South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CF Cruz Azul vs. Atlas FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x36cdbabe7db58e85e26f155c71542b365ef3fb5dcce7ab0e1965b641eec3fbbb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,337
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,707
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,337 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 17c | 3,300$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561 | 465 | 30.3%141 W · 324 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 15c | 996.85$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.27 | 1,290 | 42.8%552 W · 738 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed No | 77c | 614.59$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.36 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 22c | 512$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.64 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed No | 79c | 380.69$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.38 | 363 | 39.9%145 W · 218 L | -16.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 78c | 379.3$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.61 | 256 | 35.9%92 W · 164 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 18c | 312.83$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.89 | 824 | 34.5%284 W · 540 L | -17.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 22c | 308.16$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.31 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91fe…c1c6backed No | 73c | 294.33$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.71 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +4.7wins | +0.20per pick | 51cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 8c | 238.27$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.11 | 311 | 36.7%114 W · 197 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Yes | 20c | 215.52$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.13 | 375 | 40%150 W · 225 L | -16.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x17f7…4f7cbacked Yes | 22c | 211.53$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.17 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.29per pick | 34cpaid | +105.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x90aa…00f1backed Yes | 23c | 204.35$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Yes | 20c | 187.69$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.82 | 321 | 39.6%127 W · 194 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bc6…fb63backed Yes | 23c | 178$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.36 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc7…4d38backed No | 77c | 128.57$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.57 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7106…1caabacked Yes | 9c | 124.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5577…53d2backed Yes | 20c | 120$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 19c | 108.7$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.41 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 22c | 100.98$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.22 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65b5…aa71backed No | 77c | 91$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.93 | 213 | 66.7%142 W · 71 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 22c | 90.01$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4512…5d41backed Yes | 27c | 77.22$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.85 | 187 | 33.2%62 W · 125 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3247…9488backed Yes | 23c | 66.96$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x912f…b25bbacked Yes | 23c | 58$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.34 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5317…9a3bbacked Yes | 20c | 56.08$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.22 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ef1…4a76backed Yes | 23c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a85…3699backed Yes | 28c | 44.18$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.59 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeebe…72f2backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 32cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed No | 77c | 36.39$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.37 | 232 | 53%123 W · 109 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 76c | 35.67$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.45 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70b1…73b2backed No | 78c | 25.61$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.75 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -4.8wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 76c | 21.63$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.19 | 898 | 46.1%414 W · 484 L | -11.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CF Cruz Azul vs. Atlas FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Atlas FC win on 2026-08-22?Yes won
- Will CF Cruz Azul win on 2026-08-22?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.