CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: ex-RUSTEC vs G2 Ares - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf1b28aca75f40eaf2b3d5755a4997ef705a6c0e0b7b26806454b1419d47d769b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- ex-RUSTECof ex-RUSTEC, G2 Ares
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,922
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,818
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,922 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked ex-RUSTEC | 64c | 765.5$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.27 | 3,259 | 50.3%1,639 W · 1,620 L | +98.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec7b…917ebacked G2 Ares | 8c | 731.52$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.67 | 283 | 40.3%114 W · 169 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked ex-RUSTEC | 56c | 616$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.84 | 5,095 | 55.1%2,805 W · 2,290 L | +119.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c7…4332backed G2 Ares | 69c | 615.22$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.59 | 176 | 44.3%78 W · 98 L | -17.8wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa474…32cbbacked G2 Ares | 45c | 477.53$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.5 | 263 | 45.2%119 W · 144 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…0882backed G2 Ares | 44c | 389$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.16 | 122 | 44.3%54 W · 68 L | +6.2wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed G2 Ares | 39c | 308$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.59 | 2,393 | 46.7%1,118 W · 1,275 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked G2 Ares | 38c | 220$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.7 | 3,267 | 45.5%1,485 W · 1,782 L | -85.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked G2 Ares | 13c | 142.37$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.05 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c9e…fbfdbacked G2 Ares | 46c | 121.25$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 547 | 43.7%239 W · 308 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked ex-RUSTEC | 53c | 120.36$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.57 | 4,754 | 43.6%2,071 W · 2,683 L | -85.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed G2 Ares | 15c | 114.06$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.83 | 2,474 | 24.7%611 W · 1,863 L | -316.9wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2c50backed ex-RUSTEC | 56c | 107.55$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.3 | 742 | 39.1%290 W · 452 L | -29.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2140…0e12backed G2 Ares | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 562 | 39.5%222 W · 340 L | -21.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…0864backed G2 Ares | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 932 | 61.7%575 W · 357 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked ex-RUSTEC | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.19 | 2,223 | 47.5%1,056 W · 1,167 L | -5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9307…9da3backed ex-RUSTEC | 74c | 96.34$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.83 | 1,008 | 69.3%699 W · 309 L | +152.8wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked ex-RUSTEC | 70c | 94.04$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.74 | 3,236 | 51.2%1,657 W · 1,579 L | +88.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked G2 Ares | 13c | 88.98$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.96 | 3,544 | 29.3%1,037 W · 2,507 L | -289.1wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked G2 Ares | 41c | 82.84$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.89 | 1,710 | 52.3%895 W · 815 L | -73.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked ex-RUSTEC | 76c | 78.5$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 2,195 | 43.1%946 W · 1,249 L | -68.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed ex-RUSTEC | 60c | 75$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.19 | 4,238 | 49.2%2,085 W · 2,153 L | +60.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked G2 Ares | 40c | 75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.65 | 2,397 | 42.7%1,023 W · 1,374 L | -73.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed G2 Ares | 42c | 75$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.29 | 2,554 | 41.3%1,054 W · 1,500 L | -116.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked ex-RUSTEC | 58c | 55.93$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.24 | 2,530 | 34.6%876 W · 1,654 L | -193.6wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed ex-RUSTEC | 75c | 55.9$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.83 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed ex-RUSTEC | 56c | 53.66$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.65 | 773 | 46.1%356 W · 417 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked G2 Ares | 26c | 46.61$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.12 | 2,143 | 47.3%1,013 W · 1,130 L | -61.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked ex-RUSTEC | 77c | 44.27$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.39 | 2,605 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,234 L | +97.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ab6…4880backed G2 Ares | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 593 | 54.8%325 W · 268 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed ex-RUSTEC | 53c | 38.85$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.29 | 1,895 | 47.8%906 W · 989 L | -50.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f40…c8ffbacked ex-RUSTEC | 53c | 38$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.96 | 118 | 31.4%37 W · 81 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked G2 Ares | 36c | 33.33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.94 | 1,890 | 41.9%791 W · 1,099 L | -71.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked ex-RUSTEC | 58c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 3,949 | 36.5%1,443 W · 2,506 L | -201.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf1…d7febacked G2 Ares | 46c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.7 | 248 | 35.1%87 W · 161 L | -8.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed G2 Ares | 46c | 26.25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.13 | 231 | 50.2%116 W · 115 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked ex-RUSTEC | 60c | 25.04$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.03 | 681 | 47%320 W · 361 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a4f…5ec9backed ex-RUSTEC | 57c | 18$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.74 | 20 | 80%16 W · 4 L | +3.1wins | +0.15per pick | 65cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: ex-RUSTEC vs G2 Ares - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: ex-RUSTEC vs G2 Ares (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stageex-RUSTEC won
- Counter-Strike: ex-RUSTEC vs G2 Ares - Map 2 Winnerex-RUSTEC won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.