CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: K27 vs Just Players - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x502d355688e6d3a2497884ae8ce23b978fed00697c49cb4b344143716d42fa03
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- K27of K27, Just Players
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,444
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,345
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,444 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Just Players | 28c | 1,149$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.23 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0063…2dd2backed K27 | 78c | 993.12$772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.62 | 402 | 64.7%260 W · 142 L | +49.2wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x228e…4f84backed Just Players | 23c | 499.7$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -61.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddc3…029cbacked K27 | 64c | 492.67$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.72 | 924 | 56.8%525 W · 399 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Just Players | 39c | 400$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.93 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Just Players | 22c | 374.7$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.09 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcb71…4371backed K27 | 62c | 250$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95 | 858 | 51.6%443 W · 415 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb87…eb45backed K27 | 61c | 250$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.5 | 101 | 42.6%43 W · 58 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d78…b8b9backed K27 | 61c | 240$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.6 | 165 | 50.3%83 W · 82 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe564…221abacked Just Players | 17c | 239.38$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1,078 | 32%345 W · 733 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked K27 | 64c | 197$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.08 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked K27 | 69c | 192.25$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.38 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Just Players | 28c | 175$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.3 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b88…16e6backed K27 | 66c | 150.96$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.01 | 158 | 23.4%37 W · 121 L | -18.0wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9b96…4389backed K27 | 61c | 150$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.5 | 375 | 57.3%215 W · 160 L | -16.4wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Just Players | 20c | 144$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.45 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x41cd…d80dbacked K27 | 61c | 133.87$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.21 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6745…1ee0backed K27 | 69c | 130.28$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.39 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Just Players | 30c | 127.82$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.82 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Just Players | 22c | 127$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.99 | 2,136 | 42.9%916 W · 1,220 L | -68.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked K27 | 74c | 124.92$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.02 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x180e…b3a6backed K27 | 62c | 116.13$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.13 | 125 | 35.2%44 W · 81 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7969…91f2backed Just Players | 17c | 108.59$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.33 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Just Players | 31c | 94.52$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.54 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Just Players | 26c | 88.55$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.74 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Just Players | 31c | 86$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.92 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Just Players | 28c | 83.1$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.21 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Just Players | 28c | 82.45$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.02 | 1,630 | 43.2%704 W · 926 L | -32.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5672…7312backed K27 | 63c | 66.63$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.52 | 622 | 48.2%300 W · 322 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccdc…dbe6backed Just Players | 39c | 64.62$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 367 | 49.3%181 W · 186 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2c50backed Just Players | 31c | 56.13$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 721 | 39.7%286 W · 435 L | -25.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Just Players | 33c | 51.34$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.82 | 1,650 | 32.7%540 W · 1,110 L | -49.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed K27 | 66c | 39.1$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.48 | 115 | 40.9%47 W · 68 L | -13.1wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7999…1d86backed K27 | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 248 | 42.3%105 W · 143 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed K27 | 64c | 22.31$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.03 | 694 | 45%312 W · 382 L | -24.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed K27 | 68c | 22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.13 | 514 | 46.9%241 W · 273 L | -22.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x104b…e9cebacked K27 | 74c | 20.4$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.3 | 184 | 81.5%150 W · 34 L | +13.6wins | +0.07per pick | 74cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked K27 | 62c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 1,068 | 55%587 W · 481 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed K27 | 71c | 19.99$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 1,319 | 44.2%583 W · 736 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed K27 | 65c | 17.08$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.98 | 890 | 46.1%410 W · 480 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: K27 vs Just Players - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: K27 vs Just Players (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #5 PlayoffsJust Players won
- Counter-Strike: K27 vs Just Players - Map 1 WinnerJust Players won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map Handicap: K27 (-1.5) vs Just Players (+1.5)Just Players won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.