TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x00c8…61b6

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
13
Categories scored
4
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: Tennis, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 53 out of 100; worst Valorant at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2last resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT1050%5 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-19%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: INOX Division vs Butterfly - Map 2 Winnerbacked INOX Division · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$16.36
Counter-Strike: WRAITH PCIFIC vs Bebop - Map 1 Winnerbacked WRAITH PCIFIC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+40.3%+$5.74
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Betclic Apogee Esports (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat I Group Bbacked Betclic Apogee Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: INOX Division vs Sinners (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #5 Playoffsbacked INOX Division · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Counter-Strike: K27 vs Just Players - Map 1 Winnerbacked Just Players · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+136.6%+$27.33
Counter-Strike: Virtus.pro vs BakS eSports (BO3) - CIS LAN Championship Playoffsbacked BakS eSports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Counter-Strike: M80 vs NIP (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked M80 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Counter-Strike: M80 vs NIP - Map 2 Winnerbacked M80 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Counter-Strike: Red Feet vs MAGICOS (BO3) - CCT South America Series 4 Group Stagebacked Red Feet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+25%+$2.5
Counter-Strike: Red Feet vs MAGICOS - Map 1 Winnerbacked Red Feet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$6.65
All 10 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 21, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.64per pick36cpaid+177.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Zug: Juan Bautista Torres vs Henry Bernetbacked Juan Bautista Torres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$32
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagueslast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Atlas FC win on 2026-08-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$6.32
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Aug 2, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Alphabacked Leviatán Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$145.76
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.