TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: magic vs Gentle Mates - Map 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
magicof magic, Gentle Mates
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$77,817
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$90,960

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $77,817 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xddc3…029cbacked magic48c4,830$2,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,510.0592456.8%525 W · 399 L+2.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ebc…a33dbacked Gentle Mates50c3,998$1,985 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,984.9163157.1%360 W · 271 L+40.1wins+0.06per pick51cpaid-7.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4411…985ebacked Gentle Mates51c2,255$1,158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,157.8738454.2%208 W · 176 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed Gentle Mates44c2,250$987 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$986.654,22849.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L+59.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe8a…23cebacked Gentle Mates56c2,222$1,252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,252.112,21447.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L-5.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-14.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f0b…f901backed magic40c2,194$868 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,325.9335953.2%191 W · 168 L+14.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x30c7…ac3bbacked Gentle Mates44c1,839$809 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$808.9975652.6%398 W · 358 L+27.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x19ae…395cbacked magic41c1,717$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,017.4124038.3%92 W · 148 L-9.6wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-11.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked Gentle Mates49c1,580$769 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$769.073,22551.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L+88.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x82d2…beeabacked Gentle Mates29c1,500$435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4351,01152.3%529 W · 482 L+27.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc0f1…8680backed Gentle Mates68c1,500$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,019.982,52243%1,085 W · 1,437 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa16b…b541backed Gentle Mates54c1,450$783 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$782.9843455.1%239 W · 195 L+13.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb36f…53d0backed magic49c1,347$655 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$691.8921346.9%100 W · 113 L-8.7wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-8.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4ef4…349fbacked magic56c1,274$714 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$560.71728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.16per pick44cpaid-53.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x051c…ca3fbacked magic47c1,104$523 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$581.3635847.5%170 W · 188 L-13.4wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-10.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9e86…6dfbbacked Gentle Mates47c935.16$439 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$438.629335.5%33 W · 60 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa6c…a9b3backed magic57c933.75$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$403.261,16354.3%631 W · 532 L-38.8wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4031…92c8backed Gentle Mates25c800$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20050846.3%235 W · 273 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x180c…cd04backed magic35c750$263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$487.544939.2%176 W · 273 L-0.4wins0.00per pick39cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed Gentle Mates30c713.01$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.895,83037.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L+79.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd0ac…7deebacked magic62c706.7$436 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.9943152.9%228 W · 203 L+26.6wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+0.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Gentle Mates40c641.63$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256.196,48042.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L-79.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked Gentle Mates49c615.43$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30081751.7%422 W · 395 L-6.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf85a…960ebacked magic61c561.69$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.694934.7%17 W · 32 L-5.1wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-22.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5592…aedebacked magic59c505.02$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.0219357%110 W · 83 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6421…045dbacked Gentle Mates60c480.35$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.0116248.1%78 W · 84 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1378…dbd2backed magic56c473.21$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.2110658.5%62 W · 44 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x40e3…5627backed magic58c437.72$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.7240558.8%238 W · 167 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4419…fcf4backed Gentle Mates56c437.05$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.759063.3%57 W · 33 L+5.6wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1025…7e11backed Gentle Mates43c419.99$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.255941%229 W · 330 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x59cb…57d1backed magic59c391.23$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.235048%24 W · 26 L-3.4wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-13.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4d44…49e6backed Gentle Mates60c330.7$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20037850.3%190 W · 188 L-15.7wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-11.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5011…94b4backed Gentle Mates16c306$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.9649941.7%208 W · 291 L+2.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid+17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xffca…0b64backed Gentle Mates43c304.04$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.3452150.3%262 W · 259 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca78…b3a8backed Gentle Mates47c298.3$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1393455.9%19 W · 15 L+4.3wins+0.13per pick43cpaid+35.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9a62…fc1abacked magic28c249.99$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.9913834.8%48 W · 90 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-11%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Gentle Mates26c237$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.9837149.6%184 W · 187 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x54e0…b02cbacked Gentle Mates31c236.31$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.891,65032.7%540 W · 1,110 L-49.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x34ab…4103backed magic80c233.23$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.642272.7%16 W · 6 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick67cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8e5e…0381backed magic57c227.14$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.143560%21 W · 14 L+2.6wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+10.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbc0c…dac0backed magic77c200$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4641475.4%312 W · 102 L+22.1wins+0.05per pick70cpaid+6.