TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs Team AION - Game 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Zero Tenacityof Zero Tenacity, Team AION
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$30,455
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$37,677

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,455 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3413…8ff2backed Team AION35c6,829$2,378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,377.9547146.1%217 W · 254 L+25.3wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+11.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc1de…21f5backed Team AION39c4,000$1,560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,559.9529952.2%156 W · 143 L+19.9wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+13.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc0f5…3d04backed Zero Tenacity65c2,833$1,841 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$991.450449.2%248 W · 256 L+0.7wins0.00per pick49cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf201…527ebacked Team AION35c2,634$915 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$915.3832549.8%162 W · 163 L+23.9wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+7.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2146…d41bbacked Team AION40c2,365$946 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$946.0689341.5%371 W · 522 L+23.0wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-1.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfbd8…d03fbacked Zero Tenacity63c1,697$1,074 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$623.7817965.4%117 W · 62 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick64cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba57…1e84backed Zero Tenacity65c1,539$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$538.7215050.7%76 W · 74 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d42…cde0backed Zero Tenacity60c1,500$905 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5955038%19 W · 31 L-3.7wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-24.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x824b…8386backed Zero Tenacity61c1,197$727 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$470.3715848.1%76 W · 82 L-13.8wins-0.09per pick57cpaid-21.6%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x51be…12c2backed Team AION36c969.93$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35018549.7%92 W · 93 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6eac…e409backed Team AION50c885.2$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$440.1710961.5%67 W · 42 L+11.6wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+19.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x8cd2…648cbacked Zero Tenacity63c813.03$512 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300.839740.2%39 W · 58 L-4.3wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-14.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf3ce…a57abacked Team AION41c625.79$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2551,19759.2%709 W · 488 L+63.9wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8e19…d2b0backed Zero Tenacity58c612.71$358 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.3712547.2%59 W · 66 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Zero Tenacity79c588.66$465 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.992,36747.3%1,119 W · 1,248 L+17.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc2b…cec3backed Zero Tenacity61c472.74$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.14047.5%19 W · 21 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ff4…d731backed Zero Tenacity60c436.35$262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.549744.3%43 W · 54 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-12.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf97b…9946backed Team AION4c419.44$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.5320%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x070f…ed83backed Team AION33c402.22$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.2226247.7%125 W · 137 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb209…b744backed Zero Tenacity67c400$268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1327634.2%26 W · 50 L-5.1wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-34.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Zero Tenacity66c399.99$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.822,82843.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L-39.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6d4…2f1ebacked Zero Tenacity59c338.03$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.034269%29 W · 13 L+4.7wins+0.11per pick58cpaid+22.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf206…df39backed Zero Tenacity61c328.38$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.3816963.3%107 W · 62 L+6.1wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Zero Tenacity63c323.76$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.261,89447.7%903 W · 991 L+6.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4cf…2224backed Zero Tenacity64c311.34$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.346368.3%43 W · 20 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick66cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d44…49e6backed Zero Tenacity65c307.7$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.772154%389 W · 332 L-8.8wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d08…5d9fbacked Zero Tenacity63c300$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.86845.6%31 W · 37 L-0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9aff…b136backed Zero Tenacity56c299.99$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13231444.9%141 W · 173 L+14.0wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+1.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4ade…fb15backed Zero Tenacity61c274.09$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.96442.2%27 W · 37 L-4.4wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-22.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf2ae…3ca3backed Zero Tenacity63c274.09$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.893100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+114%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2e6a…5957backed Team AION20c250$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505046%23 W · 27 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe6fa…ac8fbacked Zero Tenacity63c234.45$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.89250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-20.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x880d…39bcbacked Team AION26c230$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.132756.9%186 W · 141 L+8.9wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd752…7b4fbacked Zero Tenacity60c225$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9035361.2%216 W · 137 L+0.3wins0.00per pick61cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Zero Tenacity69c216.93$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.891,44348.7%703 W · 740 L+29.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-14.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x443c…d83abacked Zero Tenacity61c212.25$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.7825851.2%132 W · 126 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked Zero Tenacity74c202.5$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.651,69141.4%700 W · 991 L-40.8wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-25.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb64c…393dbacked Zero Tenacity63c197.59$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.5929350.2%147 W · 146 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…165bbacked Team AION25c186.97$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.841,27533.5%427 W · 848 L-15.6wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaaa5…a94abacked Zero Tenacity57c182.2$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.232060%12 W · 8 L+1.7wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+19.