TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Will CF Cruz Azul win on 2026-08-22?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$126,508
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$124,138

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $126,508 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 105 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0cbe…1f4ebacked Yes61c63,451$38,705 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38,705.11915.8%3 W · 16 L-5.6wins-0.29per pick45cpaid-70%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No39c27,582$10,757 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,825.0619952.8%105 W · 94 L+11.9wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+17.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked No39c16,341$6,373 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,968.0119742.1%83 W · 114 L+0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid+10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes16c12,484$1,972 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,971.618,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed No39c11,225$4,342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,883.355358.5%31 W · 22 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+8.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3b62…5cc8backed No42c10,000$4,176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,823.844768.1%32 W · 15 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick62cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No61c8,862$5,426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,435.912,51439%980 W · 1,534 L-32.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Yes1c7,061$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.1553836.8%198 W · 340 L-24.0wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-24.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes42c3,548$1,483 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,482.765,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x927c…6633backed No70c3,500$2,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,050250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-28.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Yes27c2,980$810 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$810.4137540%150 W · 225 L-16.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-37.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Yes25c2,594$636 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$636.0336339.9%145 W · 218 L-16.8wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-38.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed No39c2,500$975 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,52534747.6%165 W · 182 L+17.7wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+13.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Yes61c1,610$981 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9812250%11 W · 11 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-14.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yes35c1,234$428 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$428.41,29042.8%552 W · 738 L-2.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No39c1,000$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6101,28253.7%689 W · 593 L+5.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No39c1,000$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6101,23153.9%663 W · 568 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked Yes57c1,000$570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57012737.8%48 W · 79 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid+3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No39c1,000$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6101,66851.7%863 W · 805 L+18.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes38c951.26$364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$364.125635.9%92 W · 164 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-23.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes56c858.32$477 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$476.971,44345.9%662 W · 781 L-22.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2396…9485backed No39c817.05$319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$498.44850%24 W · 24 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe77…ef6cbacked Yes65c771.85$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001030%3 W · 7 L-2.4wins-0.24per pick54cpaid-52.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x37e6…794ebacked Yes4c731.35$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304714.9%7 W · 40 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick11cpaid+62.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x999a…9a25backed Yes29c713.36$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.7612740.9%52 W · 75 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-34.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes57c707.92$404 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403.5157540.2%231 W · 344 L+2.7wins0.00per pick40cpaid-2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed No68c683.9$468 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.9732139.6%127 W · 194 L-11.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0f0b…027fbacked Yes62c645.16$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+38.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9661…36f6backed Yes32c543.99$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.261838.9%7 W · 11 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+13%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf148…0b4fbacked No39c512.82$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.822864.3%18 W · 10 L+4.6wins+0.17per pick48cpaid+38.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5317…9a3bbacked Yes59c452$267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266.682433.3%8 W · 16 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-31.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x90aa…00f1backed Yes17c406.51$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$692626.9%7 W · 19 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick23cpaid+30.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Yes31c405.4$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.075446.3%25 W · 29 L-7.6wins-0.14per pick60cpaid-28.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x9b78…473dbacked No71c398.05$281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11724665.9%162 W · 84 L+26.2wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+27.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x8f88…ca10backed Yes29c339.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006540%26 W · 39 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0052…30bcbacked Yes62c320.87$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.94580%4 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick68cpaid+15.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x47f4…936bbacked Yes57c263.16$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-67.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No39c258.15$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.433,40551.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Yes25c244.18$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.1148547.6%231 W · 254 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked Yes9c238.89$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.529047.6%138 W · 152 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes61c236.85$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.741,43937.5%540 W · 899 L+4.1wins0.00per pick37cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x17f7…4f7cbacked Yes15c212.6$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.7862.5%5 W · 3 L+2.3wins+0.29per pick34cpaid+105.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb34c…449cbacked Yes9c210.44$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.9420%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Yes12c203.78$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.4519437.1%72 W · 122 L-7.1wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-31.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc785…4ef2backed Yes9c195.15$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.5621938.8%85 W · 134 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-34.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9028…8608backed Yes7c188.26$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.4760156.2%338 W · 263 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x140e…cf85backed No41c175.61$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.611346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-17.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Yes6c171.16$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.2595155.8%531 W · 420 L+31.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfcc7…4d38backed Yes60c165$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$995154.9%28 W · 23 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0373…3e8cbacked Yes61c163.93$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.19per pick48cpaid-34.