Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs Team AION - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe2509e8bfd4c5b2117ced2fc82f544d6140b95e73e3d36dcd5e83485ee3d7a64
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Zero Tenacityof Zero Tenacity, Team AION
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,132
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,315
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,132 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x04f6…f24abacked Team AION | 20c | 6,519$1,321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,320.56 | 503 | 47.1%237 W · 266 L | +14.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8342…6dc8backed Zero Tenacity | 78c | 1,759$1,378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.73 | 480 | 54%259 W · 221 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba57…1e84backed Zero Tenacity | 80c | 1,300$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 150 | 50.7%76 W · 74 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf97b…9946backed Team AION | 1c | 1,055$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe694…0a08backed Team AION | 3c | 875.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 181 | 52.5%95 W · 86 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbaf…f5d1backed Zero Tenacity | 78c | 849.24$662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.83 | 357 | 37%132 W · 225 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa20d…6ba4backed Team AION | 28c | 799.98$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.5 | 147 | 51%75 W · 72 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93fd…a5edbacked Team AION | 16c | 551.89$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.3 | 406 | 44.6%181 W · 225 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51be…12c2backed Zero Tenacity | 79c | 535.62$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.62 | 192 | 51%98 W · 94 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked Zero Tenacity | 80c | 500$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.9 | 920 | 56.4%519 W · 401 L | +78.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Zero Tenacity | 72c | 456.75$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.89 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca78…b3a8backed Team AION | 32c | 332.45$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.11 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -26%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked Team AION | 20c | 308.35$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.86 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fbc…f944backed Zero Tenacity | 77c | 300$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 207 | 67.1%139 W · 68 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa750…0d0fbacked Team AION | 23c | 265.08$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.71 | 377 | 54.9%207 W · 170 L | +20.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Zero Tenacity | 76c | 259.73$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.25 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Team AION | 13c | 136$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.67 | 645 | 47.8%308 W · 337 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08fa…f1e0backed Team AION | 18c | 133.74$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.8 | 813 | 45.1%367 W · 446 L | -26.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5e8…710fbacked Zero Tenacity | 77c | 129.2$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde30…3159backed Team AION | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 195 | 47.2%92 W · 103 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8cd2…648cbacked Zero Tenacity | 65c | 113.07$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.57 | 97 | 40.2%39 W · 58 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68c9…aec3backed Zero Tenacity | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 147 | 44.2%65 W · 82 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9aff…b136backed Zero Tenacity | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 324 | 45.1%146 W · 178 L | +14.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x033e…1bb9backed Team AION | 20c | 82.94$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.59 | 568 | 48.8%277 W · 291 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x443c…d83abacked Team AION | 17c | 67.77$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 258 | 51.2%132 W · 126 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f4…c1e4backed Zero Tenacity | 74c | 66.42$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.59 | 426 | 39.4%168 W · 258 L | -39.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Team AION | 22c | 47.61$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.47 | 935 | 46.4%434 W · 501 L | -15.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91df…fd49backed Zero Tenacity | 75c | 34.67$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.67 | 148 | 68.9%102 W · 46 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59e2…1c55backed Zero Tenacity | 78c | 33.35$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.23 | 475 | 48%228 W · 247 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Zero Tenacity | 76c | 30.9$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.33 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb64c…393dbacked Zero Tenacity | 75c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.25 | 293 | 50.2%147 W · 146 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs Team AION - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs Team AION (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group BZero Tenacity won
- Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs Team AION - Game 1 WinnerZero Tenacity won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.