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc925…6d24backed Zero Tenacity63c174.46$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.4240933%135 W · 274 L-36.1wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-41.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Zero Tenacity60c171.42$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.5792846.2%429 W · 499 L-16.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5aa8…efa7backed Zero Tenacity60c154.14$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.661947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-13%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec96…f5d7backed Team AION26c153.85$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4036452.5%191 W · 173 L+13.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa091…f1c1backed Zero Tenacity63c150$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.92653.8%14 W · 12 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x37a8…8b4dbacked Zero Tenacity61c145.9$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.915957.9%92 W · 67 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x59e2…1c55backed Zero Tenacity57c125.47$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.7247348.2%228 W · 245 L-9.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x91df…fd49backed Zero Tenacity64c125$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4514868.9%102 W · 46 L+5.3wins+0.04per pick65cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xde30…3159backed Zero Tenacity80c115$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2319547.2%92 W · 103 L-7.3wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-17.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x93fd…a5edbacked Zero Tenacity62c113.87$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.2740644.6%181 W · 225 L+0.8wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcea4…be49backed Team AION14c100$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141118.2%2 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.10per pick28cpaid-65.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Team AION41c75$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.751,15147.8%550 W · 601 L-12.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc5f…4df1backed Team AION37c66.86$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25520%1 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick38cpaid-62.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d1b…2670backed Team AION37c66.3$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.791145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick38cpaid-3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2911…922ebacked Zero Tenacity69c60$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.773756.8%21 W · 16 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick51cpaid-1.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc37d…e586backed Team AION26c57.58$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.0638159.1%225 W · 156 L+25.7wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+11.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb7ab…16d0backed Zero Tenacity51c54.59$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.7542767%286 W · 141 L+31.9wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+11.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb797…1cf3backed Zero Tenacity65c53.85$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.851681.3%13 W · 3 L+2.7wins+0.17per pick64cpaid+25.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x08fa…f1e0backed Team AION37c50.26$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.6680244.9%360 W · 442 L-27.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-20.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6701…d7d2backed Zero Tenacity66c50.08$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.7812353.7%66 W · 57 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5de7…5417backed Zero Tenacity57c50$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.6247951.8%248 W · 231 L+17.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb88a…77f1backed Team AION37c48.02$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.92837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-35.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x07b1…b027backed Zero Tenacity64c46$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.5614043.6%61 W · 79 L+7.1wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+13.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc15f…223dbacked Zero Tenacity75c43.3$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.6411747.9%56 W · 61 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-19.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd95d…2ab5backed Zero Tenacity80c42$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.45048%24 W · 26 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x39b2…157cbacked Zero Tenacity61c41.66$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.254967.3%33 W · 16 L+5.4wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+21.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8976…7367backed Zero Tenacity60c40$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163351.5%17 W · 16 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6aa7…1323backed Zero Tenacity65c39.43$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.86071.7%43 W · 17 L+6.9wins+0.12per pick60cpaid+21.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x67f6…1651backed Zero Tenacity51c39.42$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.437642.1%32 W · 44 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-15.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0a3b…4583backed Team AION35c38.31$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.421030%3 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-28.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4420…5658backed Zero Tenacity60c33.06$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.068861.4%54 W · 34 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6dde…efdfbacked Team AION37c31.94$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.913033.3%10 W · 20 L-2.8wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-24.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xaec7…a3bfbacked Zero Tenacity77c27.14$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.192100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde55…1d2abacked Zero Tenacity61c26.66$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.47164.8%46 W · 25 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9dfd…8f39backed Zero Tenacity57c26.08$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.211540%6 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-28.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1c81…5518backed Zero Tenacity60c24.82$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.935337.7%20 W · 33 L-6.4wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-27.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x76f1…f655backed Zero Tenacity72c21$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.8821540.9%88 W · 127 L-12.4wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-23.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed Zero Tenacity72c17$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.6963447.6%302 W · 332 L-0.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdf23…6b34backed Zero Tenacity72c16.5$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.681384.6%11 W · 2 L+2.3wins+0.18per pick67cpaid+27%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe37f…6635backed Zero Tenacity68c15.2$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.91080%8 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.13per pick67cpaid+15.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5968…3fc4backed Zero Tenacity67c15.08$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.935375.5%40 W · 13 L+8.6wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+23%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.