WNBA · resolved market
Los Angeles Sparks vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 182.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4c96cde986ebc64714cff5a9b09771a4ca5d9f0e643e68b219164c27ac40c0d8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,230
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,193
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,230 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over | 1c | 4,372$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.72 | 261 | 47.1%123 W · 138 L | +15.7wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 77c | 2,835$2,177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$657.18 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Under | 49c | 2,339$1,146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,192.67 | 59 | 33.9%20 W · 39 L | -6.9wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Over | 22c | 2,289$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.48 | 367 | 50.7%186 W · 181 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x73e8…cd6fbacked Under | 50c | 1,976$995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980.8 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24d4…4e1dbacked Over | 51c | 1,569$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 90 | 47.8%43 W · 47 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 21c | 1,512$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.68 | 347 | 26.5%92 W · 255 L | -20.7wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 76c | 1,269$969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.38 | 509 | 52.5%267 W · 242 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13d0…4a70backed Over | 1c | 1,111$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.11 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 51c | 912.64$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.43 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Over | 29c | 720.83$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.88 | 506 | 46.8%237 W · 269 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Under | 49c | 700.76$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.39 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Over | 49c | 612.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 194 | 46.4%90 W · 104 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Over | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 179 | 46.4%83 W · 96 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe78…edacbacked Over | 51c | 431.37$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Over | 16c | 307.57$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.67 | 157 | 41.4%65 W · 92 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Over | 23c | 299.99$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 50c | 220.02$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.01 | 712 | 45.4%323 W · 389 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 62c | 193.36$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.57 | 610 | 42.5%259 W · 351 L | -31.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0182…301cbacked Under | 70c | 190.75$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.75 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 31c | 159.18$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.59 | 749 | 42.3%317 W · 432 L | -21.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 30c | 136.86$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.06 | 303 | 47.2%143 W · 160 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb3…88c1backed Under | 72c | 130$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.8 | 173 | 50.3%87 W · 86 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Over | 49c | 111.87$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.82 | 405 | 50.9%206 W · 199 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed Under | 76c | 108.18$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.88 | 73 | 60.3%44 W · 29 L | +4.9wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbde6…764bbacked Over | 29c | 107.45$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.16 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f79…0307backed Over | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d18…2365backed Over | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 84 | 42.9%36 W · 48 L | -10.7wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Over | 15c | 86$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 252 | 46%116 W · 136 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 79c | 81.48$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.11 | 893 | 49.4%441 W · 452 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Over | 50c | 69.12$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.6 | 159 | 38.4%61 W · 98 L | -16.5wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Under | 67c | 64.98$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.24 | 364 | 54.1%197 W · 167 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ee…e425backed Over | 51c | 59.08$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.13 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d8b…cc69backed Over | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 23c | 57.62$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.25 | 411 | 47%193 W · 218 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95f5…779fbacked Over | 33c | 55.5$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.09 | 132 | 56.8%75 W · 57 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2045…c77cbacked Under | 78c | 54.03$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.03 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 66cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa61…7f3bbacked Under | 50c | 53$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.55 | 285 | 58.6%167 W · 118 L | +20.0wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -3.2wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 60c | 44.43$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.66 | 641 | 52%333 W · 308 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 49c | 42.44$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.64 | 837 | 48.1%403 W · 434 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6af…c64abacked Over | 60c | 41.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 50 | 66%33 W · 17 L | +5.1wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x19e5…dd71backed Under | 77c | 41.29$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.42 | 123 | 59.3%73 W · 50 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c1b…85c8backed Over | 28c | 41$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.61 | 154 | 51.9%80 W · 74 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x237f…e76ebacked Over | 51c | 39.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.1 | 89 | 39.3%35 W · 54 L | -8.0wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xffcb…d630backed Over | 51c | 37.9$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.33 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…8689backed Under | 77c | 37$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.51 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x273d…fb63backed Under | 60c | 34.94$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.97 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 40c | 29.43$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.66 | 310 | 43.2%134 W · 176 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83a…8355backed Under | 76c | 27.73$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.73 | 69 | 69.6%48 W · 21 L | +5.9wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 40c | 26.67$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 922 | 48.8%450 W · 472 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 51c | 22.39$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.42 | 237 | 46.4%110 W · 127 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed Under | 48c | 21$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.92 | 184 | 41.8%77 W · 107 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5663…f2e5backed Under | 78c | 19.73$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.42 | 74 | 70.3%52 W · 22 L | +9.6wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +23%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdf3d…1a59backed Under | 78c | 19.23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.23 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a1e…6f16backed Under | 68c | 18.97$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.07 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe37f…6635backed Under | 76c | 15.13$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.58 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 80c | 13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.6 | 246 | 56.5%139 W · 107 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Los Angeles Sparks vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 182.5this page
- Los Angeles Sparks vs. Chicago SkyChicago Sky won
- Los Angeles Sparks vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 183.5Under won
- Los Angeles Sparks vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 184.5Under won
- Los Angeles Sparks vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 185.5Under won
- Spread: Chicago Sky (-1.5)Chicago Sky won
- Spread: Chicago Sky (-2.5)Chicago Sky won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.