Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: DYNASTY vs FTS (BO3) - EPL Masters 2 Play-In Group A
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf8b75758932076f44962b6636fc5753570fddca41981daf1c47868db309c72fd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- DYNASTYof DYNASTY, FTS
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,143
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,997
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,143 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0996…485bbacked FTS | 1c | 6,090$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed FTS | 6c | 915.59$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.97 | 713 | 42.5%303 W · 410 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed FTS | 28c | 582.46$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.49 | 170 | 40.6%69 W · 101 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae27…6fb2backed FTS | 9c | 464.65$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 56 | 21.4%12 W · 44 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x233a…ae12backed FTS | 15c | 463.33$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed FTS | 7c | 439.89$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.9 | 691 | 32.6%225 W · 466 L | -26.8wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0944…358fbacked FTS | 9c | 424.07$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.77 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -62.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd2…b613backed DYNASTY | 73c | 410.96$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.96 | 45 | 77.8%35 W · 10 L | +4.1wins | +0.09per pick | 69cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5556…2759backed DYNASTY | 74c | 408.69$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.54 | 292 | 43.2%126 W · 166 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e4…3b32backed FTS | 18c | 398$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.9 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.14per pick | 31cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7355…824cbacked DYNASTY | 72c | 387.75$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.57 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb877…4601backed FTS | 21c | 383.5$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.89 | 414 | 55.6%230 W · 184 L | +41.4wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd957…acd3backed FTS | 26c | 309.27$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked FTS | 20c | 307.52$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.04 | 587 | 46.5%273 W · 314 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed FTS | 16c | 279.74$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.65 | 381 | 42%160 W · 221 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc754…4b1dbacked FTS | 26c | 268.91$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.92 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc7…4d38backed DYNASTY | 74c | 268.91$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.92 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d8b…a00dbacked FTS | 6c | 265.97$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.11 | 46 | 0%0 W · 46 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked FTS | 4c | 244.34$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 237 | 36.7%87 W · 150 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…70e3backed DYNASTY | 73c | 241.46$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.91 | 57 | 66.7%38 W · 19 L | +8.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x17cd…7423backed FTS | 27c | 233.33$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 119 | 47.1%56 W · 63 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed DYNASTY | 72c | 230.9$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.72 | 118 | 47.5%56 W · 62 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd3…226ebacked FTS | 15c | 218.31$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.97 | 213 | 28.2%60 W · 153 L | -16.0wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked FTS | 13c | 212.66$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.32 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked FTS | 20c | 209$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.45 | 440 | 49.3%217 W · 223 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdd…e70ebacked FTS | 24c | 208$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.92 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed FTS | 27c | 185.42$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.06 | 100 | 50%50 W · 50 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed FTS | 10c | 176.4$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.89 | 377 | 45.9%173 W · 204 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed FTS | 11c | 167.96$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.63 | 1,260 | 49.7%626 W · 634 L | +21.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2806…6de8backed FTS | 28c | 166.63$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.44 | 113 | 44.2%50 W · 63 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x597d…b97dbacked FTS | 30c | 164.5$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.35 | 207 | 38.6%80 W · 127 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked FTS | 13c | 158.3$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.84 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7eeb…b6bdbacked FTS | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.25 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd786…59b8backed DYNASTY | 70c | 124.08$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.12 | 68 | 51.5%35 W · 33 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked FTS | 20c | 121.11$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.29 | 569 | 45.2%257 W · 312 L | -18.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x736d…c635backed FTS | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 971 | 42.7%415 W · 556 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4bc…6c1bbacked DYNASTY | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d77…9b9dbacked FTS | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7ce…7bd5backed FTS | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed FTS | 19c | 94.12$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.96 | 589 | 43%253 W · 336 L | -25.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50b4…9428backed FTS | 27c | 92.59$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x333d…e8b7backed FTS | 26c | 80$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0396…86babacked FTS | 22c | 78.35$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked DYNASTY | 73c | 75$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.25 | 899 | 38%342 W · 557 L | -45.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed FTS | 17c | 70$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 108 | 33.3%36 W · 72 L | -13.4wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2133…7903backed FTS | 21c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 344 | 43.9%151 W · 193 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed DYNASTY | 74c | 48.48$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.55 | 122 | 52.5%64 W · 58 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2077…8161backed DYNASTY | 72c | 44.82$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.55 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74fa…c3e2backed DYNASTY | 71c | 21.76$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.31 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.24per pick | 51cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d4a…0a8abacked DYNASTY | 72c | 20.83$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.83 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a2…a9bfbacked DYNASTY | 73c | 19.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 194 | 55.7%108 W · 86 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked DYNASTY | 71c | 15.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.64 | 669 | 47.1%315 W · 354 L | -10.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: DYNASTY vs FTS (BO3) - EPL Masters 2 Play-In Group Athis page
- Dota 2: DYNASTY vs FTS - Game 1 WinnerDYNASTY won
- Dota 2: DYNASTY vs FTS - Game 2 WinnerDYNASTY won
- Game Handicap: DYNASTY (-1.5) vs FTS (+1.5)DYNASTY won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.