WNBA · resolved market
Chicago Sky vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 178.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5cf6b47e0952b6eeef150af3a16c245e9c36e261c82c985bd131e07c0dba8f54
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,085
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,335
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,085 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xafe4…f3f7backed Over | 55c | 1,835$1,009 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$825.9 | 274 | 49.6%136 W · 138 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Under | 49c | 1,482$721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720.87 | 179 | 46.4%83 W · 96 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 46c | 1,087$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.16 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Under | 47c | 835.27$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.58 | 785 | 48.8%383 W · 402 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Under | 42c | 537.38$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.37 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Over | 53c | 493.96$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.16 | 327 | 43.7%143 W · 184 L | -23.7wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 47c | 437.5$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.15 | 837 | 48.1%403 W · 434 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 62c | 286.67$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.01 | 893 | 49.4%441 W · 452 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…f012backed Under | 47c | 280.4$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.79 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a1…a119backed Over | 51c | 274.51$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.51 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 48c | 229.18$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.01 | 712 | 45.4%323 W · 389 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Under | 48c | 183.7$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.9 | 224 | 46%103 W · 121 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd60…396cbacked Under | 45c | 181.82$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.82 | 76 | 38.2%29 W · 47 L | -7.7wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -22%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4b34…2081backed Over | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +48.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb6…d647backed Over | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32e0…a295backed Over | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 100 | 59%59 W · 41 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 54c | 141.05$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.87 | 641 | 52%333 W · 308 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Over | 52c | 140.01$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.2 | 323 | 46.7%151 W · 172 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Over | 53c | 140$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.8 | 270 | 49.6%134 W · 136 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 52c | 133.31$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.9 | 237 | 46.4%110 W · 127 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Under | 47c | 113.54$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.93 | 284 | 47.9%136 W · 148 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Over | 38c | 113.29$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.24 | 188 | 50%94 W · 94 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Under | 45c | 112$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Over | 55c | 112$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.4 | 367 | 50.7%186 W · 181 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Over | 38c | 106.63$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.63 | 245 | 46.9%115 W · 130 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Under | 46c | 101.2$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.55 | 386 | 45.9%177 W · 209 L | -15.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 63c | 100.15$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.61 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d18…2365backed Over | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 84 | 42.9%36 W · 48 L | -10.7wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3c…9320backed Over | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 81 | 54.3%44 W · 37 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x428d…8cb6backed Over | 52c | 93.82$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.46 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x488c…a2dabacked Over | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 57cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Under | 46c | 72.57$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.38 | 344 | 48%165 W · 179 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 56c | 62.81$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.2 | 749 | 42.3%317 W · 432 L | -21.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecdb…c4c7backed Under | 48c | 62.03$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.47 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 54c | 36.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.44 | 262 | 47.7%125 W · 137 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0565…14d9backed Over | 67c | 35.57$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.57 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +62.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed Under | 46c | 34.56$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 260 | 54.6%142 W · 118 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffcb…d630backed Over | 55c | 32.16$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.47 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Over | 36c | 32.03$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 224 | 40.2%90 W · 134 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 47c | 30.07$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.13 | 179 | 46.9%84 W · 95 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Under | 48c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 171 | 43.9%75 W · 96 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ae…5310backed Over | 52c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.55 | 98 | 51%50 W · 48 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d10…b3d0backed Under | 53c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.25 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb1d2…c938backed Over | 55c | 21.51$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.68 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf6c…b9cfbacked Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.32per pick | 52cpaid | +65.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 67c | 15.31$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 246 | 56.5%139 W · 107 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Chicago Sky vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 178.5this page
- Chicago Sky vs. Atlanta DreamAtlanta Dream won
- Chicago Sky vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 179.5Over won
- Chicago Sky vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 180.5Over won
- Spread: Atlanta Dream (-10.5)Chicago Sky won
- Spread: Atlanta Dream (-11.5)Chicago Sky won
- Spread: Atlanta Dream (-12.5)Chicago Sky won
- Spread: Atlanta Dream (-9.5)Chicago Sky won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.