TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Will Atlas FC win on 2026-08-22?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$272,527
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$250,560

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $272,527 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 127 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes71c40,323$28,433 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,890.282,51439%980 W · 1,534 L-32.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe337…4ad6backed No24c30,296$7,226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,226.3119155.5%106 W · 85 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-2.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes18c17,206$3,056 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,150.3949136.3%178 W · 313 L-2.2wins0.00per pick37cpaid+7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No26c11,980$3,085 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,085.228,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d1c…3347backed No25c11,727$2,908 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,908.0921538.1%82 W · 133 L+9.9wins+0.05per pick34cpaid+4.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No30c10,936$3,280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,280.25,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x194f…3d95backed Yes80c10,077$8,029 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,048.732100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+62.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed No18c9,427$1,709 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,709.357540.2%231 W · 344 L+2.7wins0.00per pick40cpaid-2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked No70c9,375$6,565 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,564.541,44345.9%662 W · 781 L-22.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No20c9,236$1,809 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,808.5382434.5%284 W · 540 L-17.8wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4bc5…e563backed No20c8,479$1,704 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,704.4411039.1%43 W · 67 L+5.7wins+0.05per pick34cpaid-17.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb778…6492backed Yes17c7,457$1,268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,189.472222.7%5 W · 17 L-2.5wins-0.12per pick34cpaid-38.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No38c5,033$1,893 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,892.51,29042.8%552 W · 738 L-2.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked No9c4,319$401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401.33920.5%8 W · 31 L-3.1wins-0.08per pick28cpaid-70.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7acc…c5b9backed No20c4,072$805 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80512156.2%68 W · 53 L+5.8wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2398…8894backed Yes75c4,000$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,000475%3 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick69cpaid+7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x99aa…6c5abacked No25c4,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.9920%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed No16c3,088$494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$494.029454.3%51 W · 43 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Yes17c3,000$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,489.9434747.6%165 W · 182 L+17.7wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+13.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xba1d…d326backed No27c2,845$771 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$771.1712646%58 W · 68 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec57…0fa7backed No18c2,791$501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.914530.3%44 W · 101 L+8.2wins+0.06per pick25cpaid-4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x647a…8872backed Yes75c2,669$2,002 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$667.31100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc5b…3ddcbacked No32c2,652$845 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$845.056526.2%17 W · 48 L-3.7wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-37.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed No22c2,438$534 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$533.7525635.9%92 W · 164 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-23.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes16c2,388$392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,995.998756.3%49 W · 38 L+7.7wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+21%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf7f6…e517backed Yes77c2,074$1,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$474.176753.7%36 W · 31 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+18.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked No17c2,000$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34012737.8%48 W · 79 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid+3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1250…8f99backed Yes76c1,880$1,428 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$451.086048.3%29 W · 31 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+22.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe8c4…395dbacked Yes16c1,554$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,305.341457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+33.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes16c1,477$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,238.9328940.1%116 W · 173 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-14.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked No18c1,398$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.551,03849.4%513 W · 525 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked No19c1,187$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.8648547.6%231 W · 254 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x91fe…c1c6backed Yes51c854$433 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$421.442470.8%17 W · 7 L+4.7wins+0.20per pick51cpaid+47.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xfb20…3b5cbacked Yes75c800$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20022049.1%108 W · 112 L-8.0wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc785…4ef2backed No10c752$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.2621938.8%85 W · 134 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-34.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x90aa…00f1backed Yes17c730.2$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6032626.9%7 W · 19 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick23cpaid+30.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x55b9…a814backed No16c630$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.621643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-23.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked No30c611.07$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.7337540%150 W · 225 L-16.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-37.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdecf…2957backed No26c596.49$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.0930%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xeddf…a953backed Yes18c555.56$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$455.567332.9%24 W · 49 L-5.0wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-18.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe1e3…f1bdbacked No39c525.55$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.875446.3%25 W · 29 L-7.6wins-0.14per pick60cpaid-28.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x9766…a41dbacked No22c488.32$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.43520%1 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-41.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x999a…9a25backed No31c467.05$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.0712740.9%52 W · 75 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-34.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3f0f…0e48backed Yes76c417.03$318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.5812434.7%43 W · 81 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-11.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed No17c412.98$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.1145746.8%214 W · 243 L+13.9wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x089c…4dc4backed No32c379.44$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.2842946.2%198 W · 231 L-2.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-17.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Yes35c341.74$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.8135046.3%162 W · 188 L-6.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4ec…351fbacked Yes75c335.4$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.85922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick25cpaid-15.