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Gentle Mates64c196.85$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.994,06450.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L+69.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x87a3…5857backed Gentle Mates49c188.29$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.0319447.4%92 W · 102 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x035b…c6ddbacked magic54c185.32$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.329445.7%43 W · 51 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Gentle Mates43c184$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8057641.1%237 W · 339 L-21.5wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xde30…3159backed magic56c178.56$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.1224260.3%146 W · 96 L+13.0wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+9.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8f13…daaebacked magic53c168.28$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.0916235.8%58 W · 104 L-5.0wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-21.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf424…9723backed Gentle Mates51c160.5$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.0421135.5%75 W · 136 L-6.9wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-22.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcd91…32b8backed magic67c145$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.488252.4%43 W · 39 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Gentle Mates45c142.87$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.164,93337.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L-249.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-32.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xff5a…6cedbacked Gentle Mates10c140.15$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.653040%12 W · 18 L-2.5wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-28.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc49b…70c0backed Gentle Mates37c140.12$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.4960838.2%232 W · 376 L+11.2wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-7.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf1d5…54d5backed Gentle Mates73c130$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.5741050.7%208 W · 202 L+10.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x94d2…cfbdbacked magic54c127.46$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.792,11047.2%995 W · 1,115 L-62.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-18.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaebf…4e6abacked Gentle Mates23c122$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.0626554.3%144 W · 121 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf59e…f0bfbacked magic59c120$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.815060.7%91 W · 59 L-0.5wins0.00per pick61cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x02a4…6854backed magic44c120$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6739258.2%228 W · 164 L+18.8wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+2.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x499f…b72bbacked Gentle Mates46c112.13$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.714544.8%65 W · 80 L+6.9wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+14.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked magic29c100$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$715,51147%2,590 W · 2,921 L+42.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Gentle Mates12c100$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1272353.5%387 W · 336 L+28.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6385…2afabacked Gentle Mates27c95$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.941516.6%69 W · 346 L-36.5wins-0.09per pick25cpaid-41.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1110…ea61backed Gentle Mates64c94.49$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.4713063.1%82 W · 48 L+5.3wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+2.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa5a8…bf60backed Gentle Mates47c93.62$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4498856.1%554 W · 434 L+21.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3416…adaabacked Gentle Mates65c76.92$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5028935.3%102 W · 187 L-18.4wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-24.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf56c…fcbdbacked magic73c68.49$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.4935449.7%176 W · 178 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb188…8be3backed magic69c68$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.2424558%142 W · 103 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Gentle Mates62c67.74$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.871,71052.3%895 W · 815 L-73.4wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-8.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd396…442cbacked Gentle Mates41c66.19$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.464257.1%24 W · 18 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf97f…dd8bbacked Gentle Mates52c64.83$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.5511352.2%59 W · 54 L-6.2wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-12.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc9bb…9a49backed Gentle Mates78c60.26$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$471838.9%7 W · 11 L-3.4wins-0.19per pick58cpaid-36.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x15bc…4a7ebacked Gentle Mates29c56.26$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.0820147.8%96 W · 105 L-5.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8cb1…9fbbbacked magic57c52.63$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.638534.1%29 W · 56 L-7.6wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-24.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9929…15a8backed Gentle Mates67c49.01$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.0117163.7%109 W · 62 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x75a7…25f8backed magic70c47.14$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.142777.8%21 W · 6 L+2.1wins+0.08per pick70cpaid+10.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0ab6…4880backed Gentle Mates44c45.45$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2059354.8%325 W · 268 L+14.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9307…9da3backed Gentle Mates46c44.35$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.481,00869.3%699 W · 309 L+152.8wins+0.15per pick54cpaid+18.3%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed magic51c43.24$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.192,62451.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L+18.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe0c…c0cdbacked Gentle Mates50c40.04$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.8221060%126 W · 84 L-5.7wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f20…934fbacked magic47c40$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.232463%204 W · 120 L+17.4wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+7.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb2f9…eb15backed magic56c39.29$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.2912544%55 W · 70 L-6.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-16.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8849…9a83backed magic52c38.46$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.4653850.6%272 W · 266 L-15.6wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7aa7…afb4backed Gentle Mates41c31.5$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.819454.1%105 W · 89 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe80c…f3e6backed Gentle Mates45c23.49$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.5741938.9%163 W · 256 L-8.5wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1273…8eddbacked Gentle Mates63c15.83$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1020957.4%120 W · 89 L+11.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+11.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.