CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: magic vs Gentle Mates (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries European Qualifier Group C
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x07b5eab1cf85f589ebef25e3530c185c241073286548dc40146e9c49e8eece24
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- magicof magic, Gentle Mates
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,995
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,809
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,995 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8400…274cbacked Gentle Mates | 46c | 2,162$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a63…fc03backed magic | 79c | 1,500$1,185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315 | 421 | 42%177 W · 244 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf424…9723backed magic | 74c | 1,230$913 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.7 | 211 | 35.5%75 W · 136 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1025…7e11backed Gentle Mates | 27c | 889.99$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.4 | 559 | 41%229 W · 330 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Gentle Mates | 40c | 840$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.7 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad1f…7f94backed Gentle Mates | 33c | 741.64$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.2 | 51 | 33.3%17 W · 34 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked magic | 62c | 734.51$459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.55 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed magic | 68c | 721.61$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.07 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb9b…6df8backed magic | 53c | 715$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.05 | 558 | 45.7%255 W · 303 L | -11.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Gentle Mates | 32c | 696.9$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.76 | 2,326 | 45.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x040d…417abacked magic | 64c | 638.24$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.29 | 58 | 56.9%33 W · 25 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Gentle Mates | 26c | 595$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.45 | 162 | 35.8%58 W · 104 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked magic | 78c | 521.59$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.63 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf2…423abacked Gentle Mates | 10c | 473.15$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.31 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4cf…2224backed magic | 70c | 344.24$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.48 | 225 | 67.1%151 W · 74 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde30…3159backed magic | 63c | 323.84$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.34 | 242 | 60.3%146 W · 96 L | +13.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc0c…dac0backed magic | 72c | 320$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.8 | 414 | 75.4%312 W · 102 L | +22.1wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Gentle Mates | 16c | 278.75$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.48 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked magic | 66c | 264.55$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.95 | 1,623 | 44.9%728 W · 895 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Gentle Mates | 34c | 249.99$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 1,146 | 43.5%499 W · 647 L | -17.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf65f…134ebacked Gentle Mates | 22c | 221.64$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.66 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…5627backed magic | 80c | 200$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 405 | 58.8%238 W · 167 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba2…1acabacked Gentle Mates | 23c | 200$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.2 | 52 | 17.3%9 W · 43 L | -4.8wins | -0.09per pick | 27cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…2075backed Gentle Mates | 35c | 198.41$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 452 | 44.5%201 W · 251 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5592…aedebacked magic | 65c | 188$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.31 | 193 | 57%110 W · 83 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked Gentle Mates | 28c | 183.16$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.38 | 2,110 | 47.2%995 W · 1,115 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d99…9c27backed Gentle Mates | 35c | 171$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.85 | 144 | 39.6%57 W · 87 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9307…9da3backed magic | 77c | 144.33$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.86 | 1,008 | 69.3%699 W · 309 L | +152.8wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x31c0…718fbacked Gentle Mates | 30c | 140.1$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.95 | 46 | 30.4%14 W · 32 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6385…2afabacked Gentle Mates | 21c | 140$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 415 | 16.6%69 W · 346 L | -36.5wins | -0.09per pick | 25cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcccc…05b2backed magic | 76c | 131.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | -2.8wins | -0.15per pick | 78cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Gentle Mates | 15c | 128.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.74 | 686 | 59.5%408 W · 278 L | +65.9wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5151…645cbacked Gentle Mates | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 80 | 31.3%25 W · 55 L | -5.4wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26bd…e53bbacked Gentle Mates | 21c | 119.05$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 150 | 47.3%71 W · 79 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99fe…b61cbacked Gentle Mates | 34c | 118.46$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 482 | 42.1%203 W · 279 L | -13.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfeb…763ebacked Gentle Mates | 14c | 115.71$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 137 | 42.3%58 W · 79 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75c7…fcccbacked magic | 73c | 103.46$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.97 | 204 | 44.1%90 W · 114 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Gentle Mates | 19c | 102.2$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.7 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3783…171dbacked Gentle Mates | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 245 | 62%152 W · 93 L | +21.9wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +22%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x15d1…ccfebacked magic | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 107 | 65.4%70 W · 37 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked magic | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 723 | 53.5%387 W · 336 L | +28.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked magic | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 1,591 | 46.6%741 W · 850 L | +30.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda10…ffeabacked Gentle Mates | 31c | 96.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 95 | 52.6%50 W · 45 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd752…7b4fbacked Gentle Mates | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 257 | 53.7%138 W · 119 L | -20.0wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Gentle Mates | 22c | 94.13$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.82 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe41c…afabbacked magic | 60c | 84$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 496 | 51.2%254 W · 242 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Gentle Mates | 29c | 71.64$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.78 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ab…4122backed Gentle Mates | 35c | 69.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fd…53dfbacked magic | 76c | 65.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.75 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00e8…0039backed Gentle Mates | 24c | 62.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 24 | 4.2%1 W · 23 L | -2.4wins | -0.10per pick | 14cpaid | -85.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked Gentle Mates | 21c | 60$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 1,352 | 52%703 W · 649 L | +29.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc732…adefbacked Gentle Mates | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ffd…08fabacked magic | 65c | 46.15$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.15 | 254 | 57.5%146 W · 108 L | +11.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd533…d6a1backed Gentle Mates | 35c | 37$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.06 | 398 | 40.5%161 W · 237 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x180a…bd66backed magic | 73c | 34.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.25 | 163 | 55.2%90 W · 73 L | -8.3wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed magic | 68c | 31$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.92 | 1,618 | 46.8%758 W · 860 L | -28.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe0c…c0cdbacked magic | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.86 | 210 | 60%126 W · 84 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3c5…f095backed magic | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 603 | 58.5%353 W · 250 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd396…442cbacked magic | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed magic | 65c | 15.39$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.39 | 700 | 42.3%296 W · 404 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked magic | 67c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.95 | 445 | 63.8%284 W · 161 L | +19.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…f1aebacked magic | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: magic vs Gentle Mates (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries European Qualifier Group Cthis page
- Counter-Strike: magic vs Gentle Mates - Map 1 Winnermagic won
- Counter-Strike: magic vs Gentle Mates - Map 2 Winnermagic won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: MGC (-1.5) vs Gentle Mates (+1.5)magic won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.