Tennis · resolved market
ITF M15 Arad Men: Fermin Tenti vs Iannis Miletich
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbd49f6c3e337f59724347e3e5b5b017cf59695fda72c823c495e95cb9f79ca1a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Iannis Miletichof Fermin Tenti, Iannis Miletich
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,497
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,418
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,497 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7787…bf58backed Fermin Tenti | 48c | 729.17$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 144 | 47.2%68 W · 76 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf8c…e040backed Fermin Tenti | 57c | 301.85$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.55 | 648 | 37.5%243 W · 405 L | -32.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Iannis Miletich | 62c | 287.49$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.31 | 321 | 47%151 W · 170 L | +12.2wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Iannis Miletich | 54c | 226.76$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.41 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecc5…5fdebacked Fermin Tenti | 24c | 208.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 243 | 44%107 W · 136 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Iannis Miletich | 69c | 195.45$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.09 | 3,677 | 54.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L | +107.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Fermin Tenti | 56c | 127.26$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.9 | 1,639 | 55.1%903 W · 736 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e25…db26backed Fermin Tenti | 57c | 127$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.63 | 825 | 60.5%499 W · 326 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Iannis Miletich | 74c | 119.49$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.45 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Fermin Tenti | 46c | 115.19$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.8 | 1,308 | 38.9%509 W · 799 L | -23.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8468…3860backed Fermin Tenti | 28c | 108.49$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 242 | 31%75 W · 167 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b36ebacked Fermin Tenti | 42c | 102.8$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.26 | 509 | 46.6%237 W · 272 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Iannis Miletich | 60c | 87.64$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.78 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5513…de2abacked Fermin Tenti | 59c | 66.13$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.69 | 788 | 38.2%301 W · 487 L | -15.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5803…3f3fbacked Fermin Tenti | 28c | 51.08$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 853 | 48.9%417 W · 436 L | +38.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c0b…c814backed Iannis Miletich | 64c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 384 | 59.9%230 W · 154 L | +29.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3679…492ebacked Iannis Miletich | 44c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.4 | 295 | 54.6%161 W · 134 L | +15.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x68b6…99b4backed Iannis Miletich | 67c | 39.13$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.91 | 134 | 53.7%72 W · 62 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2471…4523backed Fermin Tenti | 28c | 35.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 135 | 27.4%37 W · 98 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Iannis Miletich | 76c | 35.29$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.55 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c1…dc25backed Fermin Tenti | 37c | 33.58$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.57 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x882e…e0a1backed Fermin Tenti | 37c | 31.24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.57 | 113 | 37.2%42 W · 71 L | -11.6wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed Fermin Tenti | 55c | 29.17$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.04 | 489 | 47.4%232 W · 257 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed Iannis Miletich | 44c | 22.73$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.73 | 578 | 45.7%264 W · 314 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Iannis Miletich | 71c | 21.92$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe37f…6635backed Iannis Miletich | 70c | 15.22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.57 | 43 | 72.1%31 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.