Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: DYNASTY vs FTS - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8d0367e6b92eaf00099ccb9eb324b3e1c3bb21f340f8cee3d936798f698d06f3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- DYNASTYof DYNASTY, FTS
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $94,033
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $106,810
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $94,033 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 147 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6373…a0b7backed FTS | 48c | 22,686$10,832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,831.92 | 148 | 25%37 W · 111 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked DYNASTY | 47c | 11,611$5,514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,096.6 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…21bcbacked FTS | 38c | 3,584$1,356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,355.91 | 798 | 59%471 W · 327 L | +16.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc83…08f4backed DYNASTY | 56c | 3,293$1,831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,461.71 | 54 | 61.1%33 W · 21 L | +6.8wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb4…74c5backed DYNASTY | 75c | 2,926$2,198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$728.49 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfab…f067backed DYNASTY | 53c | 2,072$1,108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$964.6 | 480 | 57.1%274 W · 206 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked DYNASTY | 47c | 1,812$847 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$965.58 | 772 | 56.5%436 W · 336 L | +30.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…ed37backed DYNASTY | 48c | 1,723$832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$890.63 | 574 | 49%281 W · 293 L | +33.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed DYNASTY | 52c | 1,685$869 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$816.35 | 691 | 32.6%225 W · 466 L | -26.8wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3413…8ff2backed FTS | 25c | 1,520$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.5 | 476 | 46.4%221 W · 255 L | +27.2wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f4…c1e4backed DYNASTY | 66c | 1,485$976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.77 | 426 | 39.4%168 W · 258 L | -39.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x21a3…3e5cbacked DYNASTY | 74c | 1,196$888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.94 | 38 | 63.2%24 W · 14 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f5…3d04backed FTS | 61c | 1,173$721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720.68 | 510 | 49%250 W · 260 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed DYNASTY | 27c | 1,161$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$846.98 | 324 | 41.7%135 W · 189 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9aff…b136backed DYNASTY | 32c | 999.99$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$679.99 | 324 | 45.1%146 W · 178 L | +14.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0944…358fbacked FTS | 51c | 926.79$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.93 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -62.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdff6…1963backed FTS | 59c | 844.99$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.65 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed DYNASTY | 31c | 832.06$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$577.92 | 503 | 53.9%271 W · 232 L | +26.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f98…cb91backed FTS | 19c | 781$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.09 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe360…71fabacked FTS | 31c | 773.17$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.71 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +19%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0328…bd17backed FTS | 66c | 761.87$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 89 | 57.3%51 W · 38 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59cb…57d1backed FTS | 32c | 657.09$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.97 | 72 | 55.6%40 W · 32 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf34b…bcb3backed DYNASTY | 72c | 655.15$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.44 | 583 | 56.8%331 W · 252 L | +28.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x08ee…ffe2backed FTS | 35c | 622.14$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.35 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1747…4afcbacked FTS | 29c | 611.75$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.44 | 143 | 43.4%62 W · 81 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51be…12c2backed DYNASTY | 38c | 595.04$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.64 | 192 | 51%98 W · 94 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked FTS | 40c | 550.98$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.42 | 669 | 47.1%315 W · 354 L | -10.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ff4…5607backed FTS | 56c | 538.82$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x272d…bc2fbacked DYNASTY | 55c | 523.82$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.72 | 122 | 55.7%68 W · 54 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc186…e96ebacked DYNASTY | 55c | 520.02$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.31 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed FTS | 30c | 499.65$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.79 | 381 | 42%160 W · 221 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdfe3…ec6fbacked FTS | 70c | 465.96$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.17 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xedd0…b03abacked FTS | 59c | 465.13$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40db…ca8cbacked DYNASTY | 78c | 437.2$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.94 | 540 | 58.9%318 W · 222 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd2…b613backed DYNASTY | 75c | 400.62$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.62 | 45 | 77.8%35 W · 10 L | +4.1wins | +0.09per pick | 69cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed DYNASTY | 61c | 399.68$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.95 | 1,164 | 47.2%549 W · 615 L | -29.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfda…5504backed FTS | 23c | 396.46$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.98 | 88 | 47.7%42 W · 46 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f04…1fb0backed DYNASTY | 75c | 395.25$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.81 | 104 | 58.7%61 W · 43 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa474…32cbbacked FTS | 39c | 387.29$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.89 | 538 | 44.4%239 W · 299 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b34…a646backed DYNASTY | 78c | 380.02$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +86%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69b9…a5d5backed DYNASTY | 55c | 363.45$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.55 | 88 | 50%44 W · 44 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82b0…7c38backed DYNASTY | 55c | 361.82$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.82 | 160 | 55.6%89 W · 71 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed FTS | 38c | 340.35$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.01 | 589 | 43%253 W · 336 L | -25.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked FTS | 38c | 338.54$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.28 | 440 | 49.3%217 W · 223 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2d…54cfbacked FTS | 38c | 324$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3a…91fdbacked DYNASTY | 55c | 306.89$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.1 | 146 | 55.5%81 W · 65 L | +8.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb676…3303backed FTS | 60c | 300$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.16per pick | 59cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed FTS | 37c | 297$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.88 | 500 | 32.2%161 W · 339 L | -47.1wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked DYNASTY | 68c | 293.24$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.84 | 953 | 42.2%402 W · 551 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5008…9466backed DYNASTY | 54c | 290.34$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.05 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -4.4wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xec96…f5d7backed DYNASTY | 69c | 288.38$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.37 | 372 | 53%197 W · 175 L | +14.