CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: K27 vs Just Players - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x49da6d92373179efd6e6e17c795a4068452d95398a93e123accafad1b1f7e6a8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Just Playersof K27, Just Players
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $102,311
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $108,007
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $102,311 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x022a…54a0backed K27 | 0c | 64,466$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.6 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xddc3…029cbacked Just Players | 65c | 4,176$2,721 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,454.92 | 924 | 56.8%525 W · 399 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7460…de6ebacked Just Players | 43c | 1,893$806 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,086.89 | 445 | 51.2%228 W · 217 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked K27 | 34c | 1,535$522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$521.9 | 5,580 | 47.2%2,632 W · 2,948 L | +47.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked K27 | 58c | 1,128$656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$656.17 | 7,990 | 50.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L | +180.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked K27 | 41c | 944.84$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.32 | 3,544 | 29.3%1,037 W · 2,507 L | -289.1wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Just Players | 53c | 634.61$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.28 | 5,876 | 37.7%2,213 W · 3,663 L | +71.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ac…7deebacked Just Players | 74c | 529.2$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.01 | 432 | 53%229 W · 203 L | +27.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked K27 | 38c | 511$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.44 | 2,397 | 42.7%1,023 W · 1,374 L | -73.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Just Players | 28c | 499.99$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.99 | 512 | 52.3%268 W · 244 L | +16.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9279…4748backed Just Players | 63c | 474.69$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.47 | 193 | 58%112 W · 81 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked K27 | 43c | 439$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.87 | 1,890 | 41.9%791 W · 1,099 L | -71.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec7b…917ebacked K27 | 53c | 415.09$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 283 | 40.3%114 W · 169 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf7c…4c16backed Just Players | 49c | 399.99$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.6 | 136 | 55.9%76 W · 60 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b59…0ba0backed K27 | 30c | 392.39$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.99 | 569 | 38.1%217 W · 352 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed K27 | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,325 | 44.1%584 W · 741 L | +44.1wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c7…4332backed K27 | 59c | 364.29$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.93 | 176 | 44.3%78 W · 98 L | -17.8wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked K27 | 47c | 360$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.05 | 3,236 | 51.2%1,657 W · 1,579 L | +88.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked K27 | 47c | 350$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.81 | 2,223 | 47.5%1,056 W · 1,167 L | -5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed K27 | 41c | 302$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.08 | 4,238 | 49.2%2,085 W · 2,153 L | +60.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed K27 | 36c | 288.98$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.12 | 5,341 | 31.3%1,674 W · 3,667 L | -390.7wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2d40…dd57backed K27 | 37c | 264.79$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.97 | 125 | 40%50 W · 75 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked K27 | 30c | 258.98$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.84 | 2,530 | 34.6%876 W · 1,654 L | -193.6wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2c50backed K27 | 43c | 249.98$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.25 | 742 | 39.1%290 W · 452 L | -29.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed K27 | 55c | 230.07$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.1 | 890 | 46.1%410 W · 480 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc0c…dac0backed K27 | 31c | 200$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.04 | 431 | 75.9%327 W · 104 L | +24.8wins | +0.06per pick | 70cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4b27…0635backed Just Players | 61c | 199.99$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 330 | 50%165 W · 165 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed K27 | 49c | 197.8$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.3 | 2,664 | 30.8%820 W · 1,844 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked K27 | 44c | 176$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.02 | 3,267 | 45.5%1,485 W · 1,782 L | -85.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa369…3ad6backed K27 | 62c | 174$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.72 | 331 | 46.5%154 W · 177 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Just Players | 67c | 170.09$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.78 | 4,754 | 43.6%2,071 W · 2,683 L | -85.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked K27 | 38c | 164$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.71 | 2,195 | 43.1%946 W · 1,249 L | -68.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed K27 | 41c | 161.97$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.88 | 2,645 | 51.9%1,372 W · 1,273 L | +21.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…0864backed Just Players | 65c | 151.26$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.51 | 932 | 61.7%575 W · 357 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4c6…7457backed Just Players | 50c | 136.67$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.95 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | +4.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed K27 | 57c | 135$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.15 | 514 | 46.9%241 W · 273 L | -22.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked K27 | 32c | 128.97$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.74 | 2,798 | 37.6%1,051 W · 1,747 L | -138.2wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…20d0backed Just Players | 65c | 126.91$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.56 | 618 | 55%340 W · 278 L | +11.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked K27 | 35c | 123.06$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.95 | 5,034 | 37.2%1,874 W · 3,160 L | -260.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0063…2dd2backed K27 | 36c | 114.89$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.62 | 437 | 64.3%281 W · 156 L | +51.5wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked K27 | 35c | 110.01$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.42 | 1,632 | 43.2%705 W · 927 L | -32.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b88…16e6backed Just Players | 45c | 109.84$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.87 | 158 | 23.4%37 W · 121 L | -18.0wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1186…0355backed Just Players | 61c | 67$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.34 | 233 | 56.2%131 W · 102 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed K27 | 40c | 65$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.06 | 2,554 | 41.3%1,054 W · 1,500 L | -116.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…787cbacked K27 | 37c | 61.51$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.77 | 817 | 44.7%365 W · 452 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked K27 | 37c | 55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.35 | 724 | 51.2%371 W · 353 L | +29.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00c8…61b6backed Just Players | 42c | 47.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.33 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked Just Players | 53c | 44.94$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.95 | 2,143 | 47.3%1,013 W · 1,130 L | -61.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0296…ad01backed Just Players | 50c | 43.72$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.72 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26bd…e53bbacked K27 | 60c | 41.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 151 | 47%71 W · 80 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked K27 | 71c | 26.23$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.62 | 1,315 | 51.1%672 W · 643 L | -99.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe0…cc67backed K27 | 65c | 26$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.96 | 207 | 42.5%88 W · 119 L | -17.5wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked K27 | 56c | 24.87$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.96 | 681 | 47%320 W · 361 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed K27 | 50c | 20.39$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 166 | 61.4%102 W · 64 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Just Players | 76c | 19.91$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.68 | 726 | 45.6%331 W · 395 L | -21.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: K27 vs Just Players - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: K27 vs Just Players (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #5 PlayoffsJust Players won
- Counter-Strike: K27 vs Just Players - Map 2 WinnerK27 won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map Handicap: K27 (-1.5) vs Just Players (+1.5)Just Players won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.