TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

WNBA · resolved market

Chicago Sky vs. Atlanta Dream

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Atlanta Dreamof Chicago Sky, Atlanta Dream
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$234,965
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$242,486

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $234,965 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 163 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in WNBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6820…1c19backed Chicago Sky19c26,861$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0003455.9%19 W · 15 L+3.8wins+0.11per pick45cpaid+15.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xef26…05babacked Chicago Sky3c22,908$765 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$764.7620%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf070…ac55backed Chicago Sky31c15,565$4,850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,849.8210749.5%53 W · 54 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed Chicago Sky0c10,714$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.719642.7%41 W · 55 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-20.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Chicago Sky18c7,502$1,356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,355.8636750.7%186 W · 181 L+15.2wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Atlanta Dream75c7,095$5,325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,770.3250952.5%267 W · 242 L+17.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+3.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Atlanta Dream75c6,920$5,201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,718.5823955.2%132 W · 107 L+12.1wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2203…84e6backed Chicago Sky12c6,470$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$749.9185.6%1 W · 17 L-2.7wins-0.15per pick20cpaid-77.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Chicago Sky11c4,990$569 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$568.5419428.9%56 W · 138 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-17.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Atlanta Dream62c3,038$1,891 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,146.550646.8%237 W · 269 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad46…e6a6backed Chicago Sky1c3,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3030%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8718…5040backed Chicago Sky33c3,000$988 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$988.281154.5%6 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid-19.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xacf8…e791backed Chicago Sky17c2,736$465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$465.064829.2%14 W · 34 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-21.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Atlanta Dream80c2,290$1,832 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$458.0246247%217 W · 245 L-0.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked Atlanta Dream69c1,839$1,276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$563.4415250.7%77 W · 75 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-11.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Atlanta Dream74c1,375$1,014 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$360.1916633.1%55 W · 111 L-10.1wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-39.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc2e7…91a2backed Chicago Sky1c1,193$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.9330%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed Chicago Sky11c1,186$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.333030%9 W · 21 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-31.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Chicago Sky21c1,146$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.81,76551.7%912 W · 853 L+53.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Chicago Sky30c1,134$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$336.2685158.4%497 W · 354 L+70.2wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+16.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Atlanta Dream61c1,068$653 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$415.5410858.3%63 W · 45 L+10.4wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+15.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9ec2…bd08backed Atlanta Dream65c1,061$685 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$376.1314942.3%63 W · 86 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Atlanta Dream74c1,039$768 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271.4219031.1%59 W · 131 L-14.2wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-43.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Atlanta Dream65c1,033$676 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$357.0715346.4%71 W · 82 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-10.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c4d…a427backed Chicago Sky15c1,020$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.861258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked Atlanta Dream73c1,011$737 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$274.4310634.9%37 W · 69 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-30.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Chicago Sky3c1,004$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.2325246%116 W · 136 L+8.0wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf874…def4backed Chicago Sky20c1,003$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002832.1%9 W · 19 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-15%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8840…f51abacked Chicago Sky2c1,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2040%0 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0373…4057backed Chicago Sky20c998.97$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.798733.3%29 W · 58 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Chicago Sky31c998.17$309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308.5834726.5%92 W · 255 L-20.7wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-39.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Atlanta Dream71c973.12$693 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280.271,61150.2%809 W · 802 L+37.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ed1…caa2backed Atlanta Dream52c961.7$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$461.71838.9%7 W · 11 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Chicago Sky19c861.04$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.224347.7%116 W · 127 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc33d…0d40backed Atlanta Dream74c675$501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.457050%35 W · 35 L+5.8wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+3.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5fe6…a99fbacked Chicago Sky10c641.23$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65908.9%8 W · 82 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick12cpaid-54%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Atlanta Dream61c626.38$383 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.661353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a21…4aa9backed Chicago Sky17c588.24$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001625%4 W · 12 L-1.5wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-14.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Chicago Sky16c575.78$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.5589349.4%441 W · 452 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x999a…9a25backed Atlanta Dream75c564.61$425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.9310538.1%40 W · 65 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-31.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x29d9…724ebacked Chicago Sky18c560$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.81421.4%3 W · 11 L-1.7wins-0.12per pick34cpaid-47.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8791…4c9abacked Chicago Sky18c555.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.36per pick31cpaid+101.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa9be…08bebacked Chicago Sky18c555.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.12per pick34cpaid-44.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xabe0…5adbbacked Chicago Sky17c552.09$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.858061.3%49 W · 31 L+4.9wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+13.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Atlanta Dream68c487.63$331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.0237650.3%189 W · 187 L+8.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-12.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x40f7…1f5ebacked Chicago Sky17c445.26$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.694020%8 W · 32 L-10.5wins-0.26per pick46cpaid-63.2%equal weight32-0.16 edge/pick
