WNBA · resolved market
Spread: Atlanta Dream (-12.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9d0a680d2ecf15b918762fc2538c19d54f7d329959dd33066081dd69518595f1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Chicago Skyof Atlanta Dream, Chicago Sky
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,662
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,720
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,662 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x684b…8409backed Chicago Sky | 51c | 26,520$13,525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,995.02 | 92 | 45.7%42 W · 50 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1065…6218backed Atlanta Dream | 49c | 10,266$5,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,030.22 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03c5…5f61backed Atlanta Dream | 49c | 4,821$2,362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,362.29 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x379a…5122backed Atlanta Dream | 49c | 4,592$2,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,250 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -4.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x54ce…9f80backed Atlanta Dream | 49c | 4,091$2,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,004.59 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Atlanta Dream | 51c | 3,039$1,538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,538.34 | 143 | 46.2%66 W · 77 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Atlanta Dream | 48c | 1,928$926 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$925.56 | 179 | 46.4%83 W · 96 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73e8…cd6fbacked Chicago Sky | 52c | 1,909$993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$916.33 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Chicago Sky | 50c | 1,413$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$713.43 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1748…a816backed Atlanta Dream | 49c | 816.33$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Chicago Sky | 51c | 588.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.24 | 194 | 46.4%90 W · 104 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a48…e3a8backed Atlanta Dream | 49c | 586$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Atlanta Dream | 49c | 500.22$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.11 | 344 | 48%165 W · 179 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Chicago Sky | 52c | 390.75$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.72 | 411 | 47%193 W · 218 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Atlanta Dream | 49c | 250$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122 | 995 | 48.1%479 W · 516 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Chicago Sky | 42c | 216.07$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.41 | 261 | 47.1%123 W · 138 L | +15.7wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Atlanta Dream | 49c | 189.12$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.77 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Chicago Sky | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.1 | 314 | 48.4%152 W · 162 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Chicago Sky | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 364 | 54.1%197 W · 167 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbbb4…0060backed Chicago Sky | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -4.6wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x997c…51f3backed Atlanta Dream | 39c | 99.99$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.08 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -4.8wins | -0.32per pick | 45cpaid | -80.6%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Chicago Sky | 51c | 85$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.65 | 306 | 49%150 W · 156 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Atlanta Dream | 59c | 79.83$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.28 | 509 | 52.5%267 W · 242 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Atlanta Dream | 25c | 53.28$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.32 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Atlanta Dream | 49c | 50.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.98 | 426 | 49.3%210 W · 216 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Chicago Sky | 64c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.95 | 239 | 55.2%132 W · 107 L | +12.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe99…506bbacked Atlanta Dream | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -6.0wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc547…c570backed Atlanta Dream | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 131 | 38.9%51 W · 80 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Atlanta Dream | 66c | 20.26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.33 | 156 | 54.5%85 W · 71 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74f9…6024backed Chicago Sky | 64c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Atlanta Dream (-12.5)this page
- Chicago Sky vs. Atlanta DreamAtlanta Dream won
- Chicago Sky vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 178.5Over won
- Chicago Sky vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 179.5Over won
- Chicago Sky vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 180.5Over won
- Spread: Atlanta Dream (-10.5)Chicago Sky won
- Spread: Atlanta Dream (-11.5)Chicago Sky won
- Spread: Atlanta Dream (-9.5)Chicago Sky won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.