WNBA · resolved market

Spread: Chicago Sky (-1.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x12bb52b7256b877af33e1fb4e781c3f8817a1cfc2cc8f717ef1f2fd30917ade3

Rebuilt 13 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Chicago Skyof Chicago Sky, Los Angeles Sparks
Resolved: Jul 17, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $46,427
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $46,581

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $46,427 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in WNBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x684b…8409backed Chicago Sky	50c	22,355$11,169 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11,186.2	92	45.7%42 W · 50 L	-5.1wins	-0.05per pick	51cpaid	-11.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd202…8973backed Los Angeles Sparks	50c	14,370$7,185 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,185	76	48.7%37 W · 39 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1aa2…30ccbacked Los Angeles Sparks	49c	6,000$2,940 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,939.99	130	48.5%63 W · 67 L	-1.5wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Chicago Sky	51c	4,016$2,048 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,967.84	361	54%195 W · 166 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc9e7…56d8backed Chicago Sky	51c	3,922$2,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,921.56	13	46.2%6 W · 7 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Chicago Sky	51c	3,094$1,576 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,518.64	837	48.1%403 W · 434 L	+2.5wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa1f3…d99cbacked Los Angeles Sparks	49c	2,612$1,280 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,280	114	57.9%66 W · 48 L	+9.4wins	+0.08per pick	50cpaid	+17.1%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7a14…cba2backed Los Angeles Sparks	50c	2,442$1,221 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,220.81	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	-2.4wins	-0.22per pick	49cpaid	-42.3%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x1316…48a4backed Chicago Sky	50c	2,000$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,000	137	46%63 W · 74 L	-6.6wins	-0.05per pick	51cpaid	-11%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Los Angeles Sparks	49c	1,989$975 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$974.61	405	50.9%206 W · 199 L	+6.9wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x379a…5122backed Los Angeles Sparks	50c	1,756$878 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$878	43	39.5%17 W · 26 L	-4.5wins	-0.10per pick	50cpaid	-20.6%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x24ed…7f84backed Chicago Sky	50c	1,604$802 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$801.9	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	0%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Los Angeles Sparks	50c	1,585$789 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$788.62	179	46.4%83 W · 96 L	-6.7wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Chicago Sky	76c	1,260$960 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$299.85	1,611	50.2%809 W · 802 L	+37.9wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa406…bd18backed Los Angeles Sparks	52c	1,175$611 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$611	23	52.2%12 W · 11 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Los Angeles Sparks	49c	1,140$560 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$560.02	893	49.4%441 W · 452 L	+5.1wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Chicago Sky	50c	1,134$567 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$567.6	1,765	51.7%912 W · 853 L	+53.4wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Los Angeles Sparks	49c	1,000$490 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$490	14	64.3%9 W · 5 L	+2.2wins	+0.16per pick	48cpaid	+36.4%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd0e5…9105backed Los Angeles Sparks	50c	1,000$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	13	53.8%7 W · 6 L	+0.6wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+8.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Los Angeles Sparks	50c	696.38$348 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$348.19	386	45.9%177 W · 209 L	-15.6wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Los Angeles Sparks	50c	512$256 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$256	922	48.8%450 W · 472 L	+9.3wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Los Angeles Sparks	26c	510.25$135 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$135	509	52.5%267 W · 242 L	+17.4wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Los Angeles Sparks	22c	448.75$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98.73	367	50.7%186 W · 181 L	+15.2wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0e64…336dbacked Los Angeles Sparks	50c	425$213 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$212.5	10	60%6 W · 4 L	+1.2wins	+0.12per pick	48cpaid	+17.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfbd3…0e24backed Los Angeles Sparks	50c	400$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	22	27.3%6 W · 16 L	-4.0wins	-0.18per pick	46cpaid	-50.6%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Los Angeles Sparks	51c	294.11$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	61	37.7%23 W · 38 L	-8.2wins	-0.13per pick	51cpaid	-26.7%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Chicago Sky	50c	275.64$138 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$137.82	344	48%165 W · 179 L	-1.9wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7760…21f0backed Los Angeles Sparks	49c	251$123 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$122.52	51	47.1%24 W · 27 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Los Angeles Sparks	50c	250$125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$125	327	50.2%164 W · 163 L	+2.9wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	0%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed Los Angeles Sparks	50c	200$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99	224	46%103 W · 121 L	-9.6wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8987…02f3backed Los Angeles Sparks	50c	197.72$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98.86	76	55.3%42 W · 34 L	+2.7wins	+0.04per pick	52cpaid	+16.