WNBA · resolved market
Los Angeles Sparks vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 183.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf3b6002b0250f6ff63d7aef18444d3617eecb3f4ca55f4e2bd1aee3fb26dc414
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $53,839
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $53,858
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $53,839 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf070…ac55backed Under | 54c | 19,954$10,762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,191.89 | 107 | 49.5%53 W · 54 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd202…8973backed Over | 48c | 14,562$6,990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,989.76 | 76 | 48.7%37 W · 39 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Under | 52c | 14,228$7,398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,829.38 | 785 | 48.8%383 W · 402 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 47c | 6,814$3,188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,187.93 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 46c | 4,903$2,241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,241.06 | 893 | 49.4%441 W · 452 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9e7…56d8backed Over | 48c | 4,167$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Under | 52c | 4,000$2,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,919.99 | 59 | 33.9%20 W · 39 L | -6.9wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Over | 24c | 3,592$876 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$876.07 | 176 | 56.8%100 W · 76 L | +12.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0dad…4855backed Over | 55c | 2,200$1,210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,209.98 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +3.4wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 45c | 2,102$946 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$945.75 | 995 | 48.1%479 W · 516 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 73c | 1,872$1,357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.47 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 52c | 1,299$675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$623.28 | 411 | 45.7%188 W · 223 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 46c | 1,202$553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552.92 | 837 | 48.1%403 W · 434 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 46c | 939.72$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.27 | 462 | 47%217 W · 245 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Under | 52c | 877.39$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.15 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d98…1e48backed Over | 48c | 734.7$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.48 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +31%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03c5…5f61backed Under | 45c | 695.36$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.45 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0972…9d1ebacked Under | 53c | 673.58$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.58 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Over | 46c | 617.51$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.05 | 143 | 45.5%65 W · 78 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Over | 48c | 597.99$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.2 | 307 | 34.2%105 W · 202 L | -28.2wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed Under | 78c | 509.54$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.1 | 60 | 66.7%40 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 61c | 447.83$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.68 | 749 | 42.3%317 W · 432 L | -21.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Over | 47c | 400$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188 | 179 | 46.4%83 W · 96 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over | 28c | 319.31$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91 | 149 | 36.9%55 W · 94 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fe…97aebacked Over | 55c | 272.99$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 47c | 256$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.32 | 922 | 48.8%450 W · 472 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 46c | 239.15$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.01 | 712 | 45.4%323 W · 389 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5843…db42backed Over | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +3.9wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x474a…a275backed Over | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95f5…779fbacked Over | 22c | 185.1$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.82 | 132 | 56.8%75 W · 57 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Over | 53c | 153.74$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.48 | 296 | 54.4%161 W · 135 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Over | 34c | 149.25$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.7 | 252 | 46%116 W · 136 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Over | 47c | 135.06$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.48 | 327 | 50.2%164 W · 163 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Over | 53c | 119.99$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.6 | 270 | 49.6%134 W · 136 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Under | 47c | 113.91$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.37 | 329 | 48.6%160 W · 169 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 48c | 97.98$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.42 | 615 | 47%289 W · 326 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c1b…85c8backed Over | 22c | 78$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.16 | 154 | 51.9%80 W · 74 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 48c | 73$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.04 | 211 | 50.2%106 W · 105 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90a7…5ac0backed Over | 33c | 66$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.78 | 63 | 41.3%26 W · 37 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5016…ada1backed Over | 48c | 53$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.44 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Over | 47c | 49.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -3.2wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Over | 51c | 46.44$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.8 | 284 | 47.9%136 W · 148 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa61…7f3bbacked Under | 53c | 46$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.62 | 285 | 58.6%167 W · 118 L | +20.0wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe840…733cbacked Over | 48c | 45.83$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 88 | 50%44 W · 44 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Under | 53c | 44.51$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.92 | 426 | 49.3%210 W · 216 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Over | 32c | 37.13$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 224 | 40.2%90 W · 134 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ae…5310backed Under | 45c | 33.33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.33 | 98 | 51%50 W · 48 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 53c | 28.57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.14 | 237 | 46.4%110 W · 127 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3cdb…4cc2backed Under | 45c | 28$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.4 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Over | 48c | 27.28$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.15 | 159 | 38.4%61 W · 98 L | -16.5wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x205d…2ad2backed Under | 45c | 26.27$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.45 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56cc…d589backed Over | 48c | 22.26$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.69 | 144 | 50%72 W · 72 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 77c | 15.38$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.54 | 509 | 52.5%267 W · 242 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Los Angeles Sparks vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 183.5this page
- Los Angeles Sparks vs. Chicago SkyChicago Sky won
- Los Angeles Sparks vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 182.5Under won
- Los Angeles Sparks vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 184.5Under won
- Los Angeles Sparks vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 185.5Under won
- Spread: Chicago Sky (-1.5)Chicago Sky won
- Spread: Chicago Sky (-2.5)Chicago Sky won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.