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde0f…a4e7backed FTS | 68c | 288$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.68 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 74cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa521…d609backed DYNASTY | 75c | 270$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.5 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b27…0635backed FTS | 39c | 250$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.58 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked FTS | 55c | 241.63$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.9 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed FTS | 63c | 240$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.13 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -40%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb6c…d38ebacked DYNASTY | 76c | 224.37$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.37 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f83…086fbacked DYNASTY | 33c | 220$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.5 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed FTS | 51c | 216$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.56 | 645 | 47.8%308 W · 337 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3b…9f07backed DYNASTY | 75c | 214$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.5 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.3wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +133.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2eea…1a4cbacked DYNASTY | 44c | 209.58$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.69 | 128 | 58.6%75 W · 53 L | +10.4wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7eeb…b6bdbacked DYNASTY | 50c | 207.61$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.24 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8342…6dc8backed DYNASTY | 39c | 201.99$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.21 | 480 | 54%259 W · 221 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c3…0566backed FTS | 60c | 200$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.07 | 81 | 50.6%41 W · 40 L | -6.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1028…f3fcbacked DYNASTY | 27c | 199.99$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.59 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd786…59b8backed DYNASTY | 55c | 196.4$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.48 | 68 | 51.5%35 W · 33 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc925…6d24backed FTS | 58c | 186.19$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.9 | 416 | 32.7%136 W · 280 L | -37.8wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2cb5…819abacked FTS | 30c | 185$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.35 | 77 | 45.5%35 W · 42 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0396…86babacked DYNASTY | 77c | 182.21$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.21 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f6…38e8backed FTS | 6c | 174.87$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.43 | 332 | 3%10 W · 322 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbf3…aa3abacked DYNASTY | 44c | 171.78$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.78 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked DYNASTY | 53c | 160$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.2 | 421 | 46.6%196 W · 225 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7585…dcb3backed FTS | 62c | 157$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.34 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.15per pick | 42cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked DYNASTY | 51c | 153.04$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.04 | 892 | 38.1%340 W · 552 L | -42.7wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa042…cba4backed DYNASTY | 38c | 151.37$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.02 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3e6…8532backed FTS | 28c | 150.21$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.82 | 108 | 49.1%53 W · 55 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5266…22acbacked FTS | 26c | 149.4$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.48 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +4.1wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6204…caa8backed DYNASTY | 70c | 142.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.68 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked DYNASTY | 60c | 135.99$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.44 | 1,458 | 48.5%707 W · 751 L | +27.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8eb…0f59backed FTS | 40c | 132.5$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6609…4e73backed FTS | 60c | 131.67$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49ea…1c22backed FTS | 46c | 128.86$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.81 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | +5.0wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8d19…e27cbacked FTS | 51c | 123.42$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.44 | 126 | 46%58 W · 68 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc3bc…1e7ebacked FTS | 62c | 119.52$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bec…7800backed FTS | 58c | 119$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.02 | 140 | 48.6%68 W · 72 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47e8…efdcbacked DYNASTY | 33c | 108.94$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.99 | 194 | 56.2%109 W · 85 L | +13.1wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7a…8238backed FTS | 25c | 107.8$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.95 | 77 | 35.1%27 W · 50 L | -5.2wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd82…6a10backed DYNASTY | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -3.6wins | -0.26per pick | 47cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x736d…c635backed FTS | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 971 | 42.7%415 W · 556 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…8e7ebacked FTS | 56c | 98.21$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 338 | 54.1%183 W · 155 L | +11.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked FTS | 49c | 97.35$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.03 | 302 | 51.7%156 W · 146 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c9f…75cabacked FTS | 59c | 93.71$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked FTS | 46c | 93.71$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.72 | 587 | 46.5%273 W · 314 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0d4…0289backed FTS | 62c | 84.35$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe530…ed7bbacked FTS | 67c | 80.39$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.48 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b45…362bbacked FTS | 58c | 78.4$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.17 | 240 | 34.2%82 W · 158 L | -17.8wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdd…e70ebacked DYNASTY | 61c | 78$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.42 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0868…efe8backed DYNASTY | 37c | 75$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.16 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7a5…cf41backed DYNASTY | 30c | 74.99$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.49 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -30%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed DYNASTY | 48c | 71.31$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.1 | 915 | 53.3%488 W · 427 L | +48.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: DYNASTY vs FTS - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: DYNASTY vs FTS (BO3) - EPL Masters 2 Play-In Group ADYNASTY won
- Dota 2: DYNASTY vs FTS - Game 1 WinnerDYNASTY won
- Game Handicap: DYNASTY (-1.5) vs FTS (+1.5)DYNASTY won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.