Tennis · resolved market
ITF W35 Trieste Women: Carolina Dibenedetto vs Maria Andrienko
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1d4d59fbff0e9e47acfc1a3999056240c3ead11c750a83a56508c40ba64f824e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Maria Andrienkoof Carolina Dibenedetto, Maria Andrienko
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,627
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,905
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,627 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Maria Andrienko | 59c | 2,687$1,580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,106.5 | 6,512 | 54.5%3,546 W · 2,966 L | +289.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Carolina Dibenedetto | 40c | 2,389$954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$954.5 | 11,666 | 43.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L | +22.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Maria Andrienko | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 1,723 | 50.1%863 W · 860 L | +29.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Carolina Dibenedetto | 32c | 455.35$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.34 | 1,314 | 39%512 W · 802 L | -23.2wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5513…de2abacked Carolina Dibenedetto | 22c | 418.68$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.35 | 792 | 38.3%303 W · 489 L | -15.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x940c…6f91backed Maria Andrienko | 60c | 416.67$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.67 | 96 | 57.3%55 W · 41 L | +8.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +61.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdf8c…e040backed Carolina Dibenedetto | 21c | 329.45$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.64 | 654 | 37.5%245 W · 409 L | -33.3wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Maria Andrienko | 72c | 301.93$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.61 | 7,968 | 50.7%4,038 W · 3,930 L | +92.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Carolina Dibenedetto | 51c | 266.08$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.91 | 1,008 | 57.7%582 W · 426 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5803…3f3fbacked Maria Andrienko | 66c | 258.69$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.44 | 991 | 48.6%482 W · 509 L | +43.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Maria Andrienko | 76c | 237.57$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.79 | 3,798 | 54.9%2,087 W · 1,711 L | +111.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Carolina Dibenedetto | 31c | 178.18$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.63 | 1,878 | 53.2%1,000 W · 878 L | +30.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c3…079fbacked Maria Andrienko | 76c | 172$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.41 | 900 | 64.3%579 W · 321 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e4…3b32backed Carolina Dibenedetto | 46c | 151.16$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.24 | 539 | 46.9%253 W · 286 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb524…0808backed Maria Andrienko | 74c | 149.99$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 163 | 55.8%91 W · 72 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…be26backed Carolina Dibenedetto | 22c | 139.04$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.59 | 710 | 45.4%322 W · 388 L | -13.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Maria Andrienko | 78c | 130.82$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.78 | 4,341 | 52.3%2,271 W · 2,070 L | +63.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf19…8869backed Carolina Dibenedetto | 43c | 111.44$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.59 | 130 | 36.9%48 W · 82 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Maria Andrienko | 58c | 109.98$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.19 | 1,456 | 45.1%656 W · 800 L | +42.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc611…cc2ebacked Carolina Dibenedetto | 26c | 106.96$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.81 | 104 | 52.9%55 W · 49 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Carolina Dibenedetto | 20c | 105$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 4,650 | 48.2%2,242 W · 2,408 L | +31.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d6…2dfdbacked Carolina Dibenedetto | 24c | 90.88$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.81 | 52 | 32.7%17 W · 35 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3443…64e9backed Maria Andrienko | 80c | 53$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.6 | 171 | 71.3%122 W · 49 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 74cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Carolina Dibenedetto | 24c | 48.88$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.73 | 236 | 40.7%96 W · 140 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf98d…384ebacked Carolina Dibenedetto | 56c | 40.45$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.65 | 69 | 52.2%36 W · 33 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc02…ce2abacked Maria Andrienko | 77c | 38.96$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.96 | 228 | 72.4%165 W · 63 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 74cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Carolina Dibenedetto | 36c | 38.7$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.81 | 6,574 | 46.2%3,037 W · 3,537 L | -45.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe37f…6635backed Maria Andrienko | 66c | 35.39$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.04 | 48 | 70.8%34 W · 14 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66ba…6b3cbacked Maria Andrienko | 78c | 32.6$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.13 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | -8.8wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x76d2…99a6backed Maria Andrienko | 60c | 28$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.2 | 40 | 67.5%27 W · 13 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97de…27d1backed Carolina Dibenedetto | 46c | 26.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.46 | 65 | 56.9%37 W · 28 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8526…72aabacked Maria Andrienko | 75c | 24.25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.06 | 782 | 48.3%378 W · 404 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7dde…30b1backed Maria Andrienko | 58c | 20.51$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.59 | 881 | 57.9%510 W · 371 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed Maria Andrienko | 58c | 20.04$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.38 | 471 | 48.2%227 W · 244 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aab…c4ddbacked Maria Andrienko | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb77…fbeebacked Maria Andrienko | 58c | 19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.01 | 256 | 52%133 W · 123 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.