CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: INOX Division vs Butterfly - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x15b76338f7fa8fbf0842ad9578ffe37a16ca841aadd01f7e7a778fa2ed89b51a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- INOX Divisionof INOX Division, Butterfly
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,200
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $42,827
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,200 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x26f8…3452backed INOX Division | 60c | 5,506$3,323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,183.22 | 198 | 49.5%98 W · 100 L | -10.0wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +14%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7460…de6ebacked INOX Division | 53c | 2,500$1,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,174.99 | 437 | 51.7%226 W · 211 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Butterfly | 40c | 2,383$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950.45 | 7,892 | 50.5%3,983 W · 3,909 L | +182.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a50…241ebacked Butterfly | 40c | 1,115$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x344d…fd5bbacked Butterfly | 33c | 1,112$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.95 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa16b…b541backed INOX Division | 53c | 999.98$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.99 | 430 | 55.1%237 W · 193 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfe3…ec6fbacked Butterfly | 47c | 947.16$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.17 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -50%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Butterfly | 45c | 905.24$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.14 | 4,040 | 50.9%2,057 W · 1,983 L | +71.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fca…6ac3backed Butterfly | 47c | 800$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked INOX Division | 62c | 769.93$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.45 | 3,165 | 45.7%1,446 W · 1,719 L | -74.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbaf…f5d1backed Butterfly | 40c | 765.75$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.74 | 604 | 34.1%206 W · 398 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14ca…8f43backed Butterfly | 41c | 755$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.55 | 133 | 39.8%53 W · 80 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Butterfly | 34c | 750$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 5,810 | 37.8%2,196 W · 3,614 L | +78.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f41…547cbacked INOX Division | 64c | 530$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.66 | 244 | 47.1%115 W · 129 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e51…42cebacked INOX Division | 60c | 458.38$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.27 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2c50backed INOX Division | 66c | 338.95$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.48 | 717 | 39.6%284 W · 433 L | -25.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked INOX Division | 64c | 332.93$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.44 | 2,599 | 47.8%1,242 W · 1,357 L | -30.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0da…749bbacked Butterfly | 36c | 332.4$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.56 | 301 | 23.3%70 W · 231 L | -11.0wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ff4…5607backed INOX Division | 69c | 326.72$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.49 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c76…fcc2backed Butterfly | 41c | 310.21$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.19 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.8wins | -0.31per pick | 42cpaid | -76.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked INOX Division | 64c | 290.7$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.74 | 1,830 | 41.6%762 W · 1,068 L | -68.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked INOX Division | 68c | 290.14$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.45 | 4,661 | 43.5%2,027 W · 2,634 L | -85.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb66e…ffc2backed Butterfly | 42c | 289.08$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.45 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +3.8wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5440…f13bbacked INOX Division | 66c | 281.09$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.71 | 112 | 55.4%62 W · 50 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x297a…198bbacked Butterfly | 44c | 269.29$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.11 | 60 | 31.7%19 W · 41 L | -6.5wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x949e…20afbacked INOX Division | 44c | 268$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.08 | 431 | 37.8%163 W · 268 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x912f…b25bbacked Butterfly | 32c | 248.79$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.56 | 78 | 34.6%27 W · 51 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6d3…bab9backed Butterfly | 52c | 244.34$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.74 | 163 | 44.2%72 W · 91 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d87…df1dbacked Butterfly | 39c | 228.4$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.25 | 175 | 45.7%80 W · 95 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Butterfly | 33c | 217.57$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.43 | 676 | 45%304 W · 372 L | -24.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e93…0a5cbacked INOX Division | 68c | 217.34$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.48 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +36%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b55…cbc6backed Butterfly | 42c | 205.08$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.35 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6117…29ffbacked Butterfly | 41c | 188.76$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.39 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -5.2wins | -0.26per pick | 46cpaid | -57.7%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x4b27…0635backed Butterfly | 56c | 180$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 309 | 49.2%152 W · 157 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked INOX Division | 67c | 172.01$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.76 | 721 | 53.7%387 W · 334 L | +28.