WNBA · resolved market
Spread: Atlanta Dream (-11.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbb2f74661693a6c1778149df0c1ed5311354b92f914db75992703d072b37b61e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Chicago Skyof Atlanta Dream, Chicago Sky
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $49,737
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $50,141
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $49,737 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6820…1c19backed Chicago Sky | 49c | 30,684$15,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,683.53 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Atlanta Dream | 51c | 7,500$3,825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,825 | 57 | 59.6%34 W · 23 L | +7.1wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Atlanta Dream | 50c | 7,321$3,660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,660.15 | 1,787 | 51.7%924 W · 863 L | +54.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1316…48a4backed Atlanta Dream | 55c | 6,274$3,428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,427.72 | 137 | 46%63 W · 74 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Atlanta Dream | 53c | 5,643$2,990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,989.93 | 179 | 46.4%83 W · 96 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Atlanta Dream | 50c | 4,896$2,467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,466.8 | 859 | 48.4%416 W · 443 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Atlanta Dream | 50c | 4,211$2,119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,118.58 | 796 | 48.7%388 W · 408 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…32c2backed Chicago Sky | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 80 | 51.3%41 W · 39 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Atlanta Dream | 46c | 3,115$1,434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,434.19 | 1,012 | 47.9%485 W · 527 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Chicago Sky | 54c | 2,110$1,139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$971.52 | 564 | 55.1%311 W · 253 L | +27.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Atlanta Dream | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,060 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Chicago Sky | 49c | 1,500$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$765 | 140 | 60%84 W · 56 L | +13.7wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked Atlanta Dream | 52c | 1,150$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$595 | 98 | 51%50 W · 48 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Chicago Sky | 54c | 926.01$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.95 | 511 | 47.2%241 W · 270 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Atlanta Dream | 52c | 909.54$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.13 | 327 | 43.7%143 W · 184 L | -23.7wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Atlanta Dream | 50c | 620.84$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.42 | 472 | 46.8%221 W · 251 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71bc…7fe4backed Chicago Sky | 52c | 576.14$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.14 | 149 | 48.3%72 W · 77 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Chicago Sky | 46c | 299.43$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.31 | 904 | 49.4%447 W · 457 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Atlanta Dream | 53c | 297.79$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.86 | 344 | 48%165 W · 179 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Chicago Sky | 48c | 276$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.9 | 307 | 34.2%105 W · 202 L | -28.2wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Atlanta Dream | 50c | 256$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.72 | 932 | 48.8%455 W · 477 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Chicago Sky | 50c | 242$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121 | 113 | 57.5%65 W · 48 L | +8.3wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Atlanta Dream | 50c | 220.02$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.01 | 712 | 45.4%323 W · 389 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…86d3backed Chicago Sky | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 76 | 43.4%33 W · 43 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Chicago Sky | 50c | 198.76$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.79 | 328 | 50.3%165 W · 163 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe247…edf1backed Atlanta Dream | 54c | 185.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa61…7f3bbacked Atlanta Dream | 52c | 170$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.4 | 287 | 58.5%168 W · 119 L | +20.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Atlanta Dream | 54c | 158$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.32 | 164 | 50%82 W · 82 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Atlanta Dream | 49c | 130.33$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.86 | 59 | 30.5%18 W · 41 L | -8.0wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfb8b…da36backed Chicago Sky | 53c | 115.64$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.35 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Chicago Sky | 46c | 104$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.16 | 394 | 50.5%199 W · 195 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Atlanta Dream | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 276 | 49.6%137 W · 139 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73d6…09edbacked Atlanta Dream | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Chicago Sky | 48c | 80.73$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.98 | 332 | 48.8%162 W · 170 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ff…8a60backed Atlanta Dream | 45c | 75$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.75 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +3.5wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x997c…51f3backed Atlanta Dream | 37c | 60$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -4.8wins | -0.32per pick | 45cpaid | -80.6%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5d7a…ebe3backed Chicago Sky | 47c | 55.17$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.33 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -22%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Chicago Sky | 67c | 47.5$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.45 | 196 | 50.5%99 W · 97 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x237f…e76ebacked Chicago Sky | 48c | 43.48$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.62 | 89 | 39.3%35 W · 54 L | -8.0wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3637…21a4backed Chicago Sky | 49c | 43$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.93 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x193a…2dfabacked Chicago Sky | 48c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.14per pick | 59cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde36…f41cbacked Atlanta Dream | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaedd…ad5bbacked Atlanta Dream | 51c | 36.58$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.66 | 50 | 62%31 W · 19 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Chicago Sky | 56c | 35.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.76 | 204 | 40.7%83 W · 121 L | -16.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Atlanta Dream | 44c | 29.57$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.01 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Atlanta Dream | 50c | 23.47$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.74 | 144 | 45.1%65 W · 79 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf8c…8f2bbacked Chicago Sky | 54c | 21.11$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.71 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3563…a0a2backed Chicago Sky | 56c | 20.87$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.11 | 192 | 45.8%88 W · 104 L | -12.0wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x56cc…d589backed Atlanta Dream | 52c | 19.65$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.13 | 147 | 51%75 W · 72 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Atlanta Dream (-11.5)this page
- Chicago Sky vs. Atlanta DreamAtlanta Dream won
- Chicago Sky vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 178.5Over won
- Chicago Sky vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 179.5Over won
- Chicago Sky vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 180.5Over won
- Spread: Atlanta Dream (-10.5)Chicago Sky won
- Spread: Atlanta Dream (-12.5)Chicago Sky won
- Spread: Atlanta Dream (-9.5)Chicago Sky won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.