CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: ex-RUSTEC vs G2 Ares - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x424edc316e4c068a9e2060b5333c7e8be1f64dea432641bc47e7fd4bdad718b5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- ex-RUSTECof ex-RUSTEC, G2 Ares
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $42,770
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $50,921
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,770 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked ex-RUSTEC | 68c | 3,103$2,116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$986.97 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2c50backed G2 Ares | 9c | 2,406$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.96 | 721 | 39.7%286 W · 435 L | -25.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked G2 Ares | 27c | 2,007$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.56 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ac…7deebacked G2 Ares | 44c | 1,804$792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$792.04 | 431 | 52.9%228 W · 203 L | +26.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec7b…917ebacked G2 Ares | 20c | 1,138$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 277 | 40.8%113 W · 164 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17e2…d472backed G2 Ares | 18c | 1,092$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.16 | 266 | 24.4%65 W · 201 L | -26.9wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0f0b…f901backed ex-RUSTEC | 68c | 899.99$612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288 | 359 | 53.2%191 W · 168 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed G2 Ares | 15c | 755.61$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.58 | 573 | 22.3%128 W · 445 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed G2 Ares | 33c | 709.5$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.31 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3783…0038backed G2 Ares | 36c | 560.82$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 76 | 38.2%29 W · 47 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed ex-RUSTEC | 65c | 460.95$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.33 | 2,326 | 45.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed G2 Ares | 35c | 459.98$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.99 | 512 | 52.3%268 W · 244 L | +16.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c7…4332backed ex-RUSTEC | 65c | 334.17$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.96 | 176 | 44.3%78 W · 98 L | -17.8wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed G2 Ares | 22c | 312.65$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.02 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked ex-RUSTEC | 76c | 302.19$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.11 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e89…2e8ebacked ex-RUSTEC | 64c | 188.29$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.29 | 69 | 60.9%42 W · 27 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6c…0c16backed G2 Ares | 42c | 187.3$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.35 | 190 | 35.8%68 W · 122 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked ex-RUSTEC | 74c | 185.97$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.11 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked ex-RUSTEC | 72c | 182.8$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.01 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed44…4f76backed ex-RUSTEC | 64c | 165.24$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.9 | 519 | 42.2%219 W · 300 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9307…9da3backed G2 Ares | 38c | 163.51$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.12 | 1,008 | 69.3%699 W · 309 L | +152.8wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked G2 Ares | 41c | 161.95$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.93 | 1,710 | 52.3%895 W · 815 L | -73.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked G2 Ares | 56c | 148$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.05 | 1,848 | 41.7%770 W · 1,078 L | -69.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked G2 Ares | 33c | 128.64$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.89 | 2,110 | 47.2%995 W · 1,115 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34ab…4103backed G2 Ares | 26c | 128.36$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.82 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 67cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked G2 Ares | 34c | 117.14$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.85 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa091…f1c1backed G2 Ares | 64c | 113$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.32 | 97 | 37.1%36 W · 61 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3016…9ffdbacked G2 Ares | 15c | 112.06$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.35 | 61 | 27.9%17 W · 44 L | +4.6wins | +0.08per pick | 20cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcede…e6c9backed ex-RUSTEC | 64c | 109.23$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.23 | 51 | 70.6%36 W · 15 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed G2 Ares | 15c | 109$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.67 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa8eb…0f59backed G2 Ares | 48c | 104.92$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 218 | 45.9%100 W · 118 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed G2 Ares | 49c | 101.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.23 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b96…4389backed ex-RUSTEC | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.81 | 375 | 57.3%215 W · 160 L | -16.4wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd09f…521abacked G2 Ares | 48c | 98.66$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 115 | 36.5%42 W · 73 L | -7.8wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x68c0…c1fbbacked G2 Ares | 62c | 91.44$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 87 | 65.5%57 W · 30 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e47…bdbfbacked ex-RUSTEC | 59c | 84.03$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.45 | 384 | 69.5%267 W · 117 L | +31.6wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked G2 Ares | 19c | 82.26$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.36 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked G2 Ares | 21c | 81.35$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.05 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9929…15a8backed ex-RUSTEC | 62c | 80$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.1 | 171 | 63.7%109 W · 62 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked G2 Ares | 58c | 74$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.68 | 2,349 | 42.5%998 W · 1,351 L | -72.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked G2 Ares | 26c | 64.57$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.56 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked ex-RUSTEC | 38c | 53$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.89 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked ex-RUSTEC | 54c | 53$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.53 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x203a…935fbacked ex-RUSTEC | 67c | 52.54$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.54 | 284 | 54.9%156 W · 128 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5df0…95b3backed ex-RUSTEC | 54c | 47.74$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.96 | 138 | 71%98 W · 40 L | +15.7wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked ex-RUSTEC | 44c | 44.96$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.34 | 2,136 | 42.9%916 W · 1,220 L | -68.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96e1…b067backed ex-RUSTEC | 58c | 41.59$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.59 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e09…22febacked G2 Ares | 43c | 40.93$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb342…64b2backed ex-RUSTEC | 48c | 38.61$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.97 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9135…8d9cbacked G2 Ares | 41c | 37$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 82 | 40.2%33 W · 49 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac9a…1152backed ex-RUSTEC | 72c | 34.39$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.7 | 15 | 86.7%13 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.15per pick | 71cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd1d…6f23backed ex-RUSTEC | 76c | 32.7$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.7 | 139 | 60.4%84 W · 55 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe53b…fe03backed ex-RUSTEC | 64c | 31$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.16 | 413 | 72.2%298 W · 115 L | +25.0wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0b…9c4ebacked ex-RUSTEC | 76c | 25.11$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.11 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed G2 Ares | 46c | 24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.09 | 1,848 | 47.6%879 W · 969 L | -55.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed G2 Ares | 46c | 24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.09 | 217 | 50.7%110 W · 107 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed ex-RUSTEC | 62c | 23$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.79 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x104b…e9cebacked ex-RUSTEC | 70c | 21.58$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.47 | 184 | 81.5%150 W · 34 L | +13.6wins | +0.07per pick | 74cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed ex-RUSTEC | 68c | 20.72$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.65 | 700 | 42.3%296 W · 404 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked ex-RUSTEC | 64c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…980abacked ex-RUSTEC | 74c | 14.03$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.61 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: ex-RUSTEC vs G2 Ares - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: ex-RUSTEC vs G2 Ares (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stageex-RUSTEC won
- Counter-Strike: ex-RUSTEC vs G2 Ares - Map 1 Winnerex-RUSTEC won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.