0x0f76…dcc9backed Chicago Sky33c412.12$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.5811841.5%49 W · 69 L+0.6wins0.00per pick41cpaid-18.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa0dc…586cbacked Chicago Sky49c408.62$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.336237.1%23 W · 39 L-4.4wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-19.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed Atlanta Dream78c401.08$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.5717656.8%100 W · 76 L+12.1wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0d9a…d10fbacked Chicago Sky13c400$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$521330.8%4 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-30.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xd72d…0dbbbacked Chicago Sky18c390$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.22123.8%5 W · 16 L-2.4wins-0.12per pick35cpaid-42.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked Atlanta Dream69c386.52$266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.5915741.4%65 W · 92 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-14.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Chicago Sky23c377.25$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.0334753.9%187 W · 160 L+20.0wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xec69…6fbabacked Chicago Sky22c349.85$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.8913844.9%62 W · 76 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-9.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc1d7…47a4backed Chicago Sky37c324.49$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1209549.5%47 W · 48 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd5a6…6991backed Chicago Sky24c321.87$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.595633.9%19 W · 37 L+4.3wins+0.08per pick26cpaid+14.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb94c…ae33backed Chicago Sky35c306.42$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.0310%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d09…7fd6backed Chicago Sky17c294.65$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.0930%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Chicago Sky10c282.23$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.5715048%72 W · 78 L-0.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-12.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x34ab…4103backed Atlanta Dream66c276.62$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.89250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick73cpaid-24.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Atlanta Dream77c275.76$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.4661042.5%259 W · 351 L-31.0wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-16.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Chicago Sky7c271.8$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.8641147%193 W · 218 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-11.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x38fa…87b5backed Chicago Sky18c271.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.956643.9%29 W · 37 L+5.6wins+0.08per pick36cpaid+23.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2561…ce3ebacked Chicago Sky20c246.31$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503056.7%17 W · 13 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x67a1…1c91backed Atlanta Dream65c230.76$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.77666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8ba4…f918backed Chicago Sky13c230.76$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301533.3%5 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick28cpaid-27.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe564…221abacked Chicago Sky18c222.3$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3920%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Chicago Sky15c221.93$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.7431847.8%152 W · 166 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-16.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5cb5…7ce9backed Atlanta Dream80c219.77$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.95742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.16per pick59cpaid-40.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Chicago Sky18c210$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.832346.7%151 W · 172 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc806…57c6backed Chicago Sky13c200$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262326.1%6 W · 17 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-41.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xad2b…2a8ebacked Chicago Sky13c200$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261030%3 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-44.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7049…85a5backed Chicago Sky13c200$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262842.9%12 W · 16 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick38cpaid-7.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x56fb…3a1bbacked Atlanta Dream77c187.54$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.272763%17 W · 10 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed Chicago Sky28c186$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.35616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.26per pick43cpaid-66%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4bb5…1d5bbacked Chicago Sky26c183.55$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.672846.4%13 W · 15 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick40cpaid+0.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x00e8…0039backed Chicago Sky11c181.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick16cpaid-46.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe371…466abacked Chicago Sky29c175.67$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.511080%8 W · 2 L+2.7wins+0.27per pick53cpaid+43.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Atlanta Dream72c174.67$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.4537850%189 W · 189 L+9.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Atlanta Dream51c174$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.2631043.2%134 W · 176 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-10.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x63df…63d1backed Chicago Sky17c172.2$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307638.2%29 W · 47 L+8.2wins+0.11per pick27cpaid+35.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8afa…28f0backed Atlanta Dream64c171.43$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.2318850%94 W · 94 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Atlanta Dream67c169.95$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.2424852.4%130 W · 118 L+10.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9ac1…d5a6backed Chicago Sky29c169.67$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.428657%49 W · 37 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0fde…0258backed Atlanta Dream64c163.27$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.2724546.9%115 W · 130 L+1.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2cfe…e4debacked Chicago Sky15c162$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.72120%0 W · 12 L-1.2wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0b8d…44b1backed Chicago Sky19c157.89$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010237.3%38 W · 64 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-12.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Chicago Sky30c157.84$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.1232150.2%161 W · 160 L+7.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0811…1870backed Chicago Sky19c155.61$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+13.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Chicago Sky16c155.6$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.95831%18 W · 40 L-7.5wins-0.13per pick44cpaid-30.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Atlanta Dream79c153.12$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.162568%17 W · 8 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick63cpaid-9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed Chicago Sky38c152$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.279146.2%42 W · 49 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x288d…053abacked Chicago Sky13c149.25$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201650%8 W · 8 L+1.7wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x215b…5906backed Chicago Sky16c149.07$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.5620%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa42f…5f5abacked Atlanta Dream70c147.27$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.286339.7%25 W · 38 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6701…d7d2backed Atlanta Dream75c141$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.937360.3%44 W · 29 L+4.9wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+4.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6fc5…d36ebacked Atlanta Dream59c138.73$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.661100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf39d…aa9dbacked Chicago Sky31c129.61$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401816.7%3 W · 15 L-1.9wins-0.11per pick27cpaid-12.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7d5e…7e92backed Chicago Sky31c127.2$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x47c9…2038backed Chicago Sky30c122.11$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.0622440.2%90 W · 134 L-5.7wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-10.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.