WNBA · resolved market
Chicago Sky vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 179.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8bbc62662f33b853fe4017b162f34a2a693cbe6eaeca6a9c2f4514fb61960499
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,870
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,939
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,870 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1d2e…896dbacked Over | 50c | 12,284$6,199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,085.02 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Under | 50c | 6,236$3,108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,107.79 | 785 | 48.8%383 W · 402 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d2b…32f3backed Under | 55c | 3,677$2,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,010 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 49c | 2,448$1,208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,207.66 | 893 | 49.4%441 W · 452 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafe4…f3f7backed Over | 51c | 2,105$1,074 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,031.61 | 274 | 49.6%136 W · 138 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 48c | 1,753$849 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$904.08 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24d4…4e1dbacked Under | 52c | 1,346$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 90 | 47.8%43 W · 47 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 49c | 1,313$643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$643.37 | 411 | 45.7%188 W · 223 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Under | 51c | 1,014$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517.14 | 111 | 56.8%63 W · 48 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b0…cfa1backed Under | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +54.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 16c | 928$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780.43 | 552 | 55.1%304 W · 248 L | +25.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc306…accdbacked Over | 51c | 756.12$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.5 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71bc…7fe4backed Under | 51c | 588.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 149 | 48.3%72 W · 77 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Over | 50c | 531.4$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.7 | 327 | 43.7%143 W · 184 L | -23.7wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 49c | 400.32$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.09 | 641 | 52%333 W · 308 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 18c | 327.5$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.55 | 378 | 50%189 W · 189 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Under | 56c | 308.01$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.76 | 506 | 46.8%237 W · 269 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Under | 49c | 306.12$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 61 | 37.7%23 W · 38 L | -8.2wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Over | 44c | 299$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.44 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Under | 52c | 280$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.67 | 284 | 47.9%136 W · 148 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 46c | 256$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.24 | 922 | 48.8%450 W · 472 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Over | 49c | 250$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.5 | 327 | 50.2%164 W · 163 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c1b…85c8backed Under | 51c | 204$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.04 | 154 | 51.9%80 W · 74 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 28c | 201.53$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.1 | 749 | 42.3%317 W · 432 L | -21.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1d2…c938backed Over | 51c | 151.86$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.41 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Under | 49c | 142.29$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.36 | 131 | 47.3%62 W · 69 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Over | 49c | 140$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.4 | 323 | 46.7%151 W · 172 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Over | 47c | 138$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.14 | 307 | 34.2%105 W · 202 L | -28.2wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x17d7…9e1ebacked Over | 18c | 136.44$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.9 | 126 | 50.8%64 W · 62 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Under | 51c | 134$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.7 | 179 | 46.4%83 W · 96 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa61…7f3bbacked Under | 50c | 125$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.15 | 285 | 58.6%167 W · 118 L | +20.0wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Under | 49c | 118$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.82 | 164 | 50%82 W · 82 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 47c | 111.07$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.06 | 262 | 47.7%125 W · 137 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Under | 51c | 109.12$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.65 | 386 | 45.9%177 W · 209 L | -15.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e14…fcd1backed Over | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.22per pick | 51cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Over | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 399 | 47.1%188 W · 211 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Under | 50c | 96.75$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.38 | 224 | 46%103 W · 121 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Under | 50c | 96.09$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.05 | 426 | 49.3%210 W · 216 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed Under | 50c | 85.36$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.9 | 260 | 54.6%142 W · 118 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ed7…aae7backed Over | 51c | 78.43$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.43 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 49c | 78.14$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.93 | 837 | 48.1%403 W · 434 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f1…23eebacked Over | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Over | 28c | 42.46$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.57 | 224 | 40.2%90 W · 134 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe99…506bbacked Over | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -6.0wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x193b…f6ecbacked Over | 52c | 28.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.57 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2077…8161backed Over | 51c | 27.45$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.45 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa81…aaf7backed Over | 48c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 52 | 36.5%19 W · 33 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xecdb…c4c7backed Over | 51c | 24.36$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.99 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff18…d073backed Under | 68c | 23.16$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.71 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dae…7199backed Under | 50c | 22.78$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.39 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3563…a0a2backed Under | 60c | 19.48$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.78 | 192 | 45.8%88 W · 104 L | -12.0wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…2941backed Under | 68c | 19.36$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Chicago Sky vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 179.5this page
- Chicago Sky vs. Atlanta DreamAtlanta Dream won
- Chicago Sky vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 178.5Over won
- Chicago Sky vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 180.5Over won
- Spread: Atlanta Dream (-10.5)Chicago Sky won
- Spread: Atlanta Dream (-11.5)Chicago Sky won
- Spread: Atlanta Dream (-12.5)Chicago Sky won
- Spread: Atlanta Dream (-9.5)Chicago Sky won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.