Tennis · resolved market
ITF W15 Tianjin 3 Women: Meng Yi Chen vs Sijia Wei
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf971928d72b20bd6f8b4bc50df119f17124eb3572bd9241f371fe04ee95a795e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Meng Yi Chenof Meng Yi Chen, Sijia Wei
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,309
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,734
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,309 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe98c…8792backed Sijia Wei | 28c | 2,479$684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$683.53 | 304 | 40.5%123 W · 181 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Meng Yi Chen | 46c | 2,292$1,062 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,230.26 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5513…de2abacked Sijia Wei | 20c | 1,552$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.86 | 788 | 38.2%301 W · 487 L | -15.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Meng Yi Chen | 45c | 1,206$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666.03 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Sijia Wei | 56c | 1,087$611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$611.03 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd898…20e7backed Meng Yi Chen | 59c | 854.34$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.15 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Meng Yi Chen | 59c | 799.28$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.73 | 883 | 58.2%514 W · 369 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Sijia Wei | 66c | 766.65$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.38 | 3,677 | 54.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L | +107.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc308…7b09backed Sijia Wei | 51c | 710$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Meng Yi Chen | 54c | 692.85$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.8 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Meng Yi Chen | 70c | 644.09$452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.58 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Sijia Wei | 54c | 600$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.3 | 1,624 | 49.8%809 W · 815 L | -9.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Meng Yi Chen | 47c | 596.52$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.23 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Sijia Wei | 44c | 561$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.84 | 364 | 40.9%149 W · 215 L | -13.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Meng Yi Chen | 49c | 540.04$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.75 | 1,308 | 38.9%509 W · 799 L | -23.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Sijia Wei | 56c | 357.26$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,417 | 45.2%640 W · 777 L | +41.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Meng Yi Chen | 63c | 308$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.4 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9767…1a16backed Sijia Wei | 51c | 245.2$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 354 | 50.8%180 W · 174 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Meng Yi Chen | 46c | 202.74$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.91 | 1,710 | 53.7%918 W · 792 L | +30.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x293c…dcbabacked Sijia Wei | 60c | 200$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 360 | 53.1%191 W · 169 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Meng Yi Chen | 49c | 199.34$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.4 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5803…3f3fbacked Sijia Wei | 65c | 153.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.98 | 853 | 48.9%417 W · 436 L | +38.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a4a…3026backed Sijia Wei | 9c | 123.8$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 213 | 53.5%114 W · 99 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed Meng Yi Chen | 72c | 118.18$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.66 | 489 | 47.4%232 W · 257 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Meng Yi Chen | 60c | 111$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.97 | 1,822 | 41%747 W · 1,075 L | -30.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x882e…e0a1backed Meng Yi Chen | 43c | 107.56$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.9 | 113 | 37.2%42 W · 71 L | -11.6wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c1…dc25backed Meng Yi Chen | 47c | 103.6$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.09 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x061a…5a89backed Sijia Wei | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 521 | 57%297 W · 224 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68cf…e58cbacked Sijia Wei | 59c | 100$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 63 | 54%34 W · 29 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe37f…6635backed Sijia Wei | 52c | 97.44$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.59 | 43 | 72.1%31 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Sijia Wei | 55c | 97$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.35 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb29a…ae79backed Sijia Wei | 44c | 96.52$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40e9…494fbacked Meng Yi Chen | 41c | 62.72$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.17 | 447 | 29.3%131 W · 316 L | -10.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Meng Yi Chen | 51c | 55.14$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.23 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed Sijia Wei | 56c | 50.22$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.1 | 423 | 59.1%250 W · 173 L | +24.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x615b…9591backed Meng Yi Chen | 50c | 46$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c0b…c814backed Meng Yi Chen | 50c | 44.96$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.31 | 384 | 59.9%230 W · 154 L | +29.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfc02…ce2abacked Sijia Wei | 78c | 38.46$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 215 | 72.6%156 W · 59 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 73cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed Sijia Wei | 56c | 35.54$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 578 | 45.7%264 W · 314 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb77…fbeebacked Sijia Wei | 60c | 32$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.11 | 240 | 52.5%126 W · 114 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4cd…c041backed Meng Yi Chen | 73c | 30.53$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.15 | 165 | 61.2%101 W · 64 L | +11.0wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x73db…1507backed Sijia Wei | 59c | 25.44$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef1e…6e1fbacked Sijia Wei | 56c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.99 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3db7…375cbacked Sijia Wei | 52c | 22.2$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.54 | 159 | 31.4%50 W · 109 L | +15.3wins | +0.10per pick | 22cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb619…c501backed Sijia Wei | 78c | 20$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -21%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.