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Los Angeles Sparks	24c	190$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.6	303	47.2%143 W · 160 L	-2.8wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Los Angeles Sparks	24c	190$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.6	506	46.8%237 W · 269 L	-3.8wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8859…89d6backed Chicago Sky	51c	179.35$91 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$88.53	55	60%33 W · 22 L	+4.5wins	+0.08per pick	52cpaid	+17.8%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Chicago Sky	73c	168.82$123 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45.58	310	43.2%134 W · 176 L	+6.6wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Los Angeles Sparks	23c	148.99$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.67	347	26.5%92 W · 255 L	-20.7wins	-0.06per pick	32cpaid	-39.4%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Los Angeles Sparks	50c	140$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	284	47.9%136 W · 148 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3404…10d2backed Los Angeles Sparks	50c	137.89$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68.44	159	38.4%61 W · 98 L	-16.5wins	-0.10per pick	49cpaid	-21.5%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xd17a…0373backed Chicago Sky	52c	120$62 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$57.6	270	49.6%134 W · 136 L	-5.3wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xef54…c997backed Los Angeles Sparks	52c	119.98$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.39	87	46%40 W · 47 L	-4.6wins	-0.05per pick	51cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Los Angeles Sparks	51c	102.04$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.04	462	47%217 W · 245 L	-0.9wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x186a…559dbacked Chicago Sky	49c	102.04$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52.04	155	53.5%83 W · 72 L	+2.0wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Los Angeles Sparks	22c	101.36$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.3	378	50%189 W · 189 L	+9.1wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x83e3…5652backed Chicago Sky	50c	100$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50	8	50%4 W · 4 L	-0.5wins	-0.07per pick	57cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x987b…3d00backed Chicago Sky	51c	98.04$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48.04	133	48.1%64 W · 69 L	-10.1wins	-0.08per pick	56cpaid	-13.2%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0009…5497backed Chicago Sky	46c	85.98$39 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46.65	104	53.8%56 W · 48 L	+4.2wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+13.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x273d…fb63backed Los Angeles Sparks	48c	80$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.4	19	52.6%10 W · 9 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Chicago Sky	48c	73$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.96	211	50.2%106 W · 105 L	+3.2wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Chicago Sky	73c	72.76$53 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.65	411	47%193 W · 218 L	+2.1wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-11.6%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Los Angeles Sparks	52c	65.86$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.03	641	52%333 W · 308 L	+6.1wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Los Angeles Sparks	26c	63$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.38	54	57.4%31 W · 23 L	+3.3wins	+0.06per pick	51cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9b75…409ebacked Los Angeles Sparks	53c	56.6$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	15	46.7%7 W · 8 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5fb5…3444backed Los Angeles Sparks	49c	51.17$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.2	32	56.3%18 W · 14 L	+1.8wins	+0.06per pick	51cpaid	+12%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6701…d7d2backed Los Angeles Sparks	26c	51$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.26	73	60.3%44 W · 29 L	+4.9wins	+0.07per pick	54cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed Los Angeles Sparks	49c	50$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.5	15	33.3%5 W · 10 L	-3.2wins	-0.22per pick	55cpaid	-42.6%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Chicago Sky	52c	47$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.56	243	47.7%116 W · 127 L	-5.1wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0576…6232backed Los Angeles Sparks	50c	45.11$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.56	426	49.3%210 W · 216 L	-3.5wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd619…c461backed Los Angeles Sparks	48c	40$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.2	194	46.4%90 W · 104 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7aa7…afb4backed Chicago Sky	79c	34.43$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.23	13	84.6%11 W · 2 L	+2.5wins	+0.20per pick	65cpaid	+25%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Los Angeles Sparks	50c	32.28$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.14	179	46.9%84 W · 95 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Chicago Sky	77c	31.89$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.25	246	56.5%139 W · 107 L	+6.6wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Chicago Sky	74c	27$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.14	347	53.9%187 W · 160 L	+20.0wins	+0.06per pick	48cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc306…accdbacked Los Angeles Sparks	52c	25$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	44	56.8%25 W · 19 L	+2.5wins	+0.06per pick	51cpaid	+4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x700b…8d0bbacked Chicago Sky	51c	23.23$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.42	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+1.1wins	+0.28per pick	47cpaid	+65%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x64db…325bbacked Chicago Sky	50c	22.6$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.3	65	44.6%29 W · 36 L	-2.9wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x95f5…779fbacked Chicago Sky	75c	17.3$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.27	132	56.8%75 W · 57 L	+5.8wins	+0.04per pick	52cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: Chicago Sky (-1.5)this page
Los Angeles Sparks vs. Chicago SkyChicago Sky won
Los Angeles Sparks vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 182.5Under won
Los Angeles Sparks vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 183.5Under won
Los Angeles Sparks vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 184.5Under won
Los Angeles Sparks vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 185.5Under won
Spread: Chicago Sky (-2.5)Chicago Sky won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Chicago Sky (-1.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event