WNBA · resolved market
Spread: Atlanta Dream (-10.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xacb5e02da7c211b10f69209143ba21d59f2b9e79eb477c36cb1ca5d5780a206b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Chicago Skyof Atlanta Dream, Chicago Sky
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,017
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,152
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,017 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked Chicago Sky | 54c | 3,751$2,042 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,708.56 | 103 | 38.8%40 W · 63 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Atlanta Dream | 54c | 1,487$804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$804.01 | 179 | 46.4%83 W · 96 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Atlanta Dream | 46c | 1,118$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.47 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7353…4b0dbacked Atlanta Dream | 56c | 900$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5966…af5dbacked Chicago Sky | 45c | 777$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.35 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Chicago Sky | 44c | 651.8$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.01 | 893 | 49.4%441 W · 452 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Atlanta Dream | 51c | 623.46$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.59 | 837 | 48.1%403 W · 434 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Chicago Sky | 51c | 591.4$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.54 | 327 | 50.2%164 W · 163 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Atlanta Dream | 56c | 461.84$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.63 | 327 | 43.7%143 W · 184 L | -23.7wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Atlanta Dream | 45c | 436.27$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.32 | 143 | 45.5%65 W · 78 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Atlanta Dream | 46c | 256$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.48 | 922 | 48.8%450 W · 472 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Atlanta Dream | 56c | 221$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.76 | 367 | 50.7%186 W · 181 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed Chicago Sky | 59c | 220.37$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.02 | 123 | 55.3%68 W · 55 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51da…a701backed Atlanta Dream | 56c | 216.43$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.2 | 161 | 53.4%86 W · 75 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Atlanta Dream | 52c | 211.54$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 712 | 45.4%323 W · 389 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Chicago Sky | 52c | 210$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.8 | 323 | 46.7%151 W · 172 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…86d3backed Chicago Sky | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 76 | 43.4%33 W · 43 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Atlanta Dream | 54c | 196.11$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.9 | 344 | 48%165 W · 179 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Atlanta Dream | 46c | 138$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.48 | 307 | 34.2%105 W · 202 L | -28.2wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Chicago Sky | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 399 | 47.1%188 W · 211 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Atlanta Dream | 49c | 98$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.88 | 211 | 50.2%106 W · 105 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Chicago Sky | 47c | 92.71$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.14 | 615 | 47%289 W · 326 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Chicago Sky | 45c | 80$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 329 | 48.6%160 W · 169 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f17…7d37backed Atlanta Dream | 34c | 72.51$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Chicago Sky | 48c | 55.24$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.76 | 284 | 47.9%136 W · 148 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x997c…51f3backed Atlanta Dream | 43c | 54.96$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.59 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -4.8wins | -0.32per pick | 45cpaid | -80.6%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Chicago Sky | 54c | 50.15$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.18 | 347 | 53.9%187 W · 160 L | +20.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe99…506bbacked Chicago Sky | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -6.0wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Atlanta Dream | 48c | 38.13$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.21 | 995 | 48.1%479 W · 516 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58ac…7636backed Atlanta Dream | 54c | 37.81$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.42 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f97…6aafbacked Chicago Sky | 45c | 35.56$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.56 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Atlanta Dream | 52c | 35.04$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.22 | 224 | 46%103 W · 121 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Atlanta Dream | 55c | 34.62$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.04 | 641 | 52%333 W · 308 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Chicago Sky | 65c | 34.51$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.08 | 387 | 44.7%173 W · 214 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc547…c570backed Atlanta Dream | 49c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 131 | 38.9%51 W · 80 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa81…aaf7backed Chicago Sky | 49c | 24.48$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.48 | 52 | 36.5%19 W · 33 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8987…02f3backed Atlanta Dream | 56c | 23.79$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.32 | 76 | 55.3%42 W · 34 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf8c…8f2bbacked Chicago Sky | 52c | 23.09$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.98 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…83adbacked Chicago Sky | 53c | 22.85$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.74 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +5.0wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4c34…b7adbacked Chicago Sky | 55c | 21.82$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.82 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Chicago Sky | 56c | 19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.28 | 506 | 46.8%237 W · 269 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Atlanta Dream (-10.5)this page
- Chicago Sky vs. Atlanta DreamAtlanta Dream won
- Chicago Sky vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 178.5Over won
- Chicago Sky vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 179.5Over won
- Chicago Sky vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 180.5Over won
- Spread: Atlanta Dream (-11.5)Chicago Sky won
- Spread: Atlanta Dream (-12.5)Chicago Sky won
- Spread: Atlanta Dream (-9.5)Chicago Sky won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.