CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: INOX Division vs Butterfly - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdbefd9f8b1546effe236520ad53575048e6ea815cea371a0dc8b9acbbd973acc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- INOX Divisionof INOX Division, Butterfly
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,955
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $41,607
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,955 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4e31…b876backed INOX Division | 46c | 4,466$2,041 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,424.32 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2666…8d0dbacked INOX Division | 46c | 3,701$1,695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,005.73 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed44…4f76backed Butterfly | 53c | 3,641$1,923 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,923.49 | 519 | 42.2%219 W · 300 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebc…a33dbacked Butterfly | 60c | 3,099$1,857 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,856.96 | 631 | 57.1%360 W · 271 L | +40.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8c8b…7a07backed INOX Division | 56c | 1,714$963 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750.91 | 211 | 59.7%126 W · 85 L | +9.2wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc818…1da3backed Butterfly | 48c | 1,038$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 89 | 25.8%23 W · 66 L | -7.6wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked INOX Division | 46c | 579.32$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.88 | 635 | 41.9%266 W · 369 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec7b…917ebacked Butterfly | 53c | 514.78$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.53 | 277 | 40.8%113 W · 164 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87a3…5857backed INOX Division | 49c | 500$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 194 | 47.4%92 W · 102 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Butterfly | 54c | 499.97$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.98 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Butterfly | 58c | 406.27$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.06 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x050e…d92fbacked INOX Division | 45c | 400$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 222 | 57.2%127 W · 95 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95f5…ecf5backed INOX Division | 47c | 346.79$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.8 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x949e…20afbacked Butterfly | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 432 | 37.7%163 W · 269 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7eeb…b6bdbacked Butterfly | 42c | 251.67$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.48 | 204 | 47.1%96 W · 108 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Butterfly | 37c | 208$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.37 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a50…241ebacked INOX Division | 49c | 205.62$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.62 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b27…0635backed INOX Division | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 317 | 49.5%157 W · 160 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b59…0ba0backed INOX Division | 34c | 199.99$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.99 | 557 | 38.4%214 W · 343 L | +11.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9688…fd45backed Butterfly | 42c | 194$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.48 | 491 | 43%211 W · 280 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Butterfly | 38c | 191$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.59 | 2,349 | 42.5%998 W · 1,351 L | -72.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Butterfly | 37c | 188.2$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.19 | 1,848 | 41.7%770 W · 1,078 L | -69.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5440…f13bbacked Butterfly | 50c | 187.17$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.22 | 119 | 52.1%62 W · 57 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…bf81backed Butterfly | 43c | 181.4$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 351 | 48.1%169 W · 182 L | -13.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Butterfly | 65c | 177.91$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.27 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f41…547cbacked INOX Division | 77c | 163$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.69 | 244 | 47.1%115 W · 129 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d34…e654backed Butterfly | 54c | 150$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.9 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Butterfly | 54c | 139.36$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.14 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2c50backed Butterfly | 50c | 131.46$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.2 | 721 | 39.7%286 W · 435 L | -25.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Butterfly | 37c | 131.19$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.92 | 2,136 | 42.9%916 W · 1,220 L | -68.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc75d…0717backed INOX Division | 37c | 130$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.9 | 295 | 43.1%127 W · 168 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Butterfly | 54c | 129.25$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.26 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfd68…a90fbacked Butterfly | 57c | 100$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.1 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.8wins | +0.35per pick | 53cpaid | +80.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Butterfly | 66c | 87.44$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.42 | 1,618 | 46.8%758 W · 860 L | -28.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Butterfly | 48c | 86.41$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.11 | 1,547 | 33.9%524 W · 1,023 L | -73.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…3b6cbacked Butterfly | 63c | 85.46$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.45 | 1,043 | 57.3%598 W · 445 L | +17.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x297a…198bbacked Butterfly | 60c | 84.99$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 62 | 32.3%20 W · 42 L | -6.5wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked INOX Division | 53c | 79.93$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.76 | 2,110 | 47.2%995 W · 1,115 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Butterfly | 40c | 65.26$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.1 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35b7…c557backed INOX Division | 45c | 58$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.9 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Butterfly | 55c | 56$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.65 | 2,362 | 46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e9…2a7fbacked Butterfly | 50c | 53.4$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.7 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa936…8ee6backed Butterfly | 37c | 50.26$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.77 | 53 | 32.1%17 W · 36 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Butterfly | 50c | 47$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.49 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8c…2d81backed Butterfly | 45c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 457 | 48.1%220 W · 237 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe660…514fbacked Butterfly | 52c | 37.53$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.59 | 99 | 38.4%38 W · 61 L | -8.6wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8d68…580abacked Butterfly | 30c | 35$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.41 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb66e…ffc2backed INOX Division | 46c | 32.46$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.53 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +5.2wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5b55…cbc6backed INOX Division | 46c | 32.46$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.53 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d2d…2be7backed INOX Division | 36c | 30.84$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.81 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +71.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa658…f93ebacked Butterfly | 68c | 29.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 98 | 64.3%63 W · 35 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked INOX Division | 47c | 27.08$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.42 | 1,068 | 55%587 W · 481 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c9e…fbfdbacked INOX Division | 46c | 26.09$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.09 | 545 | 43.5%237 W · 308 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdbb…ff81backed Butterfly | 74c | 25$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb323…e253backed INOX Division | 51c | 23.4$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.41 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Butterfly | 48c | 21$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.02 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa516…5b83backed Butterfly | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Butterfly | 71c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: INOX Division vs Butterfly - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: INOX Division vs Butterfly (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group StageINOX Division won
- Counter-Strike: INOX Division vs Butterfly - Map 2 WinnerINOX Division won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.