WNBA · resolved market
Chicago Sky vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 180.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5921a5c63f2f8cec3ae1395eb805119ef99b1c9f4b22fbe01252f028aa5cb37d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,770
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,436
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,770 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Under | 54c | 3,482$1,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,879.96 | 96 | 51%49 W · 47 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Over | 48c | 2,716$1,308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,408.42 | 143 | 46.2%66 W · 77 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc15f…5cccbacked Under | 55c | 1,772$974 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$974.44 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x270c…f66fbacked Under | 1c | 1,481$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.81 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 54c | 1,469$793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$793.35 | 893 | 49.4%441 W · 452 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 48c | 1,313$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$682.96 | 995 | 48.1%479 W · 516 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a70…76b5backed Under | 50c | 899.97$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.99 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | -6.6wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -24%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Under | 52c | 888$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.27 | 176 | 56.8%100 W · 76 L | +12.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 51c | 656.91$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.51 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Over | 51c | 600$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.15 | 367 | 50.7%186 W · 181 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Over | 46c | 500.2$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.11 | 344 | 48%165 W · 179 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Under | 5c | 466.45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.52 | 108 | 58.3%63 W · 45 L | +10.4wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Over | 48c | 445.77$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.9 | 327 | 43.7%143 W · 184 L | -23.7wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Over | 46c | 388$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.52 | 310 | 43.2%134 W · 176 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecdb…c4c7backed Over | 49c | 284.92$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.83 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e11…644abacked Under | 78c | 280$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.54 | 59 | 67.8%40 W · 19 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 73cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Under | 51c | 260.98$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.49 | 224 | 46%103 W · 121 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 46c | 256$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.24 | 922 | 48.8%450 W · 472 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Over | 48c | 250$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.7 | 327 | 50.2%164 W · 163 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7651…3c11backed Over | 46c | 247.83$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.83 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 46c | 234$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.36 | 179 | 46.9%84 W · 95 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Over | 46c | 216.47$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.9 | 194 | 46.4%90 W · 104 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 52c | 211.55$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.01 | 712 | 45.4%323 W · 389 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c26…d474backed Over | 49c | 203.4$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.4 | 128 | 46.1%59 W · 69 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 47c | 202.18$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.4 | 837 | 48.1%403 W · 434 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Under | 27c | 202$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.84 | 157 | 41.4%65 W · 92 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Over | 53c | 190$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.3 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 48c | 162.82$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.6 | 262 | 47.7%125 W · 137 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 51c | 156.85$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.77 | 376 | 50.3%189 W · 187 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dde…30b1backed Over | 49c | 140.78$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.8 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 51c | 140.45$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.56 | 552 | 55.1%304 W · 248 L | +25.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Over | 46c | 140$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.6 | 323 | 46.7%151 W · 172 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Over | 46c | 138$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.52 | 307 | 34.2%105 W · 202 L | -28.2wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Under | 19c | 129$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.96 | 314 | 48.4%152 W · 162 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Over | 46c | 124$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.96 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6707…d4d8backed Under | 53c | 112.26$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.5 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | -7.5wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Over | 46c | 109.27$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.05 | 284 | 47.9%136 W · 148 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Over | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 399 | 47.1%188 W · 211 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf452…4d43backed Under | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 68 | 61.8%42 W · 26 L | +6.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x23b5…97e1backed Over | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Over | 47c | 95.21$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.46 | 329 | 48.6%160 W · 169 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Under | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 230 | 49.6%114 W · 116 L | -13.8wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5022…2b5dbacked Over | 47c | 94.34$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 53c | 90.41$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.21 | 509 | 52.5%267 W · 242 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02f0…9bb3backed Over | 73c | 84.47$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.81 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Under | 28c | 84$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.63 | 364 | 54.1%197 W · 167 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Under | 53c | 78.83$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.78 | 61 | 37.7%23 W · 38 L | -8.2wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed Over | 48c | 68$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.36 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Under | 37c | 61$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.52 | 306 | 49%150 W · 156 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Over | 52c | 60.62$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.1 | 104 | 53.8%56 W · 48 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f46…85c0backed Under | 50c | 54$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -3.9wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Under | 59c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.52 | 506 | 46.8%237 W · 269 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 43c | 45.1$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.51 | 347 | 53.9%187 W · 160 L | +20.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Under | 54c | 41.83$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.59 | 426 | 49.3%210 W · 216 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe99…506bbacked Over | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -6.0wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaf6c…b9cfbacked Over | 49c | 39.99$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.59 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.32per pick | 52cpaid | +65.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x11fc…8ccfbacked Under | 77c | 38.87$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb595…5922backed Over | 60c | 32$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.8 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +58.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Over | 50c | 31.04$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.53 | 610 | 42.5%259 W · 351 L | -31.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…83adbacked Over | 50c | 29.88$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +5.0wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…00d5backed Over | 50c | 28.46$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.23 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf8c…8f2bbacked Over | 50c | 28.46$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.23 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf422…6aa5backed Over | 50c | 28.46$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.23 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Under | 47c | 26.56$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.52 | 387 | 44.7%173 W · 214 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Under | 53c | 26.34$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.96 | 179 | 46.4%83 W · 96 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Over | 50c | 24.48$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.24 | 224 | 40.2%90 W · 134 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Chicago Sky vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 180.5this page
- Chicago Sky vs. Atlanta DreamAtlanta Dream won
- Chicago Sky vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 178.5Over won
- Chicago Sky vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 179.5Over won
- Spread: Atlanta Dream (-10.5)Chicago Sky won
- Spread: Atlanta Dream (-11.5)Chicago Sky won
- Spread: Atlanta Dream (-12.5)Chicago Sky won
- Spread: Atlanta Dream (-9.5)Chicago Sky won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.