CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Kaleido Gaming vs Just Swing (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Asia Cup #1 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5a3e53f9101d9584723c0bec72b13cc29bd361916d30ebbd5d0ad8bc2c39cf87
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Just Swingof Kaleido Gaming, Just Swing
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $49,241
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $67,473
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $49,241 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 98 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb31c…14b5backed Just Swing | 54c | 10,535$5,709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,826.22 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +68.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5135…7217backed Kaleido Gaming | 56c | 2,250$1,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,260 | 1,652 | 52.9%874 W · 778 L | +60.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Kaleido Gaming | 48c | 2,187$1,047 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,046.83 | 7,990 | 50.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L | +180.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe75d…a961backed Just Swing | 55c | 1,617$889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$727.29 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +20%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x96fe…e78cbacked Just Swing | 57c | 1,471$834 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636.32 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5657…42a6backed Just Swing | 52c | 1,067$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512.15 | 80 | 48.8%39 W · 41 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Kaleido Gaming | 35c | 1,037$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.7 | 3,949 | 36.5%1,443 W · 2,506 L | -201.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Kaleido Gaming | 41c | 983.28$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.4 | 2,664 | 30.8%820 W · 1,844 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b95…07e5backed Kaleido Gaming | 44c | 728.88$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324 | 326 | 43.3%141 W · 185 L | -16.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf4b…59acbacked Just Swing | 68c | 717.66$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.54 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 64cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x270e…53cabacked Just Swing | 75c | 707.82$531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.02 | 87 | 56.3%49 W · 38 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf186…03a9backed Just Swing | 53c | 699.85$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.59 | 224 | 52.2%117 W · 107 L | +20.6wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9b…cbe5backed Kaleido Gaming | 48c | 650$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.01 | 443 | 44%195 W · 248 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Kaleido Gaming | 40c | 631.52$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.65 | 4,099 | 51%2,091 W · 2,008 L | +74.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…3f41backed Kaleido Gaming | 43c | 572.54$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.12 | 836 | 43.5%364 W · 472 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2363…ed78backed Kaleido Gaming | 51c | 550.42$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1a…4e8fbacked Kaleido Gaming | 56c | 535.36$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +60.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…e82bbacked Kaleido Gaming | 48c | 500.61$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 164 | 46.3%76 W · 88 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e4…3b32backed Kaleido Gaming | 50c | 496.34$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.81 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Kaleido Gaming | 44c | 486.24$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.99 | 2,645 | 51.9%1,372 W · 1,273 L | +21.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50b4…9428backed Just Swing | 52c | 449.25$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.26 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…f2d0backed Just Swing | 49c | 418$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.83 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71f5…4ccebacked Kaleido Gaming | 31c | 406.47$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.1 | 94 | 42.6%40 W · 54 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x277b…31fabacked Kaleido Gaming | 42c | 404.13$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.13 | 124 | 48.4%60 W · 64 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3211…9ee3backed Kaleido Gaming | 43c | 394.93$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.38 | 195 | 51.3%100 W · 95 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0d4…0289backed Kaleido Gaming | 51c | 375.06$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.2 | 177 | 46.3%82 W · 95 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6326…6329backed Kaleido Gaming | 41c | 359.99$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.6 | 601 | 43.1%259 W · 342 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e4…dd38backed Kaleido Gaming | 39c | 356.32$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.58 | 434 | 57.1%248 W · 186 L | +20.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9279…4748backed Just Swing | 60c | 343.7$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.48 | 193 | 58%112 W · 81 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb595…4b77backed Kaleido Gaming | 50c | 334.33$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f17…7035backed Just Swing | 56c | 324.98$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.14 | 455 | 65.9%300 W · 155 L | +21.1wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1242…9077backed Kaleido Gaming | 50c | 305.38$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.39 | 119 | 45.4%54 W · 65 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Kaleido Gaming | 43c | 282.6$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.48 | 5,580 | 47.2%2,632 W · 2,948 L | +47.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb03…ac95backed Kaleido Gaming | 52c | 275.99$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Kaleido Gaming | 38c | 240$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.96 | 2,798 | 37.6%1,051 W · 1,747 L | -138.2wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x92f8…0e1fbacked Just Swing | 57c | 231.27$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.84 | 129 | 46.5%60 W · 69 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2957…b26abacked Kaleido Gaming | 55c | 225.27$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 235 | 37.9%89 W · 146 L | -16.7wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Kaleido Gaming | 20c | 215.83$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.96 | 2,195 | 43.1%946 W · 1,249 L | -68.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6d3…bab9backed Kaleido Gaming | 45c | 202$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.08 | 171 | 43.9%75 W · 96 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b27…0635backed Just Swing | 51c | 199.99$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.99 | 330 | 50%165 W · 165 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked Kaleido Gaming | 45c | 199.98$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.9 | 1,397 | 52.4%732 W · 665 L | +30.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7eeb…b6bdbacked Kaleido Gaming | 27c | 193$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.3 | 238 | 47.9%114 W · 124 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4798…f92dbacked Kaleido Gaming | 69c | 187.22$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8ee…3014backed Kaleido Gaming | 23c | 177.58$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebf5…b1d0backed Kaleido Gaming | 57c | 172.4$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.48 | 528 | 50.6%267 W · 261 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf066…3349backed Just Swing | 52c | 165.36$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.42 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c81…5518backed Kaleido Gaming | 51c | 160.04$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.22 | 122 | 49.2%60 W · 62 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f38…13c8backed Kaleido Gaming | 74c | 156.24$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.04 | 103 | 55.3%57 W · 46 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7618…24c6backed Kaleido Gaming | 44c | 155$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.6 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa312…9590backed Kaleido Gaming | 42c | 138.6$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.72 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Kaleido Gaming | 32c | 127.92$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.92 | 815 | 51.7%421 W · 394 L | +26.