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3e00…8a64backed Yes62c161.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-29.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x65ee…3240backed Yes62c160.86$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.3wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-36.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x843e…e477backed No39c158.61$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.752352.2%12 W · 11 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick57cpaid+0.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe904…44e9backed No39c150.55$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.8418247.8%87 W · 95 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2439…3ed7backed Yes62c145.97$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$901369.2%9 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.11per pick58cpaid+17.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x91fe…c1c6backed No74c142.28$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.272470.8%17 W · 7 L+4.7wins+0.20per pick51cpaid+47.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x3453…8524backed No39c130.72$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.749244.6%41 W · 51 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+40.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Yes62c123.99$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.8866837.1%248 W · 420 L+0.8wins0.00per pick37cpaid+4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes13c116.67$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1525625%64 W · 192 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick23cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x55b9…a814backed Yes58c105$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.91643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-23.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xeeaa…15cebacked No39c102.56$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.568937.1%33 W · 56 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb1c8…023abacked No39c100$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$614461.4%27 W · 17 L+3.7wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+14.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa797…dedebacked Yes13c95.51$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.573259.4%19 W · 13 L+4.8wins+0.15per pick44cpaid+55.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb619…49c9backed No65c84.77$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.46256.5%35 W · 27 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-0.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb7ab…16d0backed Yes19c80.83$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.418347%39 W · 44 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No40c80.21$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.492,61154.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L+25.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x089c…4dc4backed Yes30c76$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.7342946.2%198 W · 231 L-2.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-17.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Yes26c74.39$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.3385220.7%176 W · 676 L-85.2wins-0.10per pick31cpaid-52.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x6728…a070backed No41c72.87$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.87862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+25.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x20ad…f368backed Yes29c68.97$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205632.1%18 W · 38 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-17.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3247…9488backed Yes61c65.57$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403745.9%17 W · 20 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbd0…3447backed Yes19c62.4$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12560%3 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.26per pick34cpaid+52.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No72c55.9$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.673,74938.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L-33.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed No80c54.9$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.21,25356.2%704 W · 549 L+73.3wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xbaf3…2286backed No39c54.15$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.031850%9 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-15.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No38c53.8$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.361,94451.3%998 W · 946 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0598…3d83backed Yes58c51.72$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301631.3%5 W · 11 L-3.3wins-0.21per pick52cpaid-46%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7091…96f8backed No39c51.28$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.283652.8%19 W · 17 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc398…1297backed Yes55c50.91$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281850%9 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x33c4…85c2backed No39c49.03$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.911136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.16per pick52cpaid-34.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Yes39c48.29$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.6763061.3%386 W · 244 L+22.3wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9079…b19bbacked No75c47.84$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.9619953.3%106 W · 93 L+11.0wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+10.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x89c1…6790backed No41c47.34$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.93250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+22%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf27…f35fbacked No39c46.15$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.159446.8%44 W · 50 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed No37c42.38$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.742462.3%264 W · 160 L+24.4wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+10.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x53d1…8715backed Yes63c42.38$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.710%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked No77c40$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.053167.7%21 W · 10 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick64cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No36c39.57$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.321,30250.2%653 W · 649 L-13.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked No50c38$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.189645.4%407 W · 489 L-23.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-19.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed No37c34.7$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.862,28134.3%782 W · 1,499 L-30.5wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-16.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1683…3cc1backed Yes60c33.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20825%2 W · 6 L-2.9wins-0.37per pick62cpaid-53.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x88c5…4815backed No39c33.33$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.338851.1%45 W · 43 L+3.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe026…f409backed No39c33.33$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.333145.2%14 W · 17 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-23.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec80…7298backed No67c32.79$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.85580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.29per pick51cpaid+53.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Yes49c30.61$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.11,44456.4%815 W · 629 L+51.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x64e8…b506backed Yes50c29.74$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.012536%9 W · 16 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked No39c28$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.0872058.8%423 W · 297 L+29.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4df2…d357backed Yes58c25.86$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151631.3%5 W · 11 L-2.8wins-0.18per pick49cpaid-32.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xba5e…153bbacked Yes62c25.6$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161442.9%6 W · 8 L-2.6wins-0.19per pick62cpaid-36.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x40e9…494fbacked No71c25.56$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.446526.2%17 W · 48 L0.0wins0.00per pick26cpaid-27.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.