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8c…2d81backed INOX Division | 60c | 159$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.02 | 434 | 48.4%210 W · 224 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed INOX Division | 61c | 158.02$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.08 | 2,491 | 41.1%1,023 W · 1,468 L | -114.2wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb990…1a3abacked Butterfly | 34c | 147.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 83 | 12%10 W · 73 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xece5…6de0backed INOX Division | 57c | 140$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.2 | 131 | 48.9%64 W · 67 L | +7.6wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Butterfly | 23c | 130.98$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.97 | 3,415 | 29.3%1,001 W · 2,414 L | -275.1wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4011…4a39backed Butterfly | 37c | 127.29$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 77 | 39%30 W · 47 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccf5…42f2backed INOX Division | 68c | 114.15$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.53 | 410 | 61%250 W · 160 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76ff…425fbacked Butterfly | 46c | 107.87$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9311…e731backed INOX Division | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 65 | 60%39 W · 26 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15ef…647cbacked Butterfly | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.9 | 56 | 60.7%34 W · 22 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3783…171dbacked INOX Division | 56c | 99.98$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.99 | 245 | 62%152 W · 93 L | +21.9wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +22%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6ee2…a316backed Butterfly | 53c | 84$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.29 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2906…555abacked INOX Division | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 32 | 78.1%25 W · 7 L | +3.5wins | +0.11per pick | 67cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x18f0…3d5ebacked Butterfly | 36c | 69.32$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.76 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa940…9bf1backed Butterfly | 47c | 65.26$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.67 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23df…3df7backed Butterfly | 44c | 63.52$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda29…f4b8backed Butterfly | 34c | 62.04$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.09 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf743…1811backed Butterfly | 34c | 60$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.46 | 298 | 31.5%94 W · 204 L | -16.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Butterfly | 24c | 56.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.61 | 2,454 | 34.4%845 W · 1,609 L | -189.3wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Butterfly | 32c | 56$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.99 | 3,888 | 36.6%1,423 W · 2,465 L | -197.3wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb71…4371backed Butterfly | 45c | 51.36$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.26 | 853 | 51.7%441 W · 412 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08cc…472ebacked Butterfly | 47c | 51.06$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -4.4wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x277b…31fabacked Butterfly | 36c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 109 | 48.6%53 W · 56 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9135…8d9cbacked Butterfly | 39c | 49$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.11 | 77 | 40.3%31 W · 46 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4dc2…698abacked INOX Division | 60c | 45$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00c8…61b6backed INOX Division | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -19%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked Butterfly | 28c | 36.27$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.06 | 1,034 | 54.9%568 W · 466 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe660…514fbacked INOX Division | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 96 | 37.5%36 W · 60 L | -9.0wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3d34…e654backed Butterfly | 46c | 34$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.64 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbdbb…ff81backed Butterfly | 34c | 32.6$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.98 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca5f…41f5backed Butterfly | 56c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 99 | 54.5%54 W · 45 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed INOX Division | 58c | 28.04$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.87 | 2,467 | 24.6%606 W · 1,861 L | -318.3wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked INOX Division | 65c | 26.04$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.11 | 2,119 | 42.9%909 W · 1,210 L | -66.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…3b6cbacked Butterfly | 46c | 23.33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.73 | 1,038 | 57.4%596 W · 442 L | +18.4wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Butterfly | 50c | 22.97$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.39 | 5,474 | 46.9%2,565 W · 2,909 L | +38.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x330f…91b1backed INOX Division | 66c | 22.88$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.88 | 159 | 56.6%90 W · 69 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e89…2d4ebacked Butterfly | 45c | 22.69$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.21 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed INOX Division | 73c | 17.31$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.69 | 5,262 | 31.3%1,647 W · 3,615 L | -381.6wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: INOX Division vs Butterfly - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: INOX Division vs Butterfly (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group StageINOX Division won
- Counter-Strike: INOX Division vs Butterfly - Map 1 WinnerINOX Division won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.