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Kaleido Gaming | 34c | 119.79$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.26 | 5,341 | 31.3%1,674 W · 3,667 L | -390.7wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e9…2a7fbacked Kaleido Gaming | 43c | 111$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.73 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +20%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6609…4e73backed Kaleido Gaming | 54c | 105.26$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72ab…30fcbacked Kaleido Gaming | 46c | 100.32$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68cf…e58cbacked Kaleido Gaming | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x294b…22d2backed Just Swing | 57c | 96.58$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.23 | 404 | 55.4%224 W · 180 L | +18.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe660…514fbacked Kaleido Gaming | 42c | 94.5$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 101 | 38.6%39 W · 62 L | -8.8wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x59d8…ad87backed Kaleido Gaming | 54c | 91.37$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.96 | 128 | 54.7%70 W · 58 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e50…c665backed Kaleido Gaming | 29c | 90$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 167 | 45.5%76 W · 91 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9688…fd45backed Kaleido Gaming | 43c | 90$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.63 | 498 | 43%214 W · 284 L | -16.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62a8…2793backed Just Swing | 56c | 89.27$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.28 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -4.0wins | -0.21per pick | 63cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4e78…0261backed Kaleido Gaming | 57c | 89.12$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.8 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -57%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbb…ad2ebacked Kaleido Gaming | 42c | 87.07$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.83 | 91 | 42.9%39 W · 52 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Just Swing | 25c | 84$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.8 | 2,530 | 34.6%876 W · 1,654 L | -193.6wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed Kaleido Gaming | 48c | 83.42$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 702 | 42.2%296 W · 406 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc95e…102abacked Kaleido Gaming | 66c | 82.24$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.61 | 90 | 53.3%48 W · 42 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6083…aa55backed Kaleido Gaming | 57c | 80.66$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -3.3wins | -0.15per pick | 42cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked Just Swing | 53c | 80$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.6 | 2,143 | 47.3%1,013 W · 1,130 L | -61.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda29…f4b8backed Kaleido Gaming | 52c | 75.61$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.32 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -4.7wins | -0.17per pick | 56cpaid | -34%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x767e…98cabacked Kaleido Gaming | 70c | 73.57$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.24 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa005…abb1backed Kaleido Gaming | 56c | 67.5$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.8 | 191 | 50.3%96 W · 95 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Kaleido Gaming | 49c | 61.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.07 | 1,890 | 41.9%791 W · 1,099 L | -71.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3e6…ef53backed Kaleido Gaming | 45c | 60.63$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 42 | 26.2%11 W · 31 L | -5.5wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa16b…c4f0backed Kaleido Gaming | 46c | 60.41$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.55 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ff6…dc1bbacked Kaleido Gaming | 44c | 60$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Kaleido Gaming | 44c | 59.92$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.17 | 1,325 | 44.1%584 W · 741 L | +44.1wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4575…3a3fbacked Kaleido Gaming | 44c | 57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.28 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c5c…d463backed Just Swing | 65c | 54$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67f6…1651backed Just Swing | 58c | 51.84$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.8 | 77 | 44.2%34 W · 43 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d3f…b997backed Kaleido Gaming | 45c | 49$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.05 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Kaleido Gaming | 55c | 46.16$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.39 | 166 | 44.6%74 W · 92 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x589a…8dc5backed Kaleido Gaming | 44c | 45.18$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.88 | 395 | 38.7%153 W · 242 L | -16.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Kaleido Gaming | 44c | 43$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 2,397 | 42.7%1,023 W · 1,374 L | -73.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Kaleido Gaming | 44c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 3,267 | 45.5%1,485 W · 1,782 L | -85.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69a3…ff9fbacked Kaleido Gaming | 32c | 39.7$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60b1…8e7dbacked Kaleido Gaming | 65c | 38.26$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.87 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -3.2wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -34%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Kaleido Gaming | 46c | 38$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.38 | 896 | 30.7%275 W · 621 L | -64.4wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Kaleido Gaming | 44c | 37.48$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.49 | 726 | 45.6%331 W · 395 L | -21.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39e4…f089backed Kaleido Gaming | 54c | 34.42$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.49 | 321 | 38.3%123 W · 198 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe37f…6635backed Kaleido Gaming | 52c | 31.2$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.3 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked Just Swing | 66c | 30.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 1,142 | 54.4%621 W · 521 L | -4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcad…1c26backed Kaleido Gaming | 61c | 28$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.16 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa58f…cec8backed Kaleido Gaming | 50c | 27.9$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.89 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c4b…0884backed Kaleido Gaming | 75c | 24$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb491…4400backed Kaleido Gaming | 44c | 23.65$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.48 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 20cpaid | +59.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ed3…e416backed Just Swing | 56c | 20.7$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.17 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x395a…eb72backed Just Swing | 71c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.35 | 89 | 73%65 W · 24 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 67cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Kaleido Gaming vs Just Swing (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Asia Cup #1 Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: Kaleido Gaming vs Just Swing - Map 2 WinnerJust Swing won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.