366.7%22 W · 11 L+4.1wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+30.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3783…171dbacked INOX Division75c99.92$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.9824562%152 W · 93 L+21.9wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+22%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0607…b344backed INOX Division57c92.59$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.813577.1%27 W · 8 L+8.4wins+0.24per pick53cpaid+59.4%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0x94dc…5e19backed INOX Division46c91.51$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.11580%4 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.25per pick55cpaid+52.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3da8…be26backed INOX Division58c91$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.14045%18 W · 22 L-2.7wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-19.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked INOX Division62c89.28$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.277,89250.5%3,983 W · 3,909 L+182.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed Butterfly59c89$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.172,34346.7%1,094 W · 1,249 L-49.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-14.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdfd1…9ac5backed Butterfly43c85.88$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.932250%11 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-13.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e18…872ebacked INOX Division59c85$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$353360.6%20 W · 13 L+2.2wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+10.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.