CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: magic vs Gentle Mates - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcfd45c64b57bd669b12438be6d031da84742e0c56f474da9eae16ee632a94eec
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- magicof magic, Gentle Mates
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,781
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,167
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,781 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xddc3…029cbacked magic | 56c | 3,500$1,959 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,541.01 | 924 | 56.8%525 W · 399 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebc…a33dbacked Gentle Mates | 42c | 3,200$1,337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,336.91 | 631 | 57.1%360 W · 271 L | +40.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f0b…f901backed magic | 68c | 2,000$1,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.98 | 359 | 53.2%191 W · 168 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Gentle Mates | 38c | 1,057$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.28 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Gentle Mates | 39c | 1,015$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.38 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Gentle Mates | 37c | 950.65$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.18 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Gentle Mates | 32c | 927.5$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.8 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…a9b3backed magic | 56c | 835$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.24 | 1,163 | 54.3%631 W · 532 L | -38.8wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef4…349fbacked magic | 67c | 731.84$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.92 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 44cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Gentle Mates | 31c | 718$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.76 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf424…9723backed Gentle Mates | 28c | 710.73$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.15 | 211 | 35.5%75 W · 136 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5592…aedebacked magic | 60c | 700$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 193 | 57%110 W · 83 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Gentle Mates | 18c | 543.89$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.9 | 1,319 | 44.2%583 W · 736 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87a3…5857backed Gentle Mates | 28c | 512$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.15 | 194 | 47.4%92 W · 102 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7004…a778backed magic | 57c | 499.99$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.99 | 301 | 55.8%168 W · 133 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Gentle Mates | 19c | 385$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.02 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Gentle Mates | 41c | 203.95$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.2 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6385…2afabacked Gentle Mates | 12c | 132.12$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.32 | 415 | 16.6%69 W · 346 L | -36.5wins | -0.09per pick | 25cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9307…9da3backed Gentle Mates | 38c | 111.61$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.55 | 1,008 | 69.3%699 W · 309 L | +152.8wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x2f57…3e7abacked Gentle Mates | 40c | 110.55$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.22 | 656 | 62.3%409 W · 247 L | +27.8wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked magic | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 723 | 53.5%387 W · 336 L | +28.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Gentle Mates | 35c | 95.92$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.4 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Gentle Mates | 33c | 87.69$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.23 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9051…32d2backed Gentle Mates | 36c | 83.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 308 | 59.1%182 W · 126 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0af…bfd0backed Gentle Mates | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe41c…afabbacked magic | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.57 | 496 | 51.2%254 W · 242 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked magic | 64c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 2,110 | 47.2%995 W · 1,115 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd45…a81dbacked magic | 72c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 271 | 50.6%137 W · 134 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3c5…f095backed magic | 68c | 17.65$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.65 | 603 | 58.5%353 W · 250 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: magic vs Gentle Mates - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: magic vs Gentle Mates (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries European Qualifier Group Cmagic won
- Counter-Strike: magic vs Gentle Mates - Map 2 Winnermagic won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: MGC (-1.5) vs Gentle Mates (+1.5)magic won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.