CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: EAC Rising vs eSuba (BO3) - United21 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x78da2cde5ed62fcf785c3b59677076c145c82f7e5da8fec1e6896629078313bf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- eSubaof EAC Rising, eSuba
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,733
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,259
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,733 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked eSuba | 49c | 1,779$867 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$912.56 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3db4…d69bbacked EAC Rising | 50c | 1,700$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850 | 750 | 56.8%426 W · 324 L | +47.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked eSuba | 46c | 1,000$463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$537.74 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked EAC Rising | 47c | 729.9$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.14 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xebf5…b1d0backed EAC Rising | 29c | 483.99$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.36 | 498 | 50.2%250 W · 248 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked eSuba | 7c | 396.21$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.47 | 600 | 32.3%194 W · 406 L | -49.7wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed EAC Rising | 56c | 385.92$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.33 | 170 | 34.7%59 W · 111 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad2a…99a3backed eSuba | 33c | 300$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201 | 200 | 45.5%91 W · 109 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd385…34fbbacked eSuba | 32c | 246.43$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.8 | 138 | 52.9%73 W · 65 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d42…cde0backed eSuba | 21c | 193.27$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.68 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | +6.6wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked EAC Rising | 63c | 162.02$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.46 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed EAC Rising | 67c | 153.01$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.19 | 207 | 45.9%95 W · 112 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4cf…2224backed EAC Rising | 68c | 122.69$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.47 | 225 | 67.1%151 W · 74 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed eSuba | 39c | 119.97$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.09 | 121 | 50.4%61 W · 60 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f34…ed6abacked EAC Rising | 46c | 119.29$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.69 | 215 | 36.3%78 W · 137 L | -11.8wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked EAC Rising | 53c | 117.72$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.83 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked EAC Rising | 66c | 109$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.66 | 2,349 | 42.5%998 W · 1,351 L | -72.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed eSuba | 45c | 97.55$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.68 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked EAC Rising | 68c | 96$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.51 | 1,848 | 41.7%770 W · 1,078 L | -69.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42a1…a8e9backed EAC Rising | 69c | 95.68$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.36 | 270 | 37.8%102 W · 168 L | -9.8wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc75d…0717backed eSuba | 49c | 92.36$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.36 | 295 | 43.1%127 W · 168 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked EAC Rising | 63c | 89.9$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.8 | 1,302 | 41.2%536 W · 766 L | -50.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked EAC Rising | 59c | 89.6$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.56 | 630 | 38.6%243 W · 387 L | -26.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked EAC Rising | 65c | 86$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.64 | 2,136 | 42.9%916 W · 1,220 L | -68.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d40…dd57backed eSuba | 22c | 80$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.4 | 123 | 40.7%50 W · 73 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6908…d2f4backed eSuba | 36c | 69.87$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.87 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed eSuba | 52c | 68$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.9 | 478 | 56.7%271 W · 207 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed eSuba | 33c | 57.89$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.88 | 514 | 46.9%241 W · 273 L | -22.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed eSuba | 46c | 57.58$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.05 | 799 | 51.7%413 W · 386 L | +25.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebf8…7d2bbacked eSuba | 41c | 41.8$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.66 | 153 | 55.6%85 W · 68 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe564…221abacked eSuba | 52c | 36.37$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.37 | 1,078 | 32%345 W · 733 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed eSuba | 68c | 35.34$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.34 | 351 | 41.6%146 W · 205 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc6d…31cebacked EAC Rising | 65c | 33.36$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.72 | 109 | 47.7%52 W · 57 L | +9.4wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x812c…b81fbacked eSuba | 71c | 31.11$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.12 | 20 | 80%16 W · 4 L | +3.1wins | +0.15per pick | 65cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed EAC Rising | 39c | 29.13$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.37 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked eSuba | 50c | 28.74$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.37 | 1,315 | 51.1%672 W · 643 L | -99.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x339b…d889backed eSuba | 71c | 28.31$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.31 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd50f…b948backed EAC Rising | 54c | 25.62$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.96 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf1…d7febacked eSuba | 55c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.35 | 238 | 35.3%84 W · 154 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbac…ecc4backed EAC Rising | 53c | 22.59$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 188 | 41.5%78 W · 110 L | -19.4wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x96db…499fbacked EAC Rising | 54c | 22.09$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.93 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19e5…dd71backed eSuba | 57c | 17.98$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.68 | 418 | 53.6%224 W · 194 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe83a…8355backed eSuba | 64c | 17.86$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.38 | 368 | 56.8%209 W · 159 L | +13.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.