TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x339b…d889

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
32
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: MLB, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category MLB at 53 out of 100; worst NBA at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 24, 2026, EDT1353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick61cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs Eternal Fire (BO5) - European Pro League Series 8 Playoffsbacked Eternal Fire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$36.21
Counter-Strike: Just Players vs 1WIN (BO3) - European Pro League Series 8 Playoffsbacked Just Players · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.2
Counter-Strike: Just Players vs Walczaki (BO3) - European Pro League Series 8 Playoffsbacked Walczaki · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$36
Counter-Strike: Fluxo W7M vs Imperial (BO5) - BetBoom RUSH B! Summit Playoffsbacked Fluxo W7M · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$6.43
Counter-Strike: BET-M 33 vs BASEMENT BOYS - Map 2 Winnerbacked BET-M 33 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Counter-Strike: Mindfreak vs Ground Zero (BO3) - HyperX & Intel Nationals Playoffsbacked Mindfreak · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$151Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$151
Counter-Strike: EAC Rising vs eSuba (BO3) - United21 Playoffsbacked eSuba · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+41.5%+$8.31
Counter-Strike: Rooster vs Mindfreak (BO3) - HyperX & Intel Nationals Group Abacked Mindfreak · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$136Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+102.1%+$139.35
Counter-Strike: Abyssal vs Mindfreak (BO3) - HyperX & Intel Nationals Group Abacked Abyssal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$148.05
Counter-Strike: Imperial vs Fluxo W7M (BO3) - BetBoom RUSH B! Summit Playoffsbacked Imperial · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$296Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$295.56
Counter-Strike: WW Team vs Just Players (BO3) - European Pro League Series 8 Playoffsbacked Just Players · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$153Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+88%+$134.63
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs ENCE (BO3) - European Pro League Series 8 Group Cbacked SPARTA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+27.9%+$22.31
Counter-Strike: 9z vs Alliance (BO3) - XSE Pro League Playoffsbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+43.2%+$29.18
All 13 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
WNBA — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Chicago Sky vs. Atlanta Dreambacked Atlanta Dream · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+34.7%+$12.14
New York Liberty vs. Indiana Feverbacked Indiana Fever · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$17.61
Connecticut Sun vs. Phoenix Mercurybacked Phoenix Mercury · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Golden State Valkyries vs. Indiana Feverbacked Golden State Valkyries · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+55.4%+$48.22
Seattle Storm vs. Chicago Skybacked Seattle Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
All 5 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-59.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 22, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+57.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. New York Yankeesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+68.4%+$16.42
Detroit Tigers vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+46.5%+$29.3
All 2 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: DN SOOPers vs BNK FEARX (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group Stagebacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.