TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

ITF M15 Maanshan 7 Men: Weiyi Kong vs M Rifqi Fitriadi

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
M Rifqi Fitriadiof Weiyi Kong, M Rifqi Fitriadi
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$29,041
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$28,590

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,041 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2005…75eabacked Weiyi Kong20c10,765$2,129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,129.1411,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked M Rifqi Fitriadi75c3,897$2,938 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$959.176,43954.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L+285.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+26.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xef29…2f1ebacked M Rifqi Fitriadi75c3,341$2,510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$831.131,11145.3%503 W · 608 L-35.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Weiyi Kong23c2,625$616 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$616.178,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5513…de2abacked Weiyi Kong22c1,059$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.6878838.2%301 W · 487 L-15.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-26.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x13f7…85d5backed Weiyi Kong26c976.99$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.321,30838.9%509 W · 799 L-23.3wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-27.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Weiyi Kong6c645.94$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.561,04236.5%380 W · 662 L-20.2wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4232…d505backed Weiyi Kong26c624.46$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.3637235.2%131 W · 241 L-12.8wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed M Rifqi Fitriadi74c540.92$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.933,67754.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L+107.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Weiyi Kong9c511.65$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.836,72036.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L-95.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed Weiyi Kong22c281.81$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.263,60542.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L-43.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9a34…a28bbacked Weiyi Kong19c205.77$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.214436.4%16 W · 28 L-4.4wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-41.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xcb77…fbeebacked M Rifqi Fitriadi76c184$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.8824052.5%126 W · 114 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ca9…424abacked Weiyi Kong20c157.88$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.151,71053.7%918 W · 792 L+30.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Weiyi Kong30c148.82$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.236,44946.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L-42.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5803…3f3fbacked M Rifqi Fitriadi74c112.82$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.8185348.9%417 W · 436 L+38.1wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+3.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x87f7…8f45backed Weiyi Kong18c99.19$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.0748947.4%232 W · 257 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x40e9…494fbacked Weiyi Kong16c95.19$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.0644729.3%131 W · 316 L-10.7wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-33.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe24e…eecebacked M Rifqi Fitriadi66c75.76$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.7687854.7%480 W · 398 L+8.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x66ac…5e75backed M Rifqi Fitriadi66c75.76$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.7694255.8%526 W · 416 L+19.9wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9455…7defbacked M Rifqi Fitriadi68c73.53$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.5396049.5%475 W · 485 L+16.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4bcd…c00fbacked M Rifqi Fitriadi68c73.53$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.5312054.2%65 W · 55 L-0.4wins0.00per pick54cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e69…553abacked M Rifqi Fitriadi70c71.43$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.4392355.8%515 W · 408 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x39c1…3174backed M Rifqi Fitriadi72c69.44$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.4439451.8%204 W · 190 L-9.8wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd82…6a10backed M Rifqi Fitriadi72c69.44$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.4428557.9%165 W · 120 L+5.8wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x99f1…f02dbacked M Rifqi Fitriadi76c55.63$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.636448.4%31 W · 33 L-4.3wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-21.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5968…3fc4backed M Rifqi Fitriadi74c55.48$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.2342359.1%250 W · 173 L+24.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+12.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xba29…62f6backed M Rifqi Fitriadi77c52.11$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.112100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+34.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x88a9…e618backed M Rifqi Fitriadi72c41.67$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.6792554.8%507 W · 418 L+15.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf4b0…d8dbbacked M Rifqi Fitriadi72c41.67$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.6749056.9%279 W · 211 L+15.1wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe37f…6635backed M Rifqi Fitriadi76c40.64$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.794372.1%31 W · 12 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick67cpaid+5.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ca1…fc25backed Weiyi Kong27c39.18$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.6512661.1%77 W · 49 L+10.0wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+7.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xfeef…4b1fbacked M Rifqi Fitriadi75c32.89$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.2225250.4%127 W · 125 L-7.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed M Rifqi Fitriadi76c32.8$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.8987741.3%362 W · 515 L-14.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-14.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x24ce…da46backed M Rifqi Fitriadi77c32.63$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.4242748.7%208 W · 219 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3654…1b78backed M Rifqi Fitriadi77c32$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.3235357.2%202 W · 151 L+17.5wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+0.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa042…cba4backed M Rifqi Fitriadi74c26.51$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.7627549.1%135 W · 140 L+7.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9028…8608backed M Rifqi Fitriadi75c25.96$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.4942546.4%197 W · 228 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-12.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xa507…f17dbacked M Rifqi Fitriadi67c22.31$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.311361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+13.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x73db…1507backed M Rifqi Fitriadi71c21.09$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.09560%3 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d10…780bbacked M Rifqi Fitriadi72c20.83$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.831,02554%554 W · 471 L+37.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.