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e5f…e751backed Yes18c316.67$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.67250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick17cpaid+177.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked No23c304.46$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.5489846.1%414 W · 484 L-11.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-18.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Yes32c296.23$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.3950643.9%222 W · 284 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9dd…b525backed Yes17c283.51$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.315851.7%30 W · 28 L+5.6wins+0.10per pick42cpaid+7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No70c234.74$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.731,30250.2%653 W · 649 L-13.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3bc6…fb63backed Yes17c233$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.243630.6%11 W · 25 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick29cpaid+7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x74bf…f43dbacked Yes51c223.6$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.61450%7 W · 7 L+2.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+240.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed No8c211$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.8823733.8%80 W · 157 L+0.2wins0.00per pick34cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x722a…d6edbacked No23c210$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.36762.7%42 W · 25 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xacb3…c372backed Yes17c199.98$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.99333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick15cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed No23c189$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.3223044.3%102 W · 128 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid+18.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No21c184.69$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.151,36652.4%716 W · 650 L+51.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x698f…ae41backed Yes18c183.33$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.331457.1%8 W · 6 L+2.3wins+0.16per pick41cpaid+68%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6e9f…6561backed Yes17c176.47$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.47944.4%4 W · 5 L+2.0wins+0.22per pick22cpaid+94.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2035…dc1cbacked No19c170.16$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.871612.5%2 W · 14 L-2.5wins-0.16per pick28cpaid-70.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb7ab…16d0backed Yes64c167.37$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.478347%39 W · 44 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x88e1…3560backed Yes18c166.67$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.672100%2 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.76per pick24cpaid+339.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xcfdb…7a75backed Yes75c160$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$402560%15 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f58…d93abacked Yes74c155.69$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.487651.3%39 W · 37 L+4.9wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+13.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbc99…e38bbacked Yes76c151.67$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.4450%2 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-25.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Yes17c150$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.555946%257 W · 302 L-19.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7c32…7782backed Yes76c142.54$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.67366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+17.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Yes71c139.77$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.7224535.5%87 W · 158 L-13.9wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-19.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9237…9c99backed Yes41c139.02$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.021100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+143.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed No20c134.71$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.9453836.8%198 W · 340 L-24.0wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-24.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed No17c134$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.7819437.1%72 W · 122 L-7.1wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-31.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x01d7…5fd2backed Yes75c133.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.337170.4%50 W · 21 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick67cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8dd8…9a1cbacked No19c125$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.2218338.8%71 W · 112 L-9.8wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-31.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xeeaa…15cebacked No16c125$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208937.1%33 W · 56 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5577…53d2backed Yes74c120$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.23542.9%15 W · 20 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed No55c119.36$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.8432139.6%127 W · 194 L-11.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xca75…05a6backed No16c112.62$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.943542.9%15 W · 20 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-16.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3e6b…8a98backed Yes17c110.9$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.0525955.2%143 W · 116 L+1.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7589…2775backed Yes76c109.42$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.261100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed No29c104.6$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.761,25356.2%704 W · 549 L+73.3wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x40e9…494fbacked No18c101.84$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.26526.2%17 W · 48 L0.0wins0.00per pick26cpaid-27.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x30a2…deacbacked Yes75c100$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf30a…61fbbacked No19c100$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.6718446.2%85 W · 99 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-17.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2064…0ab1backed No45c100$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$452846.4%13 W · 15 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+19.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4c6c…9413backed Yes18c100$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$821100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.82per pick18cpaid+455.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd8ef…f7a1backed No18c89.17$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1620%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6fbb…83fcbacked No14c88.41$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d6a…4adabacked Yes48c82.48$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.4819963.8%127 W · 72 L+19.3wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+23.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No48c80$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.761,44456.4%815 W · 629 L+51.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked No23c72$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.3219150.3%96 W · 95 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x36e5…fd74backed Yes39c71.11$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.111100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+154%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e9b…8b7dbacked No24c69.98$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.820%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9a51…bf4cbacked Yes16c69.06$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.011154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick58cpaid+32.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d5f…1171backed No21c68.25$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.4233365.5%218 W · 115 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0b0a…e482backed No59c66.46$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.212352.2%12 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b87…58b0backed Yes18c65.56$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.761100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.82per pick18cpaid+455.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3c32…7156backed Yes16c64$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.763043.3%13 W · 17